1 COLORADO REPUBLICAN SURVEY January 30 th – 31 st and February 4 th , 2019
2 Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 Methodology Ø Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results for a 622n telephone survey of registered Republican voters in the state of Colorado. Ø The interviews were conducted from January 30 th – 31 st and February 4 th , 2019. Ø The overall survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.93% at the 95% confidence interval. Subgroups of voters will have higher margin of error than the overall population. Ø The survey results were weighted based upon Republican voter registration demographics. Ø David Flaherty was the principal researcher on this project, and Courtney Sievers was the project director.
3 Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 Survey Demographics 49% 51% 28% 19% 22% 18% 13% Male Female 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 17% 1% 39% 18% 26% 23% 25% 18% 20% 13% Suburban Area Small Town Big City Less than $51,000 - $76,000 - More than Refused Rural Area Refused $50,000 $75,000 $125,000 $126,000
4 Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 Survey Demographics Among the different groups of voters within the Republican Party, which of the following best describes the kind of Republican you consider yourself to be? 37% 29% 28% 6% Trump Republican Traditional Other Republican No Opinion Republican
5 Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 Congressional Districts Sedgwick Logan Jackson Larimer Moffat Phillips Weld Routt 2 Morgan Grand Boulder Broomfield Washington Yuma Rio Blanco 6 Adams Gilpin 7 1 Clear Creek Denver Arapahoe Eagle Summit Garfield Jefferson Elbert Douglas Kit Carson Pitkin Lake Park 4 Mesa Lincoln Teller Delta 3 Cheyenne El Paso Chaffee 5 Gunnison Fremont Kiowa Montrose Crowley Ouray Pueblo Custer Saguache Hinsdale San Miguel Bent Prowers Otero San Juan Dolores Mineral Huerfano Rio Grande Alamosa Montezuma Las Animas Baca La Plata Costilla Archuleta Conejos Legend Denver Metro Area Inset Congressional District 4 Weld 1 Boulder 6 2 Broomfield 3 Adams 2 4 7 Gilpin 5 Jefferson 1 Denver 6 7 4 Clear Creek Arapahoe Colorado Congressional Districts
6 KEY FINDINGS
7 Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 Key Findings: Ø Currently, a near majority of Republican voters are focused on solving one problem: immigration. That is the top issue among 48% of Republican primary voters and 40% of non-primary voters. No other issue comes close to registering as such a high priority in this survey. It is quite clear that the government shutdown was a major influence on Republican opinions. Ø President Trump’s job approval and image rating could not be any stronger among Colorado Republicans, with 90% approving of the job he is doing and 72% strongly approving. He is giving Republican voters what they want, and they love him for it. Ø Republicans strongly approve of the job Donald Trump is doing for a number of reasons. First, they believe he is keeping his campaign promises of fighting illegal immigration, improving the economy, creating jobs and not acting like a typical politician. Many respondents express a loyalty toward him because they believe he sincerely cares about all Americans, rich or poor, white or minority, and that he is fighting for them personally.
8 Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 Key Findings: Ø Eighty-seven percent of respondents think President Trump’s economic program and policies are making the economy better. 88% support building a wall along the border of Mexico and 81% supported his decision to shut down the government in order to get funding for the wall. Ø Any thought of a primary challenge to Donald Trump at this time would be futile. Among all respondents, 78% want Donald Trump to be the Republican Presidential nominee in 2020 and only 17% prefer “someone else”. Ø The overwhelming belief regarding why Republican candidates lost in 2018 was because of a migration of liberal and Democratic voters from other states to Colorado.
9 Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 Key Findings: Ø Republican voters overwhelmingly prefer uncompromising, conservative candidates (61%) to moderate candidates who are more willing to work with Democrats to get things done (33%). Ø Sixty-two percent of Republican voters oppose state funded, full- day kindergarten regardless of the cost, while 34% support it. Ø Sixty percent of Republicans support the proposed “Red Flag” gun control legislation and 33% oppose it. Ø There are many different opinions regarding what Republicans should do to be more successful in the 2020 election cycle. Many respondents believe the right approach is to educate voters about the economic accomplishments of the Trump Administration and stand with the President.
10 ISSUE PREFERENCE
Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 11 Being as specific as possible, please tell me what you think the most important issue or problem is in your community that our elected officials should be addressing the most. Major Themes “ The illegal immigrants and “ Drug abuse. Illegal aliens. homelessness .” Worthless politicians. ” Immigration -Male, 35-44, Suburbs -Male, 55-64, Small Town Cost of Healthcare Homelessness “ Recreational marijuana, and the Effects of Marijuana crap that is developing with crime “ Building the wall so the and everything that goes with it. immigrant problem can be It’s creating a lot of issues. ” taken care of. ” -Male, 65+, Rural Area -Female, 65+, Suburbs “ That would probably be the safety of our neighborhood “ There’s two. Number one, and roads. ” immigration and number two -Male, 35-44, Suburbs is mental health throughout the United States. ” -Female, 45-54, Big City “ We need to be able to help our President, everything that “ I would have to say immigration for one thing. We he’s doing. Everyone seems have to get this thing right because this is ridiculous. to be going against him. So, I Some of the stuff happening with abortion is “ There aren’t any low-cost rental think we should all make ridiculous. I do not believe in abortion and some of properties and there aren’t compromises to help our the stuff I am seeing on TV is absolutely disgusting. ” enough jobs. ” President. ” -Female, 35-44, Big City -Male, 65+, Suburbs -Male, 45-54, Suburbs
12 Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 And among the following list of issues, which do you think is the top priority that Governor Polis and the state legislature should be addressing the most? 44% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 6% 4% 2% ENFORCING KEEPING LID ON INVESTING ROADS CREATING JOBS IMPROVING AFFORDABLE ADDRESSING REDUCING COST UNSURE REFUSED IMMIGRATION GOVERNMENT TRANSPORTATION GROWING PUBLIC HOUSING PROBLEMS OF HEALTHCARE LAWS SPENDING ECONOMY EDUCATION LEGALIZING MARIJUANA
13 Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 And among the following list of issues, which do you think is the top priority that Governor Polis and the state legislature should be addressing the most? 41% 10% 8% 9% 10% 10% 8% 4% 1% WOMEN 48% 13% 13% 8% 6% 3% 4% 4% 2% MEN ENFORCING IMMIGRATION LAWS KEEPING LID ON GOVERNMENT SPENDING INVESTING ROADS TRANSPORTATION CREATING JOBS GROWING ECONOMY IMPROVING PUBLIC EDUCATION AFFORDABLE HOUSING ADDRESSING PROBLEMS LEGALIZING MARIJUANA REDUCING COST OF HEALTHCARE UNSURE REFUSED
14 Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 And among the following list of issues, which do you think is the top priority that Governor Polis and the state legislature should be addressing the most? 30% 13% 13% 13% 14% 5% 3% 7% 3% OTHER REPUBLICAN 63% 9% 8% 5% 4% 5% 4% 2% TRUMP REPUBLICAN 42% 12% 10% 9% 6% 9% 8% 4% 1% TRADITIONAL REPUBLICAN ENFORCING IMMIGRATION LAWS KEEPING LID ON GOVERNMENT SPENDING INVESTING ROADS TRANSPORTATION CREATING JOBS GROWING ECONOMY IMPROVING PUBLIC EDUCATION AFFORDABLE HOUSING ADDRESSING PROBLEMS LEGALIZING MARIJUANA REDUCING COST OF HEALTHCARE UNSURE REFUSED
15 Colorado Republican Survey, 622n, +/-3.93%, Jan/Feb 2019 And among the following list of issues, which do you think is the top priority that Governor Polis and the state legislature should be addressing the most? 50% 13% 8% 5% 7% 6% 7% 3% 2% 65 PLUS 48% 8% 15% 7% 5% 7% 5% 4% 1% 55-64 46% 9% 11% 12% 7% 2% 4% 6% 2% 45-54 25% 15% 8% 14% 17% 6% 11% 3% 2% 35-44 42% 13% 10% 9% 9% 10% 3% 3% 18-34 ENFORCING IMMIGRATION LAWS KEEPING LID ON GOVERNMENT SPENDING INVESTING ROADS TRANSPORTATION CREATING JOBS GROWING ECONOMY IMPROVING PUBLIC EDUCATION AFFORDABLE HOUSING ADDRESSING PROBLEMS LEGALIZING MARIJUANA REDUCING COST OF HEALTHCARE UNSURE REFUSED
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