Minnesota’s Talent: The Influence and Impact of Changing Demographics Allison Liuzzi Wilder Research, Minnesota Compass
Minnesota is home to one of the highest proportions of adults working in the nation. 80% 79% 79% North Dakota Nebraska Minnesota @MNCompass
Things in Minnesota continue to get better . Economic output (GDP) Jobs Household income Adults with a bachelor’s degree 4-year college graduation Poverty rate High school graduation Housing cost burden @MNCompass
How are our communities changing? How does this impact how we foster talent? @MNCompass
We are getting older . 1 @MNCompass
Our older adult population will soon exceed our school- age population about 2019 @MNCompass
2017 43 counties where at least 1 in 5 residents are age 65+ @MNCompass
2020 59 counties where at least 1 in 5 residents are age 65+ @MNCompass
2030 80 counties where at least 1 in 5 residents are age 65+ @MNCompass
This is unlike anything we’ve seen before… Growth in Minnesota's older adult population (65+, in thousands) 297 282 89 85 71 67 58 55 47 38 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s 2030s 2040s @MNCompass
Our emerging workforce is more racially and ethnically diverse 2 than those retiring from the workforce. @MNCompass
Minnesota’s populations of color 23% of all Minnesotans 1.5 million 1.1 million 1% of all Minnesotans 42,000 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2017 2020 2030 @MNCompass
American Indian population All ages Children and youth (<20) @MNCompass
Asian population All ages Children and youth (<20) @MNCompass
Black population All ages Children and youth (<20) @MNCompass
Hispanic population All ages Children and youth (<20) @MNCompass
Population of two or more races All ages Children and youth (<20) @MNCompass
3 Minnesota needs to remain a desirable destination for new residents . @MNCompass
Net loss of 26,000 residents Since 2010, net gain of to other states 82,000 residents Net gain of due to 108,000 residents migration from other countries @MNCompass
Since 2010, we’ve North Dakota LOST residents to… Arizona Texas Florida @MNCompass
Minnesota’s foreign-born population 9% of all Minnesotans 544,000 486,000 26% of all Minnesotans 113,000 98,000 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2017 @MNCompass
Percent foreign-born by county, 2013-17 5 counties where at least 1 in 10 residents is foreign-born Nobles County 20% n 10% or more n 5 to 9% n Less than 5% @MNCompass
Our foreign-born population is different from the U.S. as whole Asia Latin America Africa Minnesota 14% 37% 22% 28% Europe, Oceania, Canada Asia Latin America Africa U.S. 14% 31% 50% 5% @MNCompass
1 in 6 kids in Minnesota is a child of an immigrant. @MNCompass
@MNCompass
How are our communities changing? How does this impact how we foster talent? @MNCompass
Minnesota’s working-age adults (18-64) 3.4 million 3.4 million 1.8 million 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 201020172020 2030 @MNCompass
-3% Central Through 2030, -12% our working-age Northland population -6% Northwest is only expected -5% Southern to grow in -10% the Twin Cities. Southwest 7% Twin Cities -4% West Central @MNCompass
3.3 million jobs in Minnesota in 2026 @MNCompass
3.4 million adults age 18-64 in Minnesota in 2026 @MNCompass
2.7 million adults age 18-64 working in 2026 @MNCompass
Where are we expecting to see the greatest need for more workers? Computing Healthcare Production, trade, and Services related occupations @MNCompass
Older adults will help address our projected workforce shortage Today… 18% of older adults are working. In 2026, that amounts to… 208,000 older adults working. @MNCompass
2.7 million 2.9 million adults age 18-64 working in 2026 adults age 18-64 working in 2026 @MNCompass
Our state remains home to some of the largest racial gaps in employment in the nation @MNCompass
58% all students Meet state science standards (5th) 37% students of color 57% all students Meet state math standards (8th) 39% students of color 34% all students College-ready in math and science 18% students of color @MNCompass
all students 54% Highly interested in science (4th) 59% students of color 30% all students Out-of-school science activities (8th) students of color 31% 48% all students Interested in studying STEM in college 46% students of color @MNCompass
2.9 million 3.0 million adults age 18-64 working in 2026 adults age 18-64 working in 2026 @MNCompass
In the coming decades, greater numbers of migrants, both domestic and international , will be necessary to meet our state’s workforce needs and to buttress economic activity.
Employment increases with length of time in the U.S. 79% 79% 77% 73% 69% Employment 59% equivalent to native-born residents @MNCompass
How are our communities changing? How does this impact how we foster talent? @MNCompass
Thanks! And keep in touch… allison.liuzzi@wilder.org Sign up for our monthly e-newsletter at www.mncompass.org Follow us on Twitter @MNCompass @AllisonLiuzzi Connect with MN Compass on Facebook @MNCompass
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