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Controlled Evaluation of Group Health Integrated Group Practice Opioid Risk Reduction Initiatives (2006-2014) CARE Study Team Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute Care Study Team Sascha Dublin


  1. Controlled Evaluation of Group Health Integrated Group Practice Opioid Risk Reduction Initiatives (2006-2014) CARE Study Team Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute

  2. Care Study Team Sascha Dublin Patient Advisory Committee Ryan Hansen Catherine Cartwright Evette Ludman Penney Cowan Michael Parchman David Duhrkoop Katie Saunders Mariann Farrell Karen Sherman Ada Giudice-Tompson Susan Shortreed Kathryn Guthrie Manu Thakral Catherine Lippincott Rod Walker Max Sokolnicki Megan Addis (Project Manager) Betts Tully Michael Von Korff (Principal Investigator)

  3. Presentation Goals Review evaluation results of health plan opioid dose reduction and risk stratification/monitoring (RS/M) initiatives among chronic opioid therapy (COT) patients Consider implications of evaluation results for future efforts to reduce risks of prescription opioid overdose and addiction, and to enhance the effectiveness of chronic pain care

  4. Starting in the late 1990’s, opioid prescribing for chronic pain by U.S. physicians increased dramatically Milligrams per 100 persons per year Source: Kenan K, Mack K, Paulozzi L. Open Medicine 2012; 6:e41.

  5. This change in practice resulted in a four-fold increase in drug overdose deaths involving prescription opioids Drug Overdose Deaths, US, 1999-2013 Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, NVSS, 2013

  6. Increased opioid prescribing contributed to an unprecedented rise in all-cause mortality among working age White Americans U.S. Whites

  7. Increased mortality was caused by increased poisonings, driven largely by increases in prescription drug overdose deaths Increased poisonings driven by prescription drug overdose

  8. Group Health Chronic Opioid Therapy (COT) Risk Reduction Initiatives  COT risk reduction initiatives were implemented in 26 Integrated Group Practice clinics (Intervention setting) but not in contracted care clinics serving similar COT patients (Control setting).  Health plan opioid dose and risk reduction initiatives: – Reduce high-dose opioid prescribing (2008 – 2010) – Implement risk stratification & monitoring (RS/M) initiatives (October 2010 – 2014) 8

  9. Group Health COT Risk Reduction Initiatives Dose Reduction  Keep COT doses as low as possible (below state recommended 120mg morphine equivalent dose (MED) threshold) Risk Stratification/Monitoring (RS/M)  Single primary care prescriber for each COT patient  Collaborative care plan for all COT patients:  Prescription instructions and treatment agreement  Risk-stratified frequency of follow-up visits and urine drug screening  Standardized processes for refills, cross-coverage, consultations  Enhanced clinician and patient education 9

  10. Evaluation Design 10

  11. Group Health COT risk reduction initiatives Intervention Control Clinics Dates Clinics Initiatives GH Contracted GH Integrated Care Group Practice Dose reduction initiative 2008-10 YES NO October Guideline-based Risk Stratification 2010 and YES NO and Monitoring initiative later From 2006-14, we compared process and outcome trends among 31,142 COT patients from Intervention and Control clinics: A “natural experiment”. In 2014-15, we surveyed 1588 Intervention and Control COT patients, after the risk reduction initiatives had been sustained for many years.

  12. Evaluation Timeline COT Patient Survey Begins: Ends: 2014 2015 Intervention clinics Telephone Electronic health care data used to monitor trends N=31,142 Survey Control N=1588 clinics Baseline Dose Reduction Phase Risk Stratification/Monitoring Phase 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

  13. Results: Implementation Evaluation 13

  14. Trends in average daily morphine equivalent dose (MED) among COT patients in Intervention clinics were significantly lower than in Control clinics 100 Risk Stratification/Monitoring Phase Baseline Dose Reduction Phase Average daily dose (mg) received 90 80 Control Clinic 70 COT patients 60 (N=8,469) 50 Intervention Clinic 40 COT patients 30 (N=22,673) 20 10 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

  15. Percent of COT patients with Urine Drug Test in Year Percent of COT patients with UDT in prior year 100% GH-IGP 90% 80% GH-CC 70% October 60% 2010 Intervention Clinic 50% COT Patients 40% (N=8,469) 30% Control Clinic 20% COT Patients 10% (N=22,673) 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Baseline Dose Reduction Phase Risk Stratification/Monitoring Phase

  16. Trend in percent with COT care plans: Intervention clinic COT patients Percent of Intervention Clinic COT patients (N=22,673) with care plans 100.0% October 90.0% 2010 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2009

  17. Trends in number of COT patients in the GH-IGP and GH-CC From 2006 to 2014, the percent of adults receiving COT increased from 1.9% to 2.7% in the GH-IGP and from 1.4% to 2.8% in GH-CC.

  18. Results: Patient Outcomes Evaluation 18

  19. Percent of COT patients with an opioid overdose (fatal or non-fatal) were significantly reduced during the GH-IGP dose reduction period (2008-10) but not during the risk stratification/monitoring period (2010-14). Dose Reduction Baseline RS/M Phase Phase 0.30 The reduction in overdose rate within Intervention clinics during dose reduction % of COT patients with overdose in the following 0.25 phase was statistically significant (p=0.038) 0.20 quarter 0.15 Control clinic COT patients ( N=8,469) 0.10 Intervention clinic COT patients ( N=22,673) 0.05 0.00 There was no change in overdose 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 rate within Intervention clinics during RS/M phase The reduction in overdose rate between Intervention and much smaller Control clinic population during dose reduction phase was non-significant

  20. Relative risk of opioid overdose by average daily morphine equivalent dose Intervention clinic mean dose in…. 2014 2006 2014 2006 Control clinic mean dose in… Dose reduction in Intervention clinics was not on a steep part of the dose-response curve for overdose risk

  21. PEG pain severity ratings (0-10) Intervention COT patients (N=935) Control COT patients (N=653) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Severe (7-10) Moderate (4-6) Mild (1-3) Covariate adjusted mean difference (Intervention minus Control) = 0.17 (95% CI= -0.02, 0.35)

  22. Percent with DSM5 prescription opioid use disorder Intervention COT patients 4.2% 16.3% (N=935) Adjusted relative risk comparing control to intervention: 1.08 (95% CI: 0.89, 1.32) Control COT patients 5.2% 18.7% (N=653) -5% 5% 15% 25% Moderate/Severe Mild Mild to moderate prescription opioid use disorder was common among COT patients in the Intervention clinics after full implementation of both risk reduction initiatives.

  23. Conclusions  Intervention clinics successfully lowered opioid doses and implemented RS/M initiatives and sustained changes long-term  Dose reduction may have produced a modest reduction in opioid overdose rates, but dose reduction was insufficient to expect a large reduction in overdose rates  COT patients on lower doses in Intervention clinics had similar pain ratings to Control COT patients on higher doses  Neither dose reduction nor RS/M initiatives lowered addiction risks among COT patients. 23

  24. Potential next steps to reduce risks of opioid overdose and addiction while enhancing chronic pain care:  Increase access to safer and more effective therapies for chronic pain  Curtail inappropriate transitions from short-term to long-term opioid use  Reduce COT dose to low levels and taper patients off who are not benefiting  Ensure access to medication assisted therapy & naloxone for COT patients unable to taper off opioids or to low dose 24

  25. Multi-faceted Implementation Dose Reduction Phase: RS/M Phase: Oct 2010 – Sept 2014 2008 – Sept 2010  Rapid Progress Improvement Workshop defined changes for standard work  Operational definition of COT (near daily use for at least 90 days)  Strong and sustained leadership for changes  Responsibility for opioid management placed in  COT patient lists included risk stratification primary care  Single PCP responsible for COT management  Lists of high- dose (≥ 120mg MED daily) COT  Standardized educational materials on-line patients  Clinic peer experts (gurus)  Supervisory guidance for PCPs with long lists  Prescribers notified of early refills of high-dose COT patients  EHR practice tools/smart sets  Specialty consult advised caution  Online training (87% participation)  Voluntary CME  In-clinic meetings to review progress  Targets for care plans set and monitored  Financial incentives for achieving targets  Patients notified of practice changes by letter 25

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