Integrated Resource Plan Integrated Resource Plan Rick Haener September 4th, 2015
Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) • Public utilities first began preparing integrated resource plans (IRPs) in the early 1990s • IRPs are Public Utility Commission (PUC) mandated documents for how a utility expects to provide service to customers for the next 20 years y p p y • IRPs are typically updated and filed with the PUCs every two years • IRPs consider supply ‐ side resources, demand ‐ side measures and transmission options • Balance cost, risk, and environmental concerns • P bli i Public involvement is a key component of the planning process l i k f h l i
Idaho Power Generation
2015 IRP Key Assumptions/Issues Load Forecast • 1.2% growth in energy • 1.5% growth in peak ‐ hour capacity 5% g o t pea ou capac ty Transmission Projects • Boardman to Hemingway (B2H) • Gateway West EPA’s Proposed 111(d) Rule • First deficit year ranges from 2020 to 2025 depending on 111(d) ( ) compliance and coal retirement assumptions PURPA Contracts PURPA Contracts • 461 MW Solar contracts (un ‐ built) North Valmy Generating Station North Valmy Generating Station • Owner Future Expectations Alignment
Peak Load and Resource Capacity ‐ Status Quo Years 2015 ‐ 2034 in megawatts Y 2015 2034 i tt 5500 5000 4500 4000 3500 3500 3000 2015 2015 2020 2020 2025 2025 2030 2030 Load 95 Percentile Annual Peak Forecast Resource Capacity
PURPA Projects under Contract and associated Nameplate Rating (MW) P j t d C t t d i t d N l t R ti (MW) 2009 2011 2013 2015 Projects MW Projects MW Projects MW Projects MW Hydro Hydro 60 60 137 137 62 62 141 141 65 65 148 148 68 68 154 154 Cogen 5 37 5 37 5 37 4 31 Biomass Bi 7 7 26 26 11 11 37 37 11 11 49 49 10 10 29 29 Solar 0 0 1 20 1 20 19 461 Wind 17 252 22 447 27 577 32 627 Total 89 452 101 682 109 831 133 1,302
PURPA Increase from the 2013 IRP ‐ 471 MW or 57% 2013 IRP 2015 IRP 831 MW 1,302 MW 1,302 MW
Preferred Portfolio Portfolio P6(b) • 301 aMW of energy efficiency over 20 years and 473 MW of reduction on peak by 2034 • Valmy Retirement in 2025 (262 MW) • Actual Valmy retirement date will depend on B2H completion date, the ability to agree on a depreciation date and eventual closure date with NV Energy, and g p gy, PUC approval of an accelerated depreciation schedule • Boardman to Hemingway in 2025 (+500 MW in Summer, +200 MW in Winter) Peak-Hour Date Resource Installed Capacity Capacity 2025 Boardman to Hemingway 500 MW transfer capacity Apr-Sep 500 MW 200 MW transfer capacity Oct-Mar 2025 Retire North Valmy (both units) (262 MW) (262 MW) 2030 Demand response 60 MW 60 MW 2030 Ice-based thermal energy storage 20 MW 20 MW 2031 Combined-cycle combustion turbine 300 MW 300 MW Total retired capacity (262 MW) Total added capacity 880 MW Net peak-hour capacity 618 MW
Action Plan 2015 ‐ 2018 • 2015–2018 B2H and Gateway West: Ongoing permitting, planning studies, and regulatory filings • 2015–2019 Energy efficiency: Continue the pursuit of cost ‐ effective energy efficiency. The forecast reduction for 2015–2019 programs is 84 average megawatts (aMW) for energy demand and 126 MW for peak demand. ( ) f d d d f k d d 2015–2016 Coordinate with government agencies on implementation • planning for CAA Section 111(d). • 2015 Shoshone Falls File to amend FERC license regarding 50 ‐ MW expansion g g p • 2015 Jim Bridger Unit 3 Complete installation of SCR emission ‐ control technology technology
Action Plan 2015 ‐ 2018 continued i d • 2015–2016 Shoshone Falls Study options for a smaller upgrade ranging in size up to approximately 4 MW up to app o ate y 2016 Jim Bridger Unit 4 Complete installation of SCR emission ‐ control • technology gy • 2016 North Valmy units 1 and 2 Continue to work with NV Energy to synchronize depreciation dates and determine if a date can be established to cease coal ‐ fired operations • 2017 Shoshone Falls Commence construction of smaller upgrade • 2017 Jim Bridger units 1 and 2 Evaluate the installation of SCR technology for units 1 and 2 at Jim Bridger in the 2017 IRP • 2019 Shoshone Falls On ‐ line date for smaller upgrade during first quarter
Other Projects Solar PV on Distribution Feeder Lines Install solar PV panels near the end of long distribution feeders to boost/regulate voltage. The pilot project would confirm whether this concept is the lowest cost option in certain cases. Three locations have been identified for the pilot project. Thermal Ice Storage Pilot Project (Ice Bears) Thermal Ice Storage Pilot Project (Ice Bears) Identify and work with a commercial customer to install thermal ice storage. The initial phase would involve identifying a customer, designing the system, and putting together a detailed cost estimate. The second phase would be to purchase and install the equipment followed by data collection for a period of time to determine the th i t f ll d b d t ll ti f i d f ti t d t i th effectiveness of the concept. Shoshone Falls Upgrade Project pg j The previously planned 59 MW expansion of the Shoshone Falls Hydroelectric Project has been scaled back to an upgrade of 1.7 to 4.0 MW. Construction is tentatively planned to commence in 2017.
Schedule/Questions h d l /
2015 IRP Assumed Solar Capacity Factors Utility Scale Single Axis Utility Scale, Single Axis Month Residential, Fixed Tilt Tracking January 12% 7% February 19% 11% March 26% 16% April 32% 20% May 37% 23% June 41% 25% July 42% 26% August 39% 24% September 33% 20% Octobe October 25% 5% 16% 6% November 14% 9% December 11% 7% 27.5% 17.0% Annual Capacity Factor
Recommend
More recommend