Bond Oversight Committee 2013 Strategic Regional Analysis and Discussion of Capacity Needs and Proposed Solutions February 5, 2014
Agenda Strategic Regional Analysis 40 Minutes • FNE – Capacity Needs and Proposed Solutions • SW Capacity Needs and Proposed Solutions Discussion of Committee Roles and 20 Minutes Responsibilities and 2014 Schedule 30 Minutes Strategic Regional Analysis • Discussion of additional regions ( time permitting ) 2
Denver continues to experience exciting growth – Stapleton is just one example… Stapleton Development as of 2012 “Old Stapleton” -- early 2000 Population of Denver DPS Enrollment Growing City Increasing Capture 100,000 700,000 90,000 650,000 80,000 600,000 70,000 550,000 60,000 500,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* 2014* 3 2014 Denver population and enrollment is projected Source: DPS Planning and Analysis, US Census Bureau, Stapleton Denver and UrbanLand
Summary of Major Capacity Projects Region / Neighborhood School / Campus Project Completion FNE: Green Valley Dunkirk ECE-5 th grade 550-700 seat ECE- elementary school August 2014 FNE: Green Valley Evie Dennis 400 – 500 seat high school August 2015 FNE: Montbello McGlone Elementary 8 classroom cottage for ECE growth - COMPLTD August 2013 FNE: Montbello Escalante-Biggs Academy 6 classroom addition for ECE expansion - COMPLTD August 2013 NNE: Stapleton Northfield HS 1,000-seat high school August 2015 NNE: Stapleton Conservatory Green E-8 950-seat elementary & middle, TIF-funded August 2014 NNE: Stapleton Isabella Bird Campus 650-seat elementary, TIF-funded August 2014 NNE: Hilltop / Lowry Whiteman (Denver Language) 4 classroom cottage for program build-out - COMPLTD August 2013 NW: Sloan’s Lake Brown International 4 classroom addition to the building - COMPLTD August 2013 NW: Downtown Downtown Campus Relocate Emily Griffith, DDES, DPS Support Services August 2014 SW: Westwood Pascual LeDoux ECE 300-seat ECE Center - COMPLTD August 2013 SW: Ruby Hill Godsman Elementary 100-seat addition to the building August 2014 SW: College View Colorado Heights Campus Phase 2 of expansion for DSST HS August 2014 SE: Hampden South Hampden Heights E-5 550-seat ECE- elementary school August 2015 SE: West Wash Park Byers MS 900-seat middle & high for DSST August 2014 SE: Wellshire Slavens K-8 Increased capacity & renovations August 2014 4
Summary View of Capacity Constraints and Funding Status HS ES (NNE) (Highline) MS (in FNE Zone) ES (High HS MS Tech)* (Evie) (DSST) ES (Brown) ES (Bird)* ES (TBD) ES ES KEY (TBD) (DLS) ES FUNDED (TBD) ES SOLUTION (LeDoux) UNFUNDED ES NEED (Godsman) ES E8 (Slavens) ES (Hampden) * - TIF Funded 5
Strategic Regional Analysis Denver Public Schools Fall 2013 Reviewing with Bond Oversight Committee at 2/5/14 meeting with particular focus on FNE and SW Regions. 6
Overview FNE SW NNE NW SE Appendix Strategic Regional Analysis Objectives Objectives • Develop a common understanding of the data for each region and what it tells us about: – Quality of schools and programming – Specific types of programming needed for students in particular regions (e.g. preschool, intensive pathways, etc.) – Growth & demand for programming • Understand how these needs – along with guidance from parents and communities – drive strategies and staff recommendations to the Board regarding : – School quality improvements – New school approval and placement – Allocation of capital funding for facility improvements – Enrollment and boundary decisions Identify the key gaps in each region • Demographic gap: compares the number of DPS students today (and forecast in 5 years) to the number of seats available in the region. • Capture gap: identifies whether students are leaving the region for other offerings, indicating a potential need for school improvements and/or new/different offerings targeted to attract and retain students. • Performance gap: identifies gaps in the performance of the schools in the region. • Gaps in ECE: identifies unmet demand for preschool services; the mill levy has prioritized funding for expanding access to preschool seats. • Gaps in secondary specialized programs: identifies gaps in intensive pathway options, recognizing that the needs of students who are off-track are not all the same. 7
Overview FNE SW NNE NW SE Appendix District enrollment growth: DPS is the fastest growing urban district in the United States Enrollment has increased nearly 15,000 students, or 21%, since 2005 DPS Enrollment 95,000 89,929 90,000 87,382 84,424 85,000 81,870 79,423 80,000 77,292 74,564 75,000 72,490 70,000 65,000 60,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* * 2014 enrollment is projected 8
Overview FNE SW NNE NW SE Appendix 6,200, or 7%, additional students are forecasted to attend DPS by 2017 District Forecast 90,596 84,424 21,541 9-12 20,077 8% increase 6-8 18,907 17,049 12% increase E-5 50,148 6% increase 47,298 Y12 Y17 Key Factors Driving Enrollment Increases • Increased capture rates (% of school-age children attending a DPS school as opposed to another district, private school, or home school options) at all ed levels, particularly at the secondary level • Continued residential development, particularly in the far northeast, Stapleton, and Lowry Note: assumes constant # of out of district students and ECE based on capacity. 9
Overview FNE SW NNE NW SE Appendix 2012 bond investments in capacity enable DPS to maintain pace with student growth Elementary School Utilization: Secondary School Utilization: Enrollment & Seating Capacity Enrollment & Seating Capacity 95% 96% 92% 76% 71% 72% 54,580 55,841 50,148 51,570 48,453 46,171 46,295 43,826 45,206 40,448 36,824 34,201 2010 2012 2017 2010 2012 2017 Students Seats Students Seats Utilization Rate Utilization Rate Key Observations Key Observations • Elementary utilization across all regions of the city is • Middle and HS utilization rates tend to be lower across much higher than secondary utilization. the district compared to elementary schools, though FNE utilization rates are extremely high. • The 2012 bond contains capacity projects in every region • There remain secondary sites across the district that have of the city that will reduce utilization from its current levels, down to a forecasted 92% rate in 2017 a high level of excess capacity, despite other locations being overcapacity. 10
Overview FNE SW NNE NW SE Appendix Regional Overview: Far Northeast Key Capacity Investments Construction of Evie Dennis Campus (DSST FNE MS/HS, Strive GVR, SOAR GVR, Vista) – 2008 bond Construction of Escalante-Biggs ECE Academy – 2008 bond Addition at Escalante-Biggs ECE Academy & McGlone Elementary School – 2012 bond – Completed Construction of New Elementary School at Dunkirk (Highline Academy) – 2012 bond – Scheduled to be completed in August 2014 Construction of 500-seat HS at Evie Dennis Campus – 2012 bond – Scheduled for 2015 completion Lease of Samsonite building in Montbello for Strive-Montbello and High Tech Early College 11
Overview FNE SW NNE NW SE Appendix Regional Summary: Far Northeast Addressed Remaining Key gaps by changes Notes open issue in progress Mill levy funds have expanded offerings Pre-school capacity at community providers, but a need Need for additional 100-150 ECE seats (high wait lists at FNE remains. Highline will help address in schools, lack of community provider options) 2014-15. Elementary seating capacity: Montbello Construction at McGlone and Escalante Need 250 elementary seats in Montbello by 2013-14 Biggs, Academy 360 (2013) address needs Demographic Gaps Elementary seating capacity: Green Valley Ranch Highline Academy opens in 2014-15 to Need for up to 700 elementary seats by 2017, with a portion provide relief along with other choice needed sooner options Middle School seating capacity Board approved High Tech Middle School Need for about 300-400 MS program seats by 2017. Program to open in 2015-16, location needed would need to open in 2015-16 school year. High School seating capacity HS capacity planned for delivery in 2015- Need for about 450-500 HS seats starting in 2015 to address 16; funded through 2012 bond. Facility population growth and capture rate increases (more students location and program to be determined living in FNE choosing to attend HS in the FNE) Compassion Road (2013) and Legacy Off-track offerings (2015) expected to meet the specialized Limited capacity-based need, though possibly performance need needs. Facility needed for Legacy. 12
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