Orinda Union School District: 2018 Revenue Measure Feasibility Survey - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Orinda Union School District: 2018 Revenue Measure Feasibility Survey February 2018 Page 1 February 2018

Overview and Research Objectives Orinda Union School District commissioned Godbe Research to conduct a survey of local voters with the following research objectives: Ø Assess potential voter support for bond measures to benefit student health, safety, classroom modernization, and academic excellence with funding that cannot be taken by the State; Ø Prioritize projects and programs to be funded with the proceeds; Ø Test the influence of informational and critical statements on potential voter support; and Ø Identify any differences in voter support due to demographic and/or voter behavioral characteristics. Page 2 February 2018

Methodology Overview Ø Data Collection Landline (75), cell phone (63), text to online (238), and email to online (78) interviewing Ø Universe 10,825 likely November 2018 voters in the Orinda Union School District, with a subsample of those likely to vote in the June 2018 election (6,260) Ø Fielding Dates February 6 through February 16, 2018 Ø Interview Length 20 minutes Ø Sample Size 454 Likely November 2018 voters 301 Likely June 2018 voters Ø Margin of Error ± 4.45% Likely November 2018 voters ± 5.51% Likely June 2018 voters The data have been weighted to reflect the actual population characteristics of likely voters in the Page 3 Orinda Union School District in terms of their gender, age, and political party type. February 2018

Key Findings Page 4 February 2018

Q1. Uninformed Support for $55M Student Health/Safety/Modernization Bond Measure Orinda Union School District Student Health, Safety and Classroom Modernization. To: 61.8% • Repair and modernize existing classrooms; • Provide classroom air conditioning and updated 31.7% 30.1% 11.5% 19.0% 7.7% electrical systems; June 2018 • Upgrade fire safety, classroom locks, security lighting, communications, camera systems and classroom technology infrastructure; 65.1% Shall Orinda Union School District issue $55 million dollars in bonds at legal interest rates, collecting $3.3 million dollars annually with rates averaging 3 33.2% 31.9% 10.4% 16.8% 7.7% November cents per $100 assessed value 2018 while bonds are outstanding, with citizen oversight, annual audits, no funds for administrator salaries, and all funds used for Orinda schools only? 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Definitely Yes Probably Yes Probably No Definitely No DK/NA Page 5 February 2018

Q2. Uninformed Support for $45M Academic Excellence Bond Measure Orinda Union School District Academic Excellence Measure. To: 60.2% • Update science, technology, engineering, art, and math classrooms at Orinda Intermediate and elementary 32.3% 27.9% 12.4% 18.3% 9.0% schools; June 2018 • Provide or maintain library, multipurpose, cafeteria, music and drama classrooms; and • Maintain Wagner Ranch Nature Area; 64.1% Shall Orinda Union School District issue $45 million dollars in bonds at legal interest rates, collecting $2.7 million dollars annually with rates averaging 2.6 34.0% 30.1% 10.2% 17.0% 8.7% November cents per $100 assessed value 2018 while bonds are outstanding, with citizen oversight, annual audits, no funds for administrator salaries, and all funds used for Orinda schools only? 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Definitely Yes Probably Yes Probably No Definitely No DK/NA Page 6 February 2018

Q3. Features of the Measure I November 2018 (n=454) Sample A 72.7% 1.07 E. Protect the quality of academic instruction in core Sample B Tier 1 0.94 C. Update science, technology, engineering, art, and math 0.93 D. Update science, technology, engineering, art, and math 0.84 J. Provide science, technology, engineering and math 0.83 B. Upgrade fire safety, classroom locks, security lighting, 0.81 R. Provide classrooms for technology, engineering and Tier 2 0.81 A. Provide classroom air conditioning and updated 0.77 U. Upgrade classroom technology infrastructure 0.76 V. Maintain libraries 0.74 N. Repair and modernize existing classrooms 0.65 T. Provide or maintain music and drama classrooms 0.64 56.2% F. Replace aging portables with new flexible, modular -2 -1 0 1 2 Somewhat Somewhat Much More Much Less Less Likely More Likely Likely Likely Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores: Page 7 “Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, “No Effect” = 0, “Somewhat Less Likely” = -1, and “Much Less Likely” = -2. February 2018

Q3. Features of the Measure II November 2018 (n=454) Sample A 51.5% 0.50 Sample B H. Maintain Wagner Ranch Nature Area M. Repair and reconfigure sidewalks, parking areas and 0.44 bus drops-offs to improve safety and reduce traffic 0.40 G. Provide collaborative learning spaces Tier 3 0.40 L. Modernize elective classrooms S. Provide or maintain multipurpose classrooms and 0.40 cafeterias K. Upgrade shade structures to protect students from sun 0.35 and rain I. Transform an existing multipurpose building into a 0.34 performing arts theater and classrooms at Orinda 0.23 P. Improve Wagner Ranch Nature Area Tier 4 0.22 O. Provide outdoor learning spaces Tier 5 -0.03 34.3% Q. Upgrade Orinda Intermediate School track and field -2 -1 0 1 2 Somewhat Somewhat Much More Much Less Less Likely More Likely Likely Likely Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores: Page 8 “Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, “No Effect” = 0, “Somewhat Less Likely” = -1, and “Much Less Likely” = -2. February 2018

Q4. Informational Statements I November 2018 (n=454) A. Every penny from these measures will benefit local 1.25 71.2% schools, be controlled locally, and cannot be taken away B. The measures will upgrade classrooms and educational 1.12 facilities to provide up-to-date classrooms for core Tier 1 J. Because Orinda classrooms don't have air conditioning, 1.08 school had to be closed last year when the temperature E. Even if you do not have school-age children, updating 1.08 local schools is a wise investment. Good schools improve P. Most of the district's school facilities and classrooms 1.06 are 45 to 60 years old and need upgrades to ensure the D. These measures require independent citizens' 1.03 oversight and reports to the community to ensure the Tier 2 F. Lafayette, Moraga and Walnut Creek schools have all 1.02 been updated and Orinda schools are falling behind. Our M. Orinda schools often experience flooding when it rains. 1.02 Our schools need updates to avoid water damage and L. Good schools make our neighborhoods more desirable 1.01 62.4% and improve our property values Sample A 0 1 2 Sample B Somewhat More No Effect Much More Likely Likely Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores: Page 9 “Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, and “No Effect” = 0. February 2018

Q4. Informational Statements II November 2018 (n=454) C. None of the money from these measures can be used 1.00 57.2% to increase salaries, benefits or pensions for R. The measures will increase energy efficiency, and save 0.99 money by reducing heating and cooling costs, that can be G. Orinda schools provide a high-quality education, but 0.99 Tier 2 cont’d the facilities are old and deteriorating. Our students H. Orinda Union School District is proud to have award- 0.96 winning schools. These measures protect academic K. The school facilities funded by these measures are 0.91 essential to building a strong academic foundation. O. Orinda residents have always supported high quality 0.87 public education, this measure is an opportunity to Q. These measures will support 21st century learning at 0.85 all schools I. The measures would leverage outdoor learning areas at 0.82 creeks and open space areas near Orinda schools Tier 3 N. Orinda schools need to be rebuilt to support the high- 0.81 53.1% level learning our students deserve Sample A 0 1 2 Sample B Somewhat More No Effect Much More Likely Likely Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores: Page 10 “Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, and “No Effect” = 0. February 2018