AARHUS APRIL 2014 UNIVERSITY DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY LOAD ISSUES FOR MONAS 20/2014 LARS M. SVENDSEN
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY LOAD TOPICS COVERED IN THE PRESENTATION › Latest LOAD meeting (7/2014) 12.14 March 2014 › Core Pressure Nutrient Input Indicator › Follow up new country-wise nutrient reductions (Min Meeting 2013) › Contribution to MORE project and other LOAD7/2014 issues › Conclusions atmospheric session during HELCOM LOAD7/2014 › Project under LOAD: › PLC-5.5: two reports › PLC6: statistical methods, laboratory intercalibration, new parameters, transboundary project, PLC guidelines, monitoring, reporting › PLUS: organization, data model, QA-procedure, cooperation with OSPAR (RID database) HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 2
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY CORE PRESSURE INDICATOR ON INPUTS AND FOLLOW UP ON REVISED MAI AND NEW CART › A) To follow-up the revised country-wise nutrient reduction scheme decided at the 2013 Copenhagen Ministerial Meeting › B) Develop of a Core Pressure Indicator on nutrient inputs › is two different issues and we need to handled them separately. › When finalizing the new CART during the last days and hours before the Ministerial Meeting the principles for developing and quantifying CARTS was changed making CART’s specific to net figures for each CP. Further specific nutrient input reduction were assumed on water- and airborne transboundary inputs › The new CARTS therefore don’t relates directly to inputs to the Baltic Sea, which must be reflected in following up fulfilling new CARTS HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 3
The “Country - basin” catchments • Inputs are primarily assigned to the country doing the monitoring (owning the river mouth) • Major rivers carry nutrients from upstream countries (transboundary inputs) Reduction requirements are shared with the countries upstream
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY FOLLOW UP FULFILMENT OF CART › The aim and requirement is to follow up Contracting Parties’ national nutrient reduction commitments (CART ) but also the fulfilment of the assumed reductions in transboundary air- and waterborne inputs . This implies: Follow up each CP net input contribution: the target is national CART . CP have the possibility to weight reductions on water- and airborne inputs › Follow up on the transboundary atmospheric deposition from other countries and sources: the targets is the assumed reductions › Follow up on net transboundary waterborne inputs (retention deducted)from upstream countries: the target is assumed reductions › Focus on net input per CP, other countries/sources ( transboundary ) › Use of normalized input data , smoothing out weather impact › Only indirect link between national CART and inputs to the sea HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 5
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY CORE PRESSURE INDICATOR ON INPUTS › Core Pressure Nutrient Input Indicator aims to provide information of the total actual water + airborne inputs entering to the Baltic Sea sub-basins – these are the ecological relevant inputs from individual years: what the Baltic Sea “feels” of input pressures . This implies: › Compile the actual atmospheric inputs to Baltic Sea sub-basins › Compile the actual waterborne inputs per Baltic Sea sub-basin › No separation between inputs from CP’s on other sources (no division in transboundary inputs) › The targets – GES? - are maximum allowable input per sub-basin › The indicator focus on actual inputs per sub-basin › To follow trends in nutrient pressure it is although necessary to use normalized water and airborne input per Baltic Sea sub-basin HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 6
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 7
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 8
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 9
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 10
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY ASSUMED TRANSBOUNDARY REDUCTIONS HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 11
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 12
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 13
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY CORE PRESSURE INDICATOR ON INPUTS › - see doc 3/6 LOAD 7/2014 – rev . › Plan for finalizing Core Pressure nutrient input indicator: › ready in spring 2015 for HELCOM Commission Meeting › LOAD Core Group will have two days meeting preparing a first draft of the Core Pressure Nutrient Input Indicator 20-21 May 2014 › After agreeing of the scientific part allow time for making the indicator applicable for decision makers › Draft to be discussed at the next INPUT/PRESSURE Working Group meeting in “October 2014”, allowing time for LOAD Core, chairman and HELCOM Secretariat to finalize the indicator for adoption › It might challenging fully to follow the proposed template for a Core Indicator e.g. GES boundaries – and if all about concept, monitoring, methodology, data requirement, confidence must be described in details HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 14
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY FOLLOW UP NEW CART › A popular MAI-CART report was elaborated for the 2013 Copenhagen Ministerial Meeting (background document): › = doc 3/1 for HELCOM LOAD7/2014 › BNI Scientific background report on developing MAI and CART will be circulated to LOAD and MONAS contacts in June 2014 for commenting and feedback. › The report will be published as a BNI report – and without HOD endorsement HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 15
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY FOLLOW UP NEW CART › Elaborate a CART follow-up system might require a project (e.g. EU Strategy Baltic Sea Region -EUSBSR) or a working group on: › Developing t he follow-up system on all country and sources › How to calculate surface water retention and quantify transboundary inputs › How to take into account if retention changes over time on the allocated reduction requirements between CP’s and others › How often to make a CART follow-up report – annual changes might be rather small (maybe every 3 year – ask GEAR ) › 1th draft report: 1994-2010 data, later in 2014 include 2011 and 2012, and in late 2016 include 2013 and 2014 data (PLC-6) › LOAD CORE will discuss draft contents during meeting 20-21 May 14 HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 16
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY FOLLOW UP NEW CART › - provisional contents follow-up report on reduction targets – doc 3- 7 rev. For HELOCM LOAD 7/2014 HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 17
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY MONITORING REQUIREMENTS TO FOLLOW-UP CART FULFILLMENT › Reporting of annual nutrient load ( as minimum TN and TP ) and flow for all transboundary rivers which are included in the calculation of waterborne transboundary inputs at the mouth and at the borders › Retention in catchment receiving transboundary inputs (if new results can be provided) › Quantification of loads and river flow at the border by using methodologies as described in PLC6 guidelines › Receiving CP responsible for the reporting and coordination with upstream country › Reporting deadline: 31.10? HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 18
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY CONTRIBUTION TO HELCM MORE › Four templates have been filled in: › Atmospheric inputs of nutrients › Atmospheric inputs of contaminants › Waterborne inputs of nutrients › Waterborne inputs of contaminants › Level of details in the templates should be discussed, as e.g. for waterborne inputs LOAD has already prepared detailed overviews: › - see document 4/1 HELCOM PLC 6 5/2014 › PLC 6 meeting 2-4 June 2014 can check the information HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 19
AARHUS DCE – DANISH CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY UNIVERSITY CONCLUSIONS ATMOSPHERIC SESSION › HELCOM LOAD 7/2014 had a 4-5 hours session on atmospheric inputs as decided by HELCOM MONAS 19/2013 › Main topics: › EMEP annual reporting and assessment products › Monitoring of atmospheric deposition › Importance of atmospheric deposition compared with total input › Estimates of emissions › Estimates of atmospheric deposition and scenarios predicting future deposition after implementing Gothenburg Protocol and NECII › …. some main conclusions HELCOM MONAS 20/2014 April 2014 Lars M. Svendsen 20
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