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Introduction of SDB Go Hibino Mizuho Information & Research Institute, Inc. The 10 th AIM Workshop 2005.3.10-12, March 2005 1 Necessity of innovation strategies of innovation strategies Necessity Economic/social Indicator Y+ Y

  1. Introduction of SDB Go Hibino Mizuho Information & Research Institute, Inc. The 10 th AIM Workshop 2005.3.10-12, March 2005 1

  2. Necessity of innovation strategies of innovation strategies Necessity Economic/social Indicator Y+ Δ Y Economic/social Y Indicator Innovational strategies Environmental Quality E+ Δ E E Environmental Quality 2

  3. What is Strategic Database? What is Strategic Database? Environmental Innovation Strategies E: Establishment E: Establishment B: Research and B: Research and A: Activation of A: Activation of C: Introduction of C: Introduction of D: Development of D: Development of Development of N of New ew Development New New National Land National Land New New of New of New I International nternational Assessment Environmental E nvironmental Conservation Conservation Environmental Environmental Environmental Environmental C Cooperation ooperation Markets Markets Strategies Strategies Infrastructures Infrastructures Technologies Technologies S System ystem SDB Card SDB Card Environmental Innovation Options = Technology, Infrastructure, Institution, Management Options Simulation SDB Engine output (SDBE) Drivers / Counter- Strategic Database (SDB) measure Scenario Strategic database for the environmental policy decision is composed of tables of technologies, management, institutions, and scenarios, etc. and an integrated module part (Inference Engine, SDBE) where these data are integrated and analyzed. 3

  4. Example of SDB SDB Card Card [ [Advanced Advanced technology] technology] Example of Hybrid vehicle Hybrid vehicle 4

  5. Example of SDB SDB Card Card [Infrastructure] [Infrastructure] Example of Public transportation priority system Public transportation priority system 5

  6. Example of SDB SDB Card Card [Management] [Management] Example of Eco- -driving : No idling driving : No idling Eco 6

  7. Example of SDB SDB Card Card [Non [Non- -advanced technology] advanced technology] Example of Bicycle with rider induced Bicycle with rider induced 7

  8. Application of Strategic Database Application of Strategic Database Collect & process data Design environmental of environmental options innovation strategies Develop quantitative scenario of future drivers and countermeasure Combine data cards <SDB diagram> Simulate effect of Assess environmental environmental innovation innovation strategies strategies 8

  9. SDB diagram: Transportation sector [Overview] SDB diagram: Transportation sector [Overview] Transportation sector Transportation sector Eco education Environmental/ Voluntary plan Budget of subsidy Subsidy for Eco-driving Subsidy for energy tax scenario budget of auto company Eco-Nav. Sys. License system driving monitor A: Activation of New E A: Activation of New Environmental Markets nvironmental Markets Tax benefit for Subsidy for Priority to high Energy tax Air pollutant tax high Eff. vehicle high Eff. vehicle Eff. vehicle by voluntary plan Eco-driving Eco-driving Eco-driving Distribution of Eco-driving Driving GHG tax Subsidy for education education education eco-driving Eco-navigation at school via TV program via Web site leaflet system license monitor high train/ship/air AG [Tax/Subsidy] Voluntary plan (Priority to high Eff. vehicle) of rail company AA AB (Increase of inflow price) (Decrease of initial / O&M price Priority to high Eco-driver of high efficiency transportation ) Eff. train commendation B: Research and Development of New B: Research and Development of New by voluntary plan [Eco education] AH Energy Eff. Air poluution Voluntary plan (Priority to high Eff. rail) Environmental Technologies regulation regulation Environmental Technologies of ship company Energy Eff. Air pollutant Priority to high regulation regulation Priority to Priority to Maintaining Air conditioner Air conditioner Suppression of Eff. ship Reduction of Correct tire Correct Rev Timely by government by government walking public Economical temperature temperature sudden illegal parking shifting up by voluntary plan adjustment pressure laden weight control / bicycle transportation speeds adjustment acceleration [Regulation] AI [Eco driving] D: Development of New Environmental Voluntary plan (Priority to high Eff. ship) D: Development of New Environmental of air company AE AC (Improve of efficiency (Improve of efficiency U V X T of freight vehicle) of passenger vehicle) Priority to high (Priority to (Improve of efficiency (Improve of efficiency Infrastructures (Decrease of Infrastructures Eff. ship passenger transportation) public transportation) of freight vehicle) of passenger vehicle) AF (reduction of air pollutant W AD (reduction of air pollutant by voluntary plan Y and GHG emission of passenger and GHG emission of freight (reduction of air pollutant (reduction of air pollutant vehicle) [Voluntary plan AJ vehicle) and GHG emission of freight and GHG emission of passenger of private company] vehicle) vehicle) (Priority to high Eff. airplane) SO2 emission PM emission NOx emission regulation regulation regulation Road capital Freight facilities Public Trns. Capital information information capital formation Low S oil Budget budget budget PM removal NOx removal refinery plant budget budget budget Marine con- Joint delivery Large freight Strengthen Priority Paved Road Bicycle Road LRT Subway tainer term. facilities station road/bridge bus lane Low sulfur PM removal NOx removal oil refinery air filter catalyst Y [Freight facilities] [Road infrastructure] [Public transportation] AF P J AE O O Q S content L M R S G X I of oil K (Improve of efficiency W AA (Priority to large (Improve of efficiency (Priority to Bus) (Decrease of AB F (Priority to Train) of passenger vehicle) (Priority to train/ship) freight vehicle) of freight vehicle) passenger transportation) [Flue gas M V H AD N D E AC purification] N P (reduction of air pollutant (reduction of air pollutant and GHG emission of passenger and GHG emission of freight vehicle) vehicle) Existing Oil AG I J Vehicle (reduction of air pollutant (reduction of air pollutant of freight transportation) of passenger transportation) Hybrid A AG Vehicle Existing Oil ITS capital Car sharing Small-size Small-size IC card information preferential Vehicle Natural Gas budget tax system Vehicle Vehicle Vehicle preferential treatment system Hybrid Bio-fuel Vehicle FC Fuel cell Bio refinery Biomass FC Technology Small-size Small-size Vehicle R&D budget Vehicle Natural Gas R&D budget Constraint Improvement Vehicle Vehicle Passenger Vehicle L Vehicle Transportation Oil Fuel cell Vehicle Biomass Car sharing Existing Oil Bio refinery Hydrogen IC card Teleworking Gas TDM *1 AHS *1 AHS *1 AHS *2 AHS *1 ETC *3 VICS *4 AHS *1 PTPS *5 AHS *1 MOCS *6 AHS *1 Vehicle system Vehicle Tech. Imp. (Gas) ticket / SOHO Vehicle Passenger Transportation Hybrid Existing Oil Vehicle Vehicle Gas Bio fuel Hydrogen Hydrogen Large-size Large-size Bio fuel Natural Gas Vehicle Vehicle Refinery (Biomass) Import Hybrid B B Import Vehicle Vehicle Decrease of Congestion Large-size Large-size Fuel cell Natural Gas Vehicle Vehicle Vehicle Biofuel Hydrogen [ICT application] Vehicle H2 R T Constraint Constraint Fuel cell S Q Vehicle Existing Oil C C D F H Vehicle I (Priority to public transportation) (improvement of energy efficiency (improvement of energy efficiency (Priority to high efficiency vehicle) of freight transportation) of passenger transportation) Hybrid G Vehicle A B E K AH Passenger Passenger Train Bus Bus (reduction of air pollutant (reduction of air pollutant Natural Gas Transportation Transportation (Diesel) and GHG emission of freight and GHG emission of passenger Vehicle vehicle) vehicle) Train Freight Fuel cell Freight Train Train (Electricity) J Transportation Vehicle Train (High eff.) AH Train AI (Diesel) Train Ship Train Train (Electricity) Electricity (Low EFF.) Ship Ship Train Train (High eff.) (High EFF.) AI CO2 Ship AJ (Low EFF.) SO2 Ship Ship Air Train (Low EFF.) (High EFF.) Air Air NOx AJ Air (High EFF.) Air (Low EFF.) Demand Air Air Confluence Scenario Air (High EFF.) Trend/Policy Activity *1 TDM: Traffic Demand Management Scenario (Innovation) *2 AHS: Advanced Cruise-Assist Highway System *3 ETC: Electronic Toll Collection Activity *4 VICS: Vehicle Information and Communication System (Conventional) *5 PTPS: Public Transportation Priority Systems *6 MOCS: Mobile Operation Control Systems Constraint Activity Scenario with stock 9 Flow Influence

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