Cost-Benefjt Analysis of Climate Change Adaptation Measures in Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd International Conference Authors: ADAPTtoCLIMATE Edin Zahirović, Center for development and support Tuzla - Presenter 24-25 June 2019 Raduška Cupać, UNDP Bosnia and Herzegovina Heraklion, Crete Goran Trbić, University of Banja Luka, Faculty of Sciences island, Greece
UNFCCC. The main goals of the analysis: quantify and present fjnancial consequences of fmood and drought, present costs and benefjts of adaptation measures, rank and prioritize the climate change adaptation measures. Challenges: collect valid data for quantifjcation INTRODUCTION AND and fjnancial presentation of the positive efgects METHODOLOGY of the measures. Source of information: reports of the authors providing technical support to the TNC. Benefjts: avoided damages and losses in difgerent sectors due to the use of adaptation measures.
Most vulnerable sectors: agriculture, biodiversity, tourism, forestry, water resources and health. CLIMATE CHANGE Institutional-organisational measures, ADAPTATION MEASURES Structural measures and Educational-informative measures.
Institutional-organisational measures should improve: the quality and availability of data aimed at climate monitoring, data collection and modelling, analysis and climate related data forecasts, development of the administrative and technical capacities CLIMATE CHANGE of public institutions addressing climate change, ADAPTATION legislation to the actual needs (climate change adaptation, MEASURES European Union accession process and other sectorial organisations in the world), Institutional- integration of adaptation measures into all strategic organisational measures documents. 18 measures, 126 million € initial costs and 1,68 million € for annual operating and maintenance costs. The water resources sector takes the biggest share per value (>95%) of the foreseen adaptation measures.
Structural measures: use of certain technical and technological solutions. Sectors: agriculture, tourism, forestry and water resources. 11 measures, 4 billion € initial costs and 61 million € for annual operating and maintenance costs. CLIMATE Cost-Benefjt Analysis. CHANGE ADAPTATION Profjtability Index (PI) - respected the present value of all cash MEASURES infmows (benefjts) and outfmows (operating and maintenance costs) and the initial value of the investment. Structural PI>1 measures PI Pr ofitabilit y Index ; N ( b - c ) N project / measure life ; ∑ n n p b benefit (inf lows ) at the end of period n , b ≥ 0 ; n n n ( 1 + ) n = 0 100 c cos t ( outflows ) at the end of period n , c ≥ 0 ; n n PI = ; I p discount rate ; 0 I initial value of investment ; 0
Ran Profjtability Sector Measure k Index Develop alternative programmes of touristic supply (develop new tourism potential) 1 aimed at improving the overall tourism 14,15 T ourism product and extending the tourist season in affjrmed winter tourism centres in B&H. CLIMATE Establish intensive plots (energy plots and 2 plantations). Establish intensive plots under 9,48 Forestry CHANGE poplar tree in the basins of the large rivers. ADAPTATION Increase the surface area under forest MEASURES through afgorestation of the signifjcant 3 2,11 Forestry surface area evaluated as favourable for Structural afgorestation. measures Agriculture Reconstruct and build the irrigation system 4 1,51 in agriculturally developed areas. Agriculture Reconstruct and build the irrigation system 5 1,37 in fmoodplains and diffjcult land. Agriculture Build the micro accumulations. 6 1,23 Agriculture Use of agro technical measures for holding 7 1,13 and conserving humidity.
Ran Profjtability Sector Measure k Index Provide all technical conditions for laying CLIMATE artifjcial snow on ski tracks. Priority areas: CHANGE T ourism 1,11 8 Jahorina, Bjelašnica, Vlašić, Kupres and ADAPTATION Kozara. MEASURES Water Rehabilitate and reconstruct fmood protection resource 1,09 9 facilities. s Structural Construct multipurpose accumulations and measures Water redistribute big and small water: fmood resource 1,06 10 protection and irrigation. Hydro-energy s established. Establish forests on steep and shallow land Forestry and on the non-permeable layer, vulnerable to 0,51 11 erosion processes.
• Measures in the forestry sector with PI 9,48 and 2,11 (which means a present value of 9,48 and 2,11 € benefjt achieved per each € invested). • Measures in the tourism sector showed very CLIMATE good results with PI of 14,15 and 1,11. CHANGE • Measures in the agriculture sector showed good ADAPTATION MEASURES PI results ranging from 1,13 to 1,51. • The water resources measures showed Structural measures satisfactory PI results ranging from 1,06 and 1,09. • Positive signal for state and other investors to develop the investment potential of these measures.
Educational-informative measures are preconditions for more specifjc climate change CLIMATE problem solving. CHANGE ADAPTATION These measures focus primarily on increasing MEASURES awareness on the consequences of climate change and ways of living under extreme Educational- climatic conditions. informative measures 2 measures, 6,4 million € costs in the water resources and the health sectors.
Thank you for the attention! Edin Zahirović Center for development and support Tuzla T uralibegova 36, 75000 T uzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina + 387 35 248 340 +387 35 255 217 e-mail: crp@bih.net.ba; crp@crp.org.ba www.crp.org.ba
Recommend
More recommend
