THE HAMPSHIRE DEBATE 2019 THE FUTURE OF FARMING – WHERE WILL WE BE IN 2050? 6 NOVEMBER 2019
WELCOME MICHAEL VALENZIA REGIONAL DIRECTOR
CHAIRMAN’S INTRODUCTION JAMIE BALFOUR CLA HAMPSHIRE BRANCH PRESIDENT
SUSAN TWINING CHIEF LAND USE ADVISER, CLA
SHAPING THE FUTURE – TRENDS Global Trends Local Trends
SHAPING THE FUTURE – LEGISLATION & POLICY • Agriculture Act (2020) – environmental public goods (ELMS); animal health and welfare; productivity; transition from BPS • Environment Act (2020) – environmental targets; General Election improvement plans; net gain • Climate Change Act (2008) as amended in 2019 12 December – net-zero emissions by 2050 2019 • AHDB review • Clean Growth strategy • Industrial Strategy • Glover review Still to come: Tree Strategy - 2020 • Immigration Act (2020) Food Strategy - 2020 • Trade agreements
FARMING IN 2050 What will land be used for? Farming structure and business arrangements? How will it be farmed?
CLIMATE FARMING Land use Trees - Up to 1.5 million ha of new woodland – change 50% increase - 600,000 ha of on farm woodland - 5% increase land in trees to 19% in UK Perennial bioenergy crops - Up to 1.2 million ha Restored upland peatland Grassland - 25-30% less Arable – 10-25% less Farm Fewer farms, more collaboration structure Forestry or bioenergy joint ventures On farm water storage Farming Less ruminant meat production activity New markets tree products, new crops Low carbon farming practices New farming systems - indoor horticulture
AGROECOLOGICAL FARMING Land use Trees and hedges change - 10% of cultivated land Perennial bioenergy crops - None Grassland - Increase in permanent pasture Arable - Less arable land Horticulture - Increased fruit and vegetable production Farm Fewer farms and more collaboration. structure Highly skilled operators Farming Reduced ruminant meat production activity Increase in grass fed livestock Agroecological/organic farming practices
HIGH TECH DATA DRIVEN FARMING Land use Market led production change Unprofitable farm land released for environmental management and carbon sequestration Farm Larger efficient farms structure Highly skilled operators Farming Precision farming in crops and livestock activity production Robotic harvesting Real time telemetric data for real time remote decision making Instant supply chain information
QUESTIONS TO CONSIDER What is the priority? How do we achieve the balance? What needs to change now?
TIM MAY KINGSCLERE ESTATES
Understanding and implementing sustainability. “ We need Sound Business's that Out Perform the compounding effects of inflation… …before we concentrate on Social and environmental Enhancement.” Tim May
Cost of production Inflation Crop price Crop Yield True profit Profit Time
1.00 - ABERDART (int dip rg) 0.25 - AURORA (alsike clover) 2.00 - ABERMAGIC (int dip rg) 0.25 - LEO (Birdsfoot trefoil) 2.00 - LIDACTA (cocksfoot) 2.50 - ESPARCETTE (Sainfoin) 1.50 - PROMESSE (timothy) 0.50 - PUNA II (chicory) 2.00 - ARITA (meadow fescue) 0.25 - FORAGE BURNET 0.50 - MILVUS (red clover) 0.20 - YARROW 0.50 - AVOCA (white clover) 0.25 - SHEEPS PARSLEY 0.25 - VIOLIN (white clover) 0.20 - TONIC (rib plantain) 0.25 - CRUSADER (white clover) TOTAL ACREAGE = 14.40kg/acre pack
Animals as tools
VICTORIA READ RELATIONSHIP DIRECTOR, LLOYDS BANK
Classification: Limited Lloyds Bank Sustainability Strategy Agricultural Sector Clean Growth Fund 22
Classification: Limited Client Conversations 23
Classification: Limited Relationship Managers 24
TIM THORPE CAMPAIGNS AND POLICY OFFICER, THE VEGAN SOCIETY
Climate Crisis and UK agriculture A vegan perspective Tim Thorpe Campaigns & Policy Officer The Vegan Society
Direct GHG Emissions from the UK Agriculture Sector* GHG emissions from agriculture UK climate target? Machinery 10% NFU net zero by 2040 Livestock Soils digestive Methane & C02 equivalence? 24% processes 47% Waste & Manure 16% *Data taken from Committee on Climate Change Report 2018
Land use & negative emissions Grazing pasture takes up around 28% available UK land Growing of feed crops Committee on Climate change target 30,000 hectares new tree cover per year until 2050. Forestry Agroforestry Reforestation & habitat restoration
Future proofing agriculture Transition towards plant based The future of farm subsidies? New generation of farmers Crop research – High protein crops Government support to access advice
CHRIS TURNER PARTNER, CARTER JONAS
Demand on Land in 2050 Chris Turner - Partner
What will Farms look like? Disconnect between ownership and management
Ownership
Management Food vs Environmental land use Specialist farming = Efficiency
Types of Farming Businesses Types ypes of of agree eemen ment t to to oc occu cupy y land land Siz Size of e of bu busi sine ness sses es
BEN SCOTT-ROBINSON CO-FOUNDER, SMALL ROBOT COMPANY
Raising £2m to build the fourth agricultural revolution
FARMERS ARE CHANGING 800% Small Robot Company - Research phase Increase - zero till farming since 1999 50 farmers in 6 months 4700% “Give us new technology” Increase in regenerative farming since 2005 “But don’t make us pay” $5.4bn “And don’t make us risk obsolescence” Value of precision farming market 2019
LONG LIVE THE 4 th AGRICULTURAL REVOLUTION 4 TH 3 RD Heavyweight Lightweight High cultivation Minimum cultivation Per field decisions Per plant intelligence Mass application Precision treatment Nutrient draining Nutrient neutral Unsustainable Sustainable
MEET THE ROBOTS TOM Continuous onsite monitoring Per plant mapping PES Soil health analysis WILMA Data analysis and decision engine DICK HARRY Precision, zero till planting and feeding RootWave weed control Precision fungicide and pesticides Reduce energy by 90% Reduce chemicals by 90% Reduce seed by 40% Stop soil runoff
FARMING AS A SERVICE We give farmers We deliver improved precision, 1 TOM EFFICIENCY Per 200Ha And lower costs Dick and Harry arrive We provide ONLY 0% STRESS When they are needed From theft and reliability issues Can work on any size farm We will charge 1Ha - 10,000 £400/Ha But best for 200-1000Ha For the full service
ECONOMICS OF AN ARABLE FARM Meet Sam of Manor Farm – 60 Ha arable Sam currently spends With Small Robots, Sam will spend 60 ha of wheat. Yield 9t/ha. Price £150/t 60 ha of wheat. Yield 9t/ha. Price £150/t Revenue (incl. straw) - £87,600 Revenue (incl. straw) - £87,600 Seeds / ferts / sprays - £18,540 (£12,100 saving) Seeds / ferts / sprays - £30,600 Labour + Machinery - £6,551 (£25,000 saving) Labour + Machinery - £31,500 Overheads - £23,000 (£14,000 saving) Overheads - £37,000 Small Robot costs - £24,000 P/ L – (-£11,500) P/ L +£15,509
WHERE WE ARE – October 2019 Stage 1 – In-lab PoC Stage 2 – Trials Stage 3 – Productionisation Stage 4 – Mass Manufacture WILMA DELIVERING TO 300Ha GENERATING REVENUE
WHERE WE WILL BE – January 2021 Stage 1 – In-lab PoC Stage 2 – Trials Stage 3 – Productionisation Stage 4 – Mass Manufacture WILMA DELIVERING PROFITABLY DELIVERING A CUSTOMER TRIALS TO 300 SERVICE TO 2000 Hectares Hectares
OUR CUSTOMERS We are by farmers for farmers. Over 600 farmers have invested in us. 2188 farms 70 farms 20 farms 600 farms 4000 Ha 738,000 Ha 20,000 Ha 70,000 Ha Prepaid Target audience UK Farmers who have signed customers UK, US and Canadian Farmers who have 10% of UK no-till n MoU invested in Small Robot Company. 2% of UK conventional 2% of Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska no-till 1% of Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska conventional TARGET 200-1000 Ha arable farms that are using regenerative practices such as no-till. Initially UK, then US and Canadian farm cooperatives. MARKET
THE TEAM Head of Robotic COO Head of Experience Head of Consulting Head of Growth Engine CMO Awesomeness Ben Scott-Robinson Paul Humpage Catherine Pratt Ben Scott-Robinson Jo Allnutt Sarra Mander Ex-SSE Co-Founder Startup CFO Ex-Babel Co-Founder Ex-OS Tech Labs P.E.S Technologies 4 th Gen farmer CD - Sapient Hardware/IoT Ex-Foregenix AdMob-($650m) Ex-Qinetic Lead Mechanical AI Advisor Programme Lead Lead Electronic Engineer Lead Software Engineer Lead Robotic Engineer Engineer Aida Mehonic Emma Young Dave Canterbury Daniele LaNave Ray King Dr Tom Burrell Turing Institute Ex-Qinetic Robust systems Enterprise Dev Ex-Harper Adams ROS and Autonomy Ex-JCB J.P Morgan Ex-Spaceship Co. 30 yrs experience Geospatial US Strategy Consultant Tim Dunn Ex-SVP Strategy Isobar
T HECOMP E T IT ION Broad coverage Single F ull service function Speciality Source – Better Food Ventures AgTech Landscape 2019
Q&A
CHAIRMAN’S SUMMARY
THANK YOU CLA South East Andover Hampshire T: 01264 313434 E:southeast@cla.org.uk www.cla.org.uk
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