WDC LMI Update 2017 Update on Hawaii’s Workforce
Statewide Outlook by Industries Industry Sectors with the Highest Projected Growth (QCEW): COL Adjusted 2015 Jobs 2018 Jobs 2015 - 2018 2015 - 2018 Current Total 2016 Jobs 2016 Earnings NAICS Description Total Current 2016 Earnings 2016 GRP Change % Change Earnings Multiplier Multiplier Earnings 722511 Full-Service Restaurants 34,897 37,380 2,483 7% $28,538 $18,062 $1,027,185,051 $1,257,648,123 1.49 1.83 561330 Professional Employer 16,948 19,115 2,167 13% $43,342 $27,432 $730,442,454 $826,997,554 1.54 1.59 Organizations 721110 Hotels (except Casino Hotels) and 38,246 39,343 1,097 3% $54,237 $34,327 $2,111,611,609 $3,728,882,266 2.07 1.93 Motels 621491 HMO Medical Centers 461 1,498 1,037 225% $101,520 $64,253 $127,941,817 $137,058,707 2.68 1.78 238210 Electrical Contractors and Other 4,624 5,400 776 17% $87,810 $55,576 $459,591,717 $570,584,204 2.09 1.63 Wiring Installation Contractors 95,175 102,736 7,561 8% $45,217 $28,618 $4,456,772,648 $6,521,170,853 Industry Sectors with the Highest Projected Growth (Non QCEW): Current COL Adjusted 2016 2018 Jobs 2015 - 2018 2015 - 2018 2016 Jobs NAICS Description 2015 Jobs Total Total Current 2016 Earnings 2016 GRP Earnings Change % Change Multiplier Earnings Earnings Multiplier 901200 Federal Government, Military 58,274 59,698 1,424 2% $60,570 $38,335 $3,550,746,198 $7,677,298,778 2.57 2.29 Federal Government, Civilian, 901199 124 173 49 40% $73,686 $46,637 $3,271,116,008 $4,059,413,588 2.48 1.71 Excluding Postal Service 58,398 59,871 1,473 3% $60,602 $38,356 $6,821,862,206 $11,736,712,366
Statewide Outlook by Occupations • Occupations with the Highest Projected Growth (QCEW): COL Adjusted 2015 - 2018 2015 - 2018 % Avg. Hourly SOC Description 2016 Jobs 2018 Jobs Openings Median Hourly Change Change Earnings Earnings 35-3031 Waiters and Waitresses 15,880 16,483 911 6% 3,249 $15.61 $7.33 29-1141 Registered Nurses 11,423 11,951 777 7% 1,605 $43.34 $28.25 35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 8,572 9,045 710 9% 1,409 $15.15 $8.70 Combined Food Preparation and 35-3021 12,162 12,556 550 5% 1,749 $10.71 $5.82 Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 47-2061 Construction Laborers 4,962 5,241 477 10% 782 $25.10 $16.04 52,999 55,277 3,426 7% 8,794 $21.25 $12.51 • Occupations with the Highest Projected Growth (Non-QCEW): COL Adjusted 2015 - 2018 2015 - 2018 % Avg. Hourly SOC Description 2016 Jobs 2018 Jobs Openings Median Hourly Change Change Earnings Earnings 55-9999 Military occupations 58,622 59,698 1,424 2% 5,590 $19.16 $11.15 Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, 45-2092 645 705 58 9% 114 $13.26 $8.23 Nursery, and Greenhouse Secretaries and Administrative 43-6014 1,823 1,871 47 3% 106 $19.20 $11.91 Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 43-9061 Office Clerks, General 1,879 1,921 41 2% 165 $15.63 $9.65 Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids 37-2011 1,071 1,103 36 3% 101 $12.68 $7.54 and Housekeeping Cleaners 64,041 65,298 1,605 3% 6,075 $18.89 $11.04
Other Data Sources • Statewide Forecast Update – UHERO – March 3, 2017 • Hawaii’s healthy labor market conditions will continue. Much of the recent hiring has been in accommodations and food services. • Health care has also seen strong job growth, expanding by nearly 3% last year. • The next wave of resort and retail related construction and the ramping up of single-family home building will sustain activity near its current level through 2019. • Federal government hiring faces uncertain prospects, now that President Trump has issues and across-the- board hiring freeze. While the Department of Defense has clarified that public Naval shipyards are exempt, the impact on other positions remain unclear.
Risk Factors Could Impact Hawaii’s Near Term Economic Future • Exposure from Policy • impact health care, government employment, defense spending, immigration. • Financial Exposure • The continuing strength in the U.S. Dollar increases the cost of foreign visitors to Hawaii, making other foreign travel destinations financially more attractive. • Increasing interest rates further strengthen the dollar as a investment from foreign investors. • Exposure from Global Factors • Continuing Global Debt Crisis • Terrorism and political instability
Identified Target Industries: • Agriculture • Information Technology • Health Care • Construction • Shipyard – Federal Government, Military/Water Transportation
Agriculture Sector COL Adjusted 2016 Payrolled 2015 - 2018 2015 - 2018 Current Total NAICS Description 2015 Jobs 2018 Jobs Total Current 2016 GRP Business 2016 Taxes Change % Change Earnings Earnings Locations 11 Crop and Animal Production 16,093 16,509 416 3% $29,479 $18,658 $533,738,669 458 $43,657,141 Unemployed (10/2016) 266 Regional Trends – Projected Job Growth by County Region 2015 Jobs 2018 Jobs Change % Change United States 3,596,174 3,684,397 88,223 2.5% State of Hawaii 16,093 16,509 416 2.6% Honolulu County, HI 3,909 4,034 125 3.2% Hawaii County, HI 7,671 8,015 344 4.5% Maui County, HI 3,022 2,964 (58) (1.9%) Kauai County, HI 1,491 1,496 5 0.3%
Agriculture – Projected Top Occupations For 2018 in the State of Hawaii Top Occupations - 2018 Jobs Honolulu Hawaii Maui Kauai County, SOC Code Description United States Hawaii County, HI County, HI County, HI HI Farmers, Ranchers, and Other 11-9013 1,732,705 5,888 916 3,510 988 473 Agricultural Managers Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, 45-2092 842,057 4,067 1,166 1,656 854 391 Nursery, and Greenhouse 45-3011 Fishers and Related Fishing Workers 75,543 1,243 499 383 195 165 39-2021 Nonfarm Animal Caretakers 90,299 613 100 424 55 34 Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and 45-2093 77,071 403 122 153 96 32 Aquacultural Animals Total 2,817,674 12,213 2,804 6,126 2,187 1,096
Information Sector COL Adjusted 2015 - 2018 2015 - 2018 % Current Total NAICS Description 2016 GRP 2016 Taxes 2016 Earnings 2015 Jobs 2018 Jobs Total Current Change Change Earnings Earnings 51 Information $1,918,451,919 $218,677,296 $811,016,135 11,499 11,791 292 3% $69,194 $43,794 Unemployed (10/2016) 155 Regional Trends – Projected Change in Jobs by County Region 2015 Jobs 2018 Jobs Change % Change United States 3,407,071 3,529,102 122,031 3.6% State of Hawaii 11,499 11,791 292 2.5% Honolulu County, HI 9,172 9,319 147 1.6% Hawaii County, HI 1,000 1,120 120 12.0% Maui County, HI 913 929 16 1.8% Kauai County, HI 384 396 12 3.1%
Information – Projected Top Occupations For 2018 in the State of Hawaii Top Occupations - 2018 Jobs Honolulu Hawaii Maui Kauai County, SOC Code Description United States Hawaii County, HI County, HI County, HI HI Telecommunications Equipment Installers 49-2022 183,360 779 601 89 61 25 and Repairers, Except Line Installers 43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 166,260 578 470 55 37 13 27-2012 Producers and Directors 114,352 567 472 35 45 14 41-3099 Sales Representatives, Services, All Other 159,822 556 424 60 47 22 Telecommunications Line Installers and 49-9052 79,525 406 290 62 34 19 Repairers Total 703,320 2,885 2,258 301 224 95
Health Care Sector COL Adjusted 2015 Jobs 2018 Jobs 2015 - 2018 2015 - 2018 Current Total NAICS Description 2016 GRP 2016 Taxes 2016 Earnings Total Current Change % Change Earnings Earnings 62 Health Care and Social Assistance $5,229,048,372 $137,244,119 $4,939,652,698 79,642 84,536 4,894 6% $61,150 $38,703 Unemployed (10/2016) 1,146 Industry Change Summary 2016 Average Region 2015 Jobs 2018 Jobs Change % Change Earnings United States 21,165,561 22,624,958 1,459,397 7% $54,742 Hawaii 79,642 84,536 4,894 6% $61,150 Honolulu County, HI 60,579 64,302 3,723 6% $64,372 Hawaii County, HI 8,956 9,507 551 6% $46,012 Maui County, HI 6,940 7,321 381 5% $54,025 Kauai County, HI 3,154 3,387 233 7% $58,146
Health Care – Projected Top Occupations For 2018 in the State of Hawaii Top Occupations - 2018 Jobs Hawaii Honolulu County, Hawaii County, Maui County, Kauai County, SOC Code Description United States HI HI HI HI 29-1141 Registered Nurses 2,369,146 8,226 6,934 655 368 269 39-9021 Personal Care Aides 2,097,639 6,645 4,457 1,224 619 343 31-1011 Home Health Aides 1,190,099 5,518 4,297 668 375 177 31-1014 Nursing Assistants 1,376,983 4,679 3,622 474 293 290 31-9092 Medical Assistants 597,543 2,907 2,328 261 235 83 Total 7,631,410 27,976 21,639 3,282 1,890 1,162
Construction Sector COL Adjusted 2015 Jobs 2018 Jobs 2015 - 2018 2015 - 2018 Current Total NAICS Description 2016 GRP 2016 Taxes 2016 Earnings Total Current Change % Change Earnings Earnings 23 Construction $4,373,364,551 $55,824,120 $3,522,276,179 46,205 50,791 4,586 10% $72,466 $45,865 Unemployed (10/2016) 3,447 2016 Average Region 2015 Jobs 2018 Jobs Change % Change Earnings United States 9,948,900 10,351,581 402,681 4% $53,876 Hawaii 46,205 50,791 4,586 10% $72,466 Honolulu County, HI 31,836 35,643 3,807 12% $79,282 Hawaii County, HI 6,337 6,597 260 4% $54,266 Maui County, HI 5,625 5,942 317 6% $60,378 Kauai County, HI 2,389 2,599 210 9% $55,875
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