View on Trends and Developments Annelieke van der Giessen Wietske Koers TNO
Content • Aim of the workshop • STEEP (society, technology, economy, ecology, policy) trends and developments • Workshop agenda
Aim of the workshop Discuss the relevance and impact of STEEP trends and developments on cultural heritage and the opportunities and challenges that arise.
STEEP trends and developments Society Policy Technology Trends and developments in the external environment Ecology Economy
STEEP trends and developments Society Policy Technology Trends and developments in the external environment Ecology Economy
Aging population Multicultural society
Post-materialism Individualism
STEEP trends and developments Society Policy Technology Trends and developments in the external environment Ecology Economy
Mobile revolution Sustainable energy
Prosumers Open data
STEEP trends and developments Society Policy Technology Trends and developments in the external environment Ecology Economy
Globalization Euro crisis
STEEP trends and developments Society Policy Technology Trends and developments in the external environment Ecology Economy
Climate change Pollution
STEEP trends and developments Society Policy Technology Trends and developments in the external environment Ecology Economy
Renewed independency European integration
Privatization Budget cuts
Workshop agenda 13:30 Warm up 13:45 Phase 1: Identifying most relevant trends and developments 14:15 Present results and group discussion phase 1 14:45 Break 15:00 Phase 2: Brainstorm on potential impacts on development, management, preservation, promotion, use, funding of cultural heritage 15:45 Present results and group discussion phase 2 16:15 Phase 3: Selection on critical impacts. Discussion on challenges, needs, options, questions for further research 16:45 Concluding remarks and wrap up
Phase 1: Trends and developments • Several changes in society which can be described as trends and developments • Current and future trends can have an influence on the cultural heritage domain • In this first brainstorm, the STEEP framework is used to identify the most relevant future trends for each STEEP theme
Phase 1: Brainstorm trends and developments • Warm Up • Divide in smaller groups • Individual: brainwrite (5 min) • Group: share and react on the brainwrites • Group: cluster the brainwrites/trends • Group: map trendclusters on certainty and timeframe • Select relevant clusters for phase two • Share and discuss outcomes with the other groups
Break
Phase 2: Impact • The culmination of seperate effects on cultural heritage resulting from the trends and developments • These effects can be both positive or negative and large or small • As both the culmination of effects and the desirability of individual effects are relevant, both will be discussed in this part
Phase 2: Brainstorm Impact • Individual: brainwrite (5 min) • Group: share and react on the brainwrites • Group: cluster the brainwrites/impacts • Group: map trends on pos/neg impact and large/small impact • Group: assess the desirability of both the indivdual effects of a trend and the culminated trends • Share and discuss outcomes with the other groups
Phase 3: Critical impacts • Individual: select top 3 of critical impacts • Group: discuss selection • Group: discussion on future challenges, needs, options, and questions for further research
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