TM2 Summary WG1: Assessment and Decision Making for NORM and Nuclear Legacy Sites Ming Zhu, Ph.D., PE, PMP U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Environmental Management Presented to MODARIA II Second Technical Meeting 3 November 2017 IAEA International Atomic Energy Agency
Participation in WG1 Breakout Sessions 30-Oct-17 31-Oct-17 1-Nov-17 2-Nov-17 Total 22 28 18 23 In Person IAEA 1 1 1 Belgium 2 2 2 2 Brazil 1 1 1 1 Bulgaria 1 1 Canada 2 1 China 3 3 1 2 Demark 1 1 Gabon 1 1 1 1 Ghana 1 1 1 Japan 1 1 Madagesc 1 1 1 1 Russia 1 1 1 1 Singapore 1 Slovenia 2 2 2 UK 1 2 1 2 Ukraine 1 1 1 1 USA 6 6 5 7 Via WebEx 2 IAEA Belgium 1 2 Canada 1
WG1 Participation in Plenary/Joint Sessions Plenary presentation by Eduardo Figeira da Silva (Brazil) on Uranium mining and legacy waste sites in Brazil; potential addition to the case studies, 31 Oct. 2017 Joint Session with WG3 and WG5 to discuss biota modeling for Case Studies, 31 Oct. 2017 RESRAD-Offsite Training by Charley Yu (USA), 1 Nov. 2017 Demonstration by Paul and Kelly Black (USA) of use of Guided Interactive Statistical Decision Tools (GiSdT) for stakeholder-engaged structured decision-making at this Meeting, on Thursday, 3 Nov. 2017 IAEA 3
WG1 Presentations Ming Zhu (USA), Recap from MODARIA II WG1 IM1, 30 Oct. 2017 Hongtu Sun (China), NORM site in Yunan, China; potential addition to the case studies, 30 Oct. 2017 Adrian Punt (UK), Application of PC-CREAM for modelling uranium discharges to a small water course, 30 Oct. 2017 David Copplestone (UK), Integration/harmonization with ICRP Task Group 105, 30 Oct. 2017 Stephane Pepin (Belgium), Input Dataset for the Tesserderlo Test Case, 30 Oct. 2017 Daria Koliabina (Ukraine), Input Dataset for the Zapadnoe Test Case, 30 Oct. 2017 IAEA 4
WG1 Presentations (ctd) Jeff Whicker (USA), Modelling of Resuspension: Prediction and Validation of Radioactive Dust Emissions from Contaminated Areas, 31 Oct. 2017 Ming Zhu (USA), Update from P&RA CoP Technical Exchange Meeting, 1 Nov. 2017 Tamara Yankovich (IAEA), Update on MODARIA I WG1 Report, 1 Nov. 2017 Haruko Wainwright (USA), Modeling Support for Monitoring Strategies; In Situ Sensors and Climatic Controls, 2 Nov. 2017 Nasser Shubayr (USA), Study of Chemical and Radiation Risk Assessment Methods for the US EPA and the EA of the UK, 2 Nov. 2017 IAEA 5
Sites Selected for Case Studies Tessenderlo Phosphate Processing Site Zapadnoe Tailings Site Belgium Ukraine Former NORM Facility in São Paulo IAEA Brazil 6
Tessenderlo (TCH) Phosphate Processing Site, Belgium Sludge pond at the Kepkensberg site Site locations: The facilities (orange); sludge basin (dark blue); waste water buffer basin (light blue); landfill (green); out of operation (dashed); discharge points to the rivers (yellow) Ra-226 contamination in the Winterbeek River TCH Phosphate Processing Facility IAEA 7
Tessenderlo Site Case Study Problem definition, Scenario description, and Input dataset (25 Oct. 2017) Scenario 1. Residual contamination in the flood zone of the Winterbeek River Scenario 2. Impact of the Kepkensberg disposal facility: a. “Normal” Evolution; b. Intrusion Review geochemical conditions for parameter selection (15 Jan. 2018) RESRAD and NORMALYSA models for all scenarios: Runs complete; investigating differences Improved model-model comparison Task 1: Model set up and initial runs for Scenario 2.a (15 Jan. 2018) GOLDSIM; DCC Calculator Task 2: Model-model comparison (TBD before IM2) Model-data comparison (TBD at IM2) Radionuclide transport in the Winterbeek River Task 1: Model set up, input parameters, initial runs (15 Jan. 2018) PC CREAM adaptation and application; Comparison to NORMALYSA IAEA 8
Tessenderlo Site Case Study Biosphere exposure assessment for Winterbeek Task 1: Model set up, input parameters, initial runs BIOSPHERE (15 Feb. 2018) GOLDSIM (15 Feb. 2018) NORMALYSA RESRAD • Evaluate possibility for demonstrating the use of GiSdT for different risk drivers (Cd, radionuclides, etc) (15 Feb. 2018) • Evaluate datasets for potential biota doses assessment (15 Dec. 2017) • Evaluation of Cd vs. radionuclides for decision making (15 Dec. 2017) • Monitoring strategy to help define end state (15 Feb. 2018) IAEA 9
Zapadnoe Tailings Site, Ukraine Zapadnoe Tailings Site Location of Zapadnoe tailings Ukraine Pridneprovsky Uranium Legacy Site, Ukraine, where the Zapadnoe Tailings Site is located Distribution of Rn-222 flux (mBq/m 2 /s) from the surface of IAEA Zapadnoe tailings in September 2009 10
Zapadnoe Tailings Site Case Study Problem description, Scenario description, and Input dataset(s) (30 Oct. 2017) Scenario 1: Worker Exposure Scenario 2: Radionuclide Transport in GW to the Konoplyanka River Scenario 3: Transport to the Konoplyanka and Dniper Rivers Review geochemical conditions for parameter selection (15 Jan. 2018)11 Additional transport modelling to compare to the MODARIA & NORMALYSA calculations for same initial conditions Task 1: Model set up & initial runs for Scenario 2 NORMALYSA (Scenarios 1 & 2 Complete; Scenario 3, 15 Nov. 2017) RESRAD (15 March 2018) GOLDSIM (15 March 2018) DCC Calculator (15 March 2018) • Considerations of other risks induced by remediation (worker exposure, transportation, etc) (input to chapter 2) (15 April 2018) • Radionuclide transport in the Konoplyanka River Task 1: Model set up and initial runs (15 Jan. 2018) PC CREAM adpation and application; Comparison to NORMALYSA IAEA 11
Zapadnoe Tailings Site, Ukraine • Biosphere exposure assessment for Konoplyanka River Task 1: Model set up & initial model runs NORMALYSA (30 Dec. 2017) BIOSPHERE (TBD) GOLDSIM (30 April 2018) Framework for stakeholder engagement - Leveraging CIDER Task 1: General framework presentation (2 Nov. 2017) • Evaluate datasets for potential biota doses assessment (30 Nov. 2017) • Monitoring strategy to help define end state (15 Feb. 2018) IAEA 12
Former Tin Processing Facility, Brazil Site layoput IAEA 13 Storage facility
Former Tin Processing Facility, Brazil Data collection (15 Nov. 2017) RESRAD Model setup (15 Dec. 2017) NORMALYSA (TBD) IAEA 14
NORM Site, China Addition to WG1 Case Studies still under Consideration Decision expected by no later than May 2018 Coal mining and surrounding farmland IAEA Tailing and paddy field 15
MODARIA I WG1 Report Proposal under consideration to split the draft MODARIA I WG1 Report into 2 parts Part 1 on Decision-Aiding Theory and Framework to be completed as MODARIA I publication Part 2 on examples of decision-aiding analyses to be integrated into MODARIA II WG1 Report IAEA 16
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