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The twin cycle hypothesis Substantial weight loss in people with type 2 diabetes will: Pancreas Liver Decrease fat Decrease fat normalise the insulin improve insulin action and response to eating and normalise overnight blood sugar


  1. The twin cycle hypothesis Substantial weight loss in people with type 2 diabetes will: Pancreas Liver Decrease fat – Decrease fat – normalise the insulin improve insulin action and response to eating and normalise overnight blood sugar

  2. The Counterpoint study – Type 2 diabetes, 800kcal diet 10 Fasting glucose (mmol/l) 8 6 4 0 2 4 6 8 Week 20 15 Insulin sensitivity Liver 15 10 Fat % Index 10 5 5 0 0 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 a 0.8 12 insulin secretion First phase 0.6 Pancreas 9 Fat % 0.4 6 0.2 3 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 Week Week

  3. Reversibility of type 2 diabetes 100 % Insulin suppression 80 of HGP 60 40 The pathophysiological 20 defects in the liver and 0 Week 0 Week 1 Week 4 Week 8 pancreas are reversible – First phase insulin response 1.0 if diabetes duration <4yr 0.8 (nmol/min/m 2 ) 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 0 1 4 8 Can long duration type 2 diabetes also be reversed?

  4. The Counterbalance Study – Counteracting BetA cell failure by Long term Action to Normalize Calorie intakE Questions: Can people with longer duration type 2 diabetes reverse to normal? Is the reversal of type 2 diabetes durable if body weight remains stable?

  5. Protocol for CounterBalance study Stepped return to normal eating T2DM < 4 yr Very low calorie diet Weight maintenance T2DM > 8 yr 8 10 0 1 4 8 10 + 6 months Weeks

  6. Counterbalance Subjects Diabetes duration 0-4y 8-23y (n=15) (n=14) Age (yr) 52.1 ± 2.6 61.6 ± 2.0 Weight (kg) 99.0 ± 3.7 96.9 ± 3.8 BMI (kg/m 2 ) 34.6 (27.6-38.0) 33.0 (29.4-45.7) FPG (mmol/l) 9.6 ± 0.7 13.4 ± 0.8 HbA1c (mmol/mol) 55 ± 2 70 ± 4 Fasting insulin 17.4 (3.9-48.9) 7.0 (4.1-31.9) Steven et al Diabetic Med 2015

  7. Results: weight loss during diet Weight loss: 14.6 ± 0.8 % vs. 14.5 ± 0.7 % p=0.662

  8. Fasting plasma glucose during diet Steven et al Diabetic Med 2015

  9. By diabetes duration <4 y 8-12 y >12 y 5.8 mM 6.2 mM 10.6 mM Spearman 0.501; p=0.006 Steven et al Diabetic Med 2015

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