The Role of the Low Carbon Vehicle Partnership and Hybrid Technology in the Car of the Future RAC Foundation Public Policy Committee 11 th July 2005 Graham Smith MD Toyota (GB) PLC Chairman, Low Carbon Vehicle Partnership
Scope Scope � The car of the future � The role of the LowCVP in stimulating change � The market challenge � Pathways to the car of the future � The role of hybrid technology � The Toyota vision Boscastle, Cornw all, August 2004
The car of the future � A fifth, and increasing, 120 proportion of greenhouse gas Emissions as % 1985 100 emissions arise from road 80 transport baseline 60 � c150 local authorities have 40 declared Air Quality 20 Management Areas 0 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 � Half of Londoners consider 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 noise a problem – traffic noise is the biggest concern Year CO2 Petrol NOx Diesel PM Diesel NOx Petrol
Low Carbon Vehicle Partnership Low Carbon Vehicle Partnership � Facilitate cross-sectoral engagement between Accelerating a industry and other stakeholders sustainable shift � Encourage research, demonstration and to low carbon commercialisation of low carbon automotive vehicles and fuels technologies in the UK and assist UK businesses participate in emerging markets in the UK � Contribute towards the setting, and Stimulating achievement, of UK Government’s targets for carbon reduction from the road transport sector opportunities for UK businesses � Deliver an effective flow of information within and between industry and other stakeholders
Low CVP membership and activities � Industry initiatives − Biofuels assurance − Car label Other, 15, Automotive , � Advice to Government (10%) Consultant , 49, (32%) 12, (8%) − Testing of low carbon buses National and Local Govt , − TransportEnergy programme 10, (6%) − Future of voluntary agreements − RTFO Assurance Feasibility Environmental Study NGO , 7, (5%) − Climate Change Programme Consultation workshops Transport Energy Research Trade Body , � Research Operator , 13, Industry, 20, Community , 10, (6%) (8%) (13%) 19, (12%) − Car buying behaviour − R&D agenda for Cenex − Environmental impacts of biofuels
Key Partnership challenges and activities � Limited market for environmentally friendly vehicles � Insufficient incentives for consumers � High cost and limited availability of renewable transport fuels � Limited UK involvement in low carbon vehicle, research, development and demonstration � Low levels of industry profitability
The market for environmentally friendly vehicles is presently small and incentives for consumers limited New car sales by VED Band Fleet average emissions for new vehicle sales 100 195 Average g/km new vehicle sales F 90 190 80 185 E 70 180 60 % Sales D 175 50 170 40 C 165 30 160 20 B 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 10 9 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 9 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 A 0 UK average UK Private 1997 1999 2001 2003 UK Business EU average
The evolution to zero emission vehicles starts w ith hybrid technology EV Drive Motor-assist Motor-assist Regenerative Regenerative Regenerative braking braking braking Engine Engine Engine Engine stop stop stop stop Mild hybrid Strong hybrid
Future evolution of Hybrid Technology Future evolution of Hybrid Technology FINE-S: hydrogen Prius: gasoline Engine Fuel Cell Power Power control control Secondary Secondary unit unit battery battery Motor Motor
Forecast for Fuel Cell Vehicle Market Introduction Stage of cost and product competition Stage of technology Infrastructure preparation is required competition Widespread introduction Fleet test/Limited introduction Demonstration test ’01 ’05 ’10 ’20� 30
Environmental leadership
Summary � The car of the future will be zero emission – addressing the environmental challenges of climate change, air pollution and noise � Hybrid Synergy Drive technology is an important step in the evolution of technology to zero emission vehicles � The LowCVP is working effectively to accelerate the transformation of the market which is currently limited by inadequate incentives to change consumer attitudes and buying behaviour � The high cost and limited availability of renewable transport fuels is a major barrier to the introduction of low carbon vehicles � Toyota has commenced a journey to the zero emission car of the future - other stakeholders must also contribute to accelerate progress
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