Helping the world communicate Telecom m unication Sector in Transition: Case of South Eastern Europe 5th Conference on Applied Infrastructure Research 5th Conference on Applied Infrastructure Research Sustainable I nfrastructure Financing in Europe under the Conditions of Com petition, Regulation, Environm ental Concern, and I nstitutional Change 6- 6 - 7 October 2006, Berlin 7 October 2006, Berlin Anna Riedel Jaroslaw K. Ponder University of Bochum Policy Analyst ITU Strategy and Policy Unit Presentation prepared within the framework of research project on Future of Voice International Telecommunication Union The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the ITU or its Membership.
Helping the world communicate About I TU � International organization where governments and private sector coordinate global telecom networks and services � Founded in 1865, it is oldest specialized agency of the UN system � 190 Member States, 780 Sector Members & Sector Associates � Headquarters Geneva, 11 regional offices, 760 staff / 80 nationalities 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 2
Helping the world communicate I TU Mission � Maintain and extend international cooperation in telecommunications � To harmonize actions of Member States and promote cooperation between Member States and Sector Members � Technical and policy assistance to developing countries 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 3
Helping the world communicate I TU New I nitiatives Program m e � Focus � ICT innovations � New market developments � Emerging regulatory challenges � Three main outcomes : � Research programmes � International expert workshops � Publications � w w w .itu.int/ ni � w w w .itu.int/ ni 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 4
Helping the world communicate W hat rules for I P-enabled NGNs? � Research Programme � Background Resources � Three Background Papers � New Markets (Prof. Wey) � Interconnection (Mr. Marcus) � Universal Service (Dr. Xavier) � Chairman Report � Workshop: March 2006 w w w .itu.int/ ngn w w w .itu.int/ ngn 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 5
Helping the world communicate The Future of Voice � Research Programme � Background Materials Page � Three Background Papers � Four Regional Studies � Asia � South Eastern Europe � Africa � Latin America � Workshop: January 2007 w w w .itu.int/ spu/ voice w w w .itu.int/ spu/ voice 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 6
Helping the world communicate Telecom m unication Sector in Transition: Case of South Eastern Europe 5th Conference on Applied Infrastructure Research 5th Conference on Applied Infrastructure Research Sustainable I nfrastructure Financing in Europe under the Conditions of Com petition, Regulation, Environm ental Concern, and I nstitutional Change 6- 6 - 7 October 2006, Berlin 7 October 2006, Berlin Anna Riedel Jaroslaw K. Ponder University of Bochum Policy Analyst ITU Strategy and Policy Unit Presentation prepared within the framework of research project on Future of Voice International Telecommunication Union The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the ITU or its Membership.
Helping the world communicate Agenda � Sector in technologic revolution � Regulatory evolution � All-IP environment requirements � Case of South Eastern Europe � Conclusions 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 8
Helping the world communicate Technologic Revolution � Fixed Infrastructure � Gradual migration to the IP environment � Access and Core Networks: Romania, Slovak Republic � New IP based services, e.g. IPTV, VoD � Wireless Infrastructure � Mobile: 2G, 2.5G, 2.75G, in some c. 3G � Mobile-Fixed infrastructure: CDMAx1 s. 450 � Wireless: WiFi, WiMax (efficient spectrum management) � New services: Mobile-TV (DVB) � Cable TV � Digitalization and provision of broadband delivery of other services than TV and Radio � Broadcasting � Digitalization 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 9 Noticeable substitution effects basic com m unication
Helping the world communicate Sector in Transition � Revolution at the core, edge and access � Overall digitalization and migration to the IP � Fixed / Wireless / Cable TV / Broadcasting � Multi-facility competition / Service b. comp / Infrastructure less pr. � Broadband requirements driven via new services and applications � Strengthened process of convergence � Technology / Market / Services / Institutional � Fixed-Mobile Convergence � Convergence and interactivity are a key to success 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 10
Helping the world communicate Telecom Sector in Transition � Meaning and character of communications � Voice, Video, Data, SoD � New sell and price strategies coming from IP-enabled flexibility on operational level � NGS: N-play services, e.g. IPTV � Falling prices of communication services and access � Traditional services lose economic but not strategic meaning � Personalization and customization � Regulation � Less regulation / blurred boundaries � Migration from vertical to horizontal approach � Technological neutrality becomes meaningful 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 11
Helping the world communicate Telecom Sector in Transition Now Broadband/ Mobility Service A Service B Service C NGN Simulation Emulation VoIP Multimedia QoS Net. A Net. B Net. C Generalized mobility USO Future Convergence PSTN Reg. Int. Services A, B, C Integrity Mobile 2G Multi-layer orientation Open character IP Platform Next Generation Services (QoS) QoS, Mobility, Interactivity, Personalization, N-play Access Networks IP-environment 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 12
Helping the world communicate Convergence process Broadca Fixed Cable- Mobile Wire Infr. sting/ Telec. TV Telec. less less Satelite s. prov. Voice Internet Television/ Radio Services on Demand (VoD… ) 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 13
Helping the world communicate Digital Opportunity I ndex w w w .itu.int/ doi w w w .itu.int/ doi Opportunity I nfrastructure Utilization 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 14
Helping the world communicate Digital Opportunity I ndex percentage of population Opportunity Utilization internet users covered by m obile per 1 0 0 inhabitants cellular telephony m obile cellular tariffs ratio of broadband as a percentage of internet subscribers to per capita incom e internet subscribers ratio of broadband internet access tariffs DOI DOI m obile subscribers to as a percentage of w w w .itu.int/ doi m obile internet subscribers per capita incom e w w w .itu.int/ doi proportion of households proportion of households Opportunity w ith a com puter w ith fixed line telephone I nfrastructure m obile cellular subscribers m obile internet subscribers per 1 0 0 inhabitants per 1 0 0 inhabitants Utilization proportion of households w ith I nternet access at hom e Infrastructure DOI DOI 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 15
Helping the world communicate Digital Opportunity I ndex w w w .itu.int/ doi w w w .itu.int/ doi Opportunity I nfrastructure Utilization DOI DOI 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 16
Helping the world communicate I nternet use and Prices in SEE Users and Subscribers per 1 0 0 inhabitants in CESE 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Slovenia 20.1 55.4 Estonia 14.8 51.9 Czech Republic 21.2 49.9 Slovak Republic 9.7 46.3 Latvia 2.9 44.6 Lithuania 31.5 35.7 Broadband Prices in CESE Lithuania 4'096 28.44 Belarus 0.4 34.8 9.36 256 Ukraine 2'048 30.72 Croatia 28.16 20.5 31.9 512 High Speed (1'024 - 6'144) Romania 1'536 32.94 21.00 Hungary 256 9.0 29.7 Lower Speed (256 - 1'024) Bosnia 4'096 37.95 22.13 1'024 Poland 20.9 26.0 Estonia 39.31 1'000 27.40 512 Turkey 3.1 21.9 Slovenia 56.01 4'096 37.34 1'024 Bosnia 4.5 20.6 Hungary 61.10 2'048 36.97 1'024 Bulgaria 0.1 20.6 Bulgaria 62.89 2'048 12.70 256 Romania 8.4 20.2 Croatia 65.01 2'048 512 16.55 Russia 15.2 1.3 Czech Republic 69.27 3'072 2'048 27.98 S&M 5.7 14.4 Poland 74.97 6'144 1'024 51.99 Ukraine 0.5 9.8 82.11 Serbia and Montenegro 768 256 40.31 Moldova Belarus 94.40 1.5 9.5 2'048 22.10 256 Slovak Republic 2'560 176.89 TFYR Macedonia 0.0 7.9 28.11 1'024 Users per 100 inhab. Turkey 2'048 215.45 Albania 0.6 2.3 83.62 512 Subscribers per 100 inhab. 1'536 247.97 TFYR Macedonia 26.32 512 Russia 1'024 288.00 168.00 256 Latvia 309.35 2'048 136.79 512 Moldova 408.76 1'024 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 17 111.92 256 Albania 485.77 1'024 37.29 256
Helping the world communicate Fixed Telecom ., Europe 60 Bulgaria 54,84 49,9 Croatia 50 Czech Republic 40 38 Hungary 35 30 30 Poland 28,2 26.28 Romania 21,2 20 20.31 Turkey 13,1 10 EU15 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 6 July 2006 international telecommunication union 18
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