State of Northern Caldwell County: Economic & Growth Outlook November 19, 2019 6:30 - 8:30 pm ML Cisneros Education Support Center
Caldwell County
Caldwell County General Information Size in Square Miles: Land area 545.3 sq. mi. Water area: 1.9sq. Mi. Total area: 547.2 sq. miles Urban and Rural Population of the County 2010 (Census Bureau) Percent Urban: 57.71 Percent Rural: 42.29 County Roads Caldwell has 301 County Roads Asphalt Roads 194.40 miles Gravel Roads 220.57 miles Total Miles 414.97
Demographics Median Age: 36.1 Per Capita Income: $31,429 Median Household Income – 2016 : $49,598 (Census Bureau) Poverty % of population in poverty: 14.5% (2.1% decrease) % of population under 18 in poverty: 21.3% (2.7% decrease) Education Attainment Percent HS graduate and higher: 79.10% Percent Bachelor’s degree or higher: 14.70% Unemployment Rates (Texas Workforce Commission) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6.5 5.2 4.3 4.3 4.0 3.6 3.6 Number of Registered Voters: 24,883 (777 increase)
County Government Annual Budget: 2018 $30,534,313 2019 $29,396,836 (1,137,477) 2013 Tax 2014 Tax 2015 Tax 2016 2017 Tax 2018 2019 Rate Rate Rate Tax Rate Rate Tax Rate Tax Rate 0.6908 0.6907 0.6906 0.7175 0.7753 0.7753 0.7431 Commissioner’s Court County Judge Hoppy Haden Commissioner Pct. 1 B.J. Westmoreland Commissioner Pct. 2 Barbara Shelton Commissioner Pct. 3 Ed Theriot Commissioner Pct. 4 Joe Roland Number of County Employees 262 245 Full Time (includes elected officials) 17 Part Time & Temporary PT 100+ Volunteers (includes fire fighters, law enforcement, etc.)
County Services Court System • Law Enforcement • Road and Bridge Construction and Maintenance • Voter Registration • Family Services • Elder Care • Economic Development • Veteran Services • Mental Health Assessment of Inmates (488K) • County Jail • Records Management and Retention • Emergency Management • County Tax Assessor Collector • Indigent Services • Indigent Health o Indigent Defense o Indigent Cremation o
Road Construction Purchased $1.2 million in Road Construction Equipment • $1 million from FEMA for mitigation work • FM 150/Yarrington Road project • Luling Transportation Study • Closer to having the Luling Bypass Study approved by CAMPO • HWY 21 super 2 from Bastrop to San Marcos Funded • Paving Rolling Wood, Homannville Trail and Black Ankle Funded • Recently finished paving Old Colony Line • Road from 713 to Dale
Caldwell County Growth County Seat Population 2018 Estimated Population: 43,247 Lockhart, Texas 2017 Estimated Population: 42,338 2016 Estimated Population: 41,161 Census 2000: 11,615 2015 Estimated Population: 40,445 Census 2010: 12,698 2014 Estimated Population: 39,728 2013 Estimated Population: 39,207 CONSTRUCTION PERMITS RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION PERMITS – 5 YEARS 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 227 344 338 282 175* *as of 11/18/19
Approved Subdivisions of 2019 • El Dorado-Highway 21 • Fox Meadows –FM 713 and Fox Lane • Tower Meadows-Tower Road and Black Ankle Road • Heartland Ranch
Pending Subdivisions: • Alexander Acres-Ivy Switch Road • Compostela-Williamson Road • Lytton Hills-FM 1854
Site Construction • Bluebonnet Electric-Maxwell • Turner Company-Maxwell • Family Dollar-Fentress • Visionary Fiber Visionary Fiber Technologies • Pure Castings
Economic Growth • Turner Company • Lockhart EMC • Visionary Fiber • Two other projects that are still in • the planning phases • Promogo
Business Personal Property
CALDWELL COUNTY NEEDS Needs Economic Development • 911 PSAP Integration • 4 New Sheriff Deputies(met) • Lease agreement for cars to free up capital(met) • 142 ROW acquisition(underway) • Building Security throughout County(in progress) • Create Caldwell County Economic Development • Corporation(in progress) Improve IT capacity(in progress) • Needs Met from Last Year Repair and maintenance of County Buildings (in progress) • • New road equipment New tower for Emergency Communications in western part • bought of County (received money from CAPCOG to do this • New radios bought project) • Additional Jailers Road Paving Plan • Integrated emergency response for situations such as • active shooter Geomapping Buildings (in progress) •
SB2 New tax relief law passed during the past legislative session. • Effective Rate is now called No New Revenue Rate. • No New Revenue Rate is the Rate that raises same amount of ad valorem • taxes if property values do not increase and no new properties are added. This rate was 0.6818 during the current budget cycle. Roll Back Rate is now called Voter Approval Rate which has dropped from 8% • to 3.5%. At Voter Approval Rate, the new tax rate would be 0.7056. • Effects of SB2 • Primary effect is that if property values stay the same and no new properties • are added county will likely have to cut $877,000 from the current budget.
Economic Development Strategies 381 Agreements • 312 Agreements • Continue to work with GSMP to attract new business to Caldwell County • Increase tax base through business development rather than depending on ad valorem from • housing Work with City of Lockhart and City of Luling to provide grant and private sector opportunities • to entice business to choose Caldwell County Continue to attract new housing opportunities •
State of Northern Caldwell County November 19, 2019 ML Cisneros Education Support Center 419 Bois D'Arc Street, Lockhart, Texas
LOCATION 30-Mile Radius AUSTIN 2017 POPULATION 30 MILE RADIUS- 1,185,776 45 MILE RADIUS- 4,373,887 LOCKHART SAN MARCOS 60 MILE RADIUS- 4,560,148 2017 LABOR FORCE NEW BRAUNFELS 30 MILE RADIUS- 644,054 45 MILE RADIUS- 2,257,690 SEGUIN 60 MILE RADIUS- 2,340,286 SAN ANTONIO
CITY OF LOCKHART GROWTH RATE 5.2% 6.8% 26.6% Derived from Census Bureau data
In the News
• Creating and Retaining Jobs with grocery City Council campaign. Economic Development • Retail recruitment Goals • Market Lockhart more effectively • Potentially acquire land/buildings for new employers or expansion of existing businesses. • Unified vision for Downtown Development and Tourism • Development tools to facilitate recruitment to SH 130 Corridor
New 5-Year Strategic • Goals of the plan: Plan • Define and Promote the Lockhart Value Proposition to prospective companies; • Support Quality Growth in Export- Oriented Target Sectors; • Optimize the Local Talent Base; • Accommodate and Manage Quality Growth; • Create Destination Appeal
Regional Population and Employment estimated to double by 2045. Growth • Population: • Caldwell Co. 2015: 39,347 • Caldwell Co. 2045: 105,000 • Employment: • Caldwell Co. 2015: 16,693 • Caldwell Co. 2045: 49,000 Austin Chamber of Commerce and Capital Area Metropolitan Planning Organization
DEMOGRAPHICS Lockhart Caldwell County Caldwell County Population By Age Population 13,924 (2018) 43,247 (2018) Median Age 38.2 35.8 Labor Force 5,948 18,887 Average Annual Wage for Jobs in $39,637 $39,637 Location Median Household $53,570 $51,346 Income for Residents HS Graduate + : 42.1% HS Graduate + : 39.1% Educational Associates + : 4.0% Associates + : 5.4% Attainment Bachelors + : 9.6% Bachelors + : 9.7% Age 25+ Graduate Degree: 4.0% Graduate Degree: 3.7% Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey; CHMURA Economics & Analytics, JobsEQ
JOB COUNT DATA 10-YR 5-YR 2019 Q1 Job 1-YR Growth 1-YR Growth 5-YR Growth Growth % 10-YR Growth Growth % (Ave. Count % Figure Figure (Ave. Annual Figure Annual Growth) Growth) 7.8% City of 4,316 3.4% +142 +340 16.4% (1.6%) +707 Lockhart (1.6%) 8.9% Caldwell 10,929 4.0% +420 +974 18.6% (1.7%) +2,034 County (1.7%) 30- 2.3% 1.9% +3,841 +25,620 25.7% (2.3%) +54,352 Minute 210,950 (0.46%) Drive 12% Austin 3.0% +32,707 +132,194 25.3% (2.5%) +280,196 1,105,391 MSA (2.4%) Source: CHMURA Economics & Analytics, Jobs
WAGE DATA 16 Year Data- Q1 2002 thru Q3 2018 Source: CHMURA Economics & Analytics, Jobs EQ
WAGE DATA FOR JOBS BY LOCATION 2017 Median Household Income Lockhart $53,570 Austin $63,717 San Marcos $34,748 Hays County $62,815 Caldwell County $51,346 Greater San Marcos Region $60,988 Source: CHMURA Economics & Analytics, Jobs EQ
COMMUTER DATA City of Lockhart 2010 2017 Change Change % Inbound 1,973 2,798 +825 +41.8% Commuters Live/Work 846 1,227 +381 +45% Outbound 5,351 5,407 +56 +1.0% Commuters Totals -2,532 -1,382 +1,150 +45.4% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies
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