SIMON POLL 2016 Paul Simon Public Policy Institute
DAVID A. YEPSEN U.S. Senate Primaries Presidential Primaries DIRECTOR AND VETERAN POLITICAL REPORTER
DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY Other/Don't know, 16% Clinton, Sanders, 51% 33%
DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Chicago Chicago Downstate Male Female <35 35-50 51-65 66+ White Non-White City Suburbs Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY Bush, 9% Other/Don’t know , Carson, 6% 16% Cruz, 15% Trump, 28% Kasich, 13% Rubio, 14%
REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Chicago City Chicago Downstate Male Female <35 35-50 51-65 66+ Suburbs Kasich Trump Cruz Rubio Other/Don't know
REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Chicago City Chicago Downstate Male Female <35 35-50 51-65 66+ Suburbs Trump Not Trump
DEMOCRATIC U.S. SENATE PRIMARY Other/Don't know, 37% Duckworth, 52% Harris, 4% Zopp, 6%
REPUBLICAN U.S. SENATE PRIMARY Other/Don't know, 33% Kirk, 53% Marter, 14%
JOHN S. JACKSON, PhD Job Approval Right Direction/Wrong Direction Budget VISITING PROFESSOR
APPROVAL: GOVERNOR RAUNER Neither/Don't know, 10% Approve, 41% Disapprove, 50%
APPROVAL: GOVERNOR RAUNER By year By area 50% 58% 49% 41% 47% 37% 43% 43% 32% 31% 34% 10% 10% 8% 8% Approve Disapprove Neither/Don't Approve Disapprove Neither/Don't know know Chicago City Chicago Suburbs 2015 2016 Downstate
RIGHT DIRECTION, WRONG DIRECTION 84% 63% 50% 42% 29% 9% 8% 8% 7% Right direction Wrong direction Don’t know USA Illinois Local Area
ILLINOIS: RIGHT DIRECTION, WRONG DIRECTION 84% 80% 79% 76% 75% 75% 70% Wrong 68% 68% 63% Direction Right 23% 22% 22% 20% 16% Direction 15% 15% 12% 10% 9% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014a 2014b 2015 2016
EFFECTS OF THE BUDGET IMPASSE Yes, Have you or someone 32% in your immediate family been affected by the Illinois budget No, stalemate? 62%
EFFECTS OF THE BUDGET IMPASSE Child care costs/services 10% City government cuts 7% Higher education (including MAP grants) 15% Infrastructure decline 2% Job lost/threatened 27% Local economy 10% Housing (affordability, quality) 4% Social services 27% Other/Don't know 24% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
BUDGET: RAISE TAXES, CUT SPENDING, OR BOTH? Revenues, 10% Cuts, 47% Both, 33%
BUDGET: RAISE TAXES, CUT SPENDING, OR BOTH? Cuts 58% 57% 57% 55% 52% 47% 43% 42% 34% Both 33% 32% 29% 29% 29% 27% 27% 16% 14% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% Revenues 2009 2010 2011 2013 SP 2014 FA 2014 2015 2016
BUDGET: FAVORABILITY TOWARD CUTS Programs for people with disabilities 15% K-12 education 17% Programs for poor people 25% Public safety spending 26% State universities 35% Natural resources 38% State pension benefits 49% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
BUDGET: FAVORABILITY TOWARD REVENUES Tax retirement income 22% Restore temporary income tax increase 32% Raise gas tax 41% Tax services 45% Expand gambling 50% Tax retirement income over $50k 54% Graduated income tax 66% Millionaires tax 75% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
BUDGET: FAVORABILITY TOWARD REVENUES Millionaires tax Graduated income tax Tax retirement income over $50k Expand gambling Tax services Raise gas tax Restore temporary state income tax increase Tax retirement income 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 2014a 2014b 2015 2016
• DELIO A. CALZOLARI, JD Marijuana • Marriage Equality • Abortion ASSOCIATE DIRECTOR • Veterans’ Courts
MEDICAL MARIJUANA Other/Don't know, 3% Oppose, 16% Favor, 82%
MEDICAL MARIJUANA 90% 89% 88% 84% 83% 81% 81% 79% 78% 75% 22% 20% 18% 17% 16% 15% 14% 10% 9% 8% Favor Oppose Chicago City Chicago Suburbs Downstate <35 years 35-50 years 51-65 years 66+ years Democrats Independents Republicans
MEDICAL MARIJUANA - REGION 89% 81% 78% 20% 16% 9% Favor Oppose Chicago City Chicago Suburbs Downstate
MEDICAL MARIJUANA - AGE 90% 83% 81% 79% 18% 17% 14% 8% Favor Oppose <35 years 35-50 years 51-65 years 66+ years
MEDICAL MARIJUANA – PARTY 88% 84% 75% 22% 15% 10% Favor Oppose Democrats Independents Republicans
RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA Other/Don’t know , 4% Yes, legal, 45% No, not legal, 51%
RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA 72% 68% 67% 62% 60% 53% 52% 51% 49% 49% 48% 47% 44% 44% 44% 37% 36% 31% 29% 24% Yes, legal No, not legal Chicago City Chicago Suburbs Downstate <35 years 35-50 years 51-65 years 66+ years Democrats Independents Republicans
RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA - REGION 62% 60% 51% 44% 37% 36% Yes, legal No, not legal Chicago City Chicago Suburbs Downstate
RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA - AGE 72% 68% 52% 49% 49% 44% 29% 24% Yes, legal No, not legal <35 years 35-50 years 51-65 years 66+ years
RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA - PARTY 67% 53% 48% 47% 44% 31% Yes, legal No, not legal Democrats Independents Republicans
ABORTION Illegal in all circumstances, 15% Legal under certain circumstances, 44% Legal under any circumstances, 36%
ABORTION Legal under 51% certain circumstances 45% 44% 44% 44% 43% 42% 40% 37% 37% 37% 36% 36% 39% Legal under any 32% circumstances 28% 19% 18% 17% 16% 15% 15% 15% 15% Illegal under all circumstances 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014a 2014b 2015 2016
MARRIAGE EQUALITY No legal recognition of relationships, 16% Allowed to legally Allowed to marry, 53% form civil unions, 25%
MARRIAGE EQUALITY 56% 55% Allowed to 53% 53% legally marry 46% 44% 34% 35% Allowed to 34% 32% 31% form civil 30% 29% 27% unions 25% 23% 21% 20% 20% 20% 17% 16% 16% 18% No legal recognition of relationships 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014a 2014b 2015 2016
VETERANS ’ COURTS Some say military veterans charged with crimes should be processed in so-called “veterans’ courts” that could offer post-traumatic stress treatment and 54% substance abuse treatment instead of incarceration. 40% Others say veterans should be processed in the same courts as everyone else… 7% Special No special Other/Don't courts treatment know
SHILOH L. DEITZ, MA Southern Illinois Attitudes and Community Development INSTITUTE RESEARCHER & COORDINATOR
QUALITY OF LIFE, ILLINOIS 57% Excellent 55% 54% 51% 51% 51% or Good 48% 46% 45% 38% 37% Average 34% 33% 33% 32% 32% 31% 31% 20% Not so 17% 17% 16% 16% 15% 14% 13% 12% good or poor 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2014a 2014b 2015 2016
QUALITY OF LIFE, SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND ILLINOIS 32% Excellent or Good 51% 39% Average 32% 29% Not so good or poor 16% Southern Illinois 2015 Illinois 2016
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS CONCERNS Rural/small town way of life is dying 73% Being able to afford to send kids to college 54% Have earnings cut back 63% Dealing with rising costs 70% Being able to afford health care for my family 66% Children won't have opportunities and will leave 71% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% *Respondents rated this concern a 6-10 out of 10
DOWNTOWN REVITALIZATION Not important/Don't know 16% Somewhat Very important important 25% 59% *Across Illinois only 37% believe it is very important to improve downtown (SP2015 Simon Poll)
LOCAL PRODUCTS Thinking about a normal trip to the grocery store, does knowing that a product is locally produced make you … to purchase a product ? Less likely 2% More likely 77% Does not affect 19% Other/Don't know 3% *Across Illinois 58% would be more likely to buy a product because it’s local (Spring 2015 Simon Poll)
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