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Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011 Agenda - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011 Agenda Opening remarks, Leif Teksum Group executive vice president, Large Corporates and International Review of the Shipping, Offshore and Logistics portfolio as part of DNBs


  1. Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011

  2. Agenda  Opening remarks, Leif Teksum – Group executive vice president, Large Corporates and International  Review of the Shipping, Offshore and Logistics portfolio as part of DNB’s overall credit portfolio, Trygve Young, Chief Risk Officer.  Review of the different shipping segments, DNB’s strategy and exposure, Harald Serck-Hanssen, Executive vice president, Global Head of the Shipping, Offshore and Logistics division 2

  3. Credit policy based on future cash flow "The customer's debt service capacity is the key element when considering whether to approve a credit. If the customer has not proven satisfactory debt service capacity, credit should normally not be extended, even if the collateral is adequate." 3

  4. EaD Shipping and DNB Group 2 500 25 % 1 928 2 000 20 % 1 894 1 715 1 694 1 663 1 661 1 605 billion kroner 1 500 15 % 9 % 1 000 10 % 7 % 7 % 7 % 7 % 6 % 6 % 7 7 500 5 % 152 127 117 117 110 107 110 0 0 % 0812 0912 1012 1103 1106 1109 1110 Shipping DNB Group Shipping in % of Group 4

  5. EL Shipping and DNB Group 5 000 25 % 4 762 4 009 3 953 3 956 3 919 4 000 3 778 20 % 3 751 million kroner 15 % 3 000 15 % 12 % 12 % 12 % 11 % 10 % 10 % 2 000 10 % 1 000 5 % 692 491 467 476 429 374 392 0 0 % 0812 0912 1012 1103 1106 1109 1110 Shipping DNB Group Shipping in % of Group 5

  6. Key figures by segment EDF Grade Sev % million kroner weighted weighted Weighted EL EL % RAC RAC% EaD Drawn Aviation 2.48 % 7.4 26 % 4 0.63 % 36 6.3 % 576 295 Cruise 0.36 % 3.4 22 % 5 0.08 % 103 1.5 % 6 660 4 844 Logistics 1.48 % 6.3 35 % 57 0.52 % 405 3.7 % 11 073 8 417 Offshore 0.92 % 5.3 20 % 89 0.19 % 1 541 3.2 % 48 203 32 419 Other non-shipping 0.57 % 4.2 17 % 6 0.10 % 179 2.8 % 6 522 2 674 Shipping 1.45 % 6.2 25 % 423 0.37 % 5 765 5.0 % 115 271 86 190 1110 1.25 % 6.0 25 % 584 0.31 % 8 030 4.3 % 188 306 134 839 1109 1.21 % 5.9 25 % 631 0.30 % 9 481 4.6 % 207 611 142 506 1106 1.23 % 5.9 25 % 536 0.30 % 7 353 4.1 % 177 708 127 252 1103 1.20 % 5.8 25 % 552 0.30 % 8 138 4.4 % 182 887 129 941 1012 1.35 % 6.1 26 % 677 0.35 % 9 032 4.7 % 193 030 152 980 0912 1.62 % 6.4 33 % 977 0.53 % 11 205 6.1 % 182 798 6

  7. Development in net write-downs: International Shipping and in % of the group 10 000 10 % 9 % 9 000 9 % 8 000 7 709 8 % 7 % 7 000 7 % million kroner 6 000 6 % 6 % 5 000 5 % 4 000 4 % 3 509 2 998 3 000 3 % 2 519 2 000 2 % 1 000 1 % 520 281 220 0 % 140 0 % 3 - 0 % 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (Jan-Sep) International shipping Total Shipping in % of DNB-group 7

  8. Norway is a major shipping nation with a unique maritime cluster We are in the maritime sector by choice, not by Yards accident: Norway is and has been a leading Ship- etc maritime nation for generations. It is a world brokers leader in many sectors with a well functioning and professional maritime cluster: Shipowners, brokers, insurance, legal, classification Legal Finance societies, yards, finance, R & D, education. services OSE is an important exchange for shipping and Shipowners offshore listings . Education Insurance Based on our Norwegian background, we have gradually expanded our client base abroad. R&D Class 8

  9. Shipping consists of many segments, with different drivers. Our largest segment is offshore, where market conditions are positive Crude Oil/Product Liquid Natural Cruise / Gas (LNG) ULCC , VLCC, Suezmax, Passenger vessel Aframax, Panamax, Product (LR1/LR2/MR) Bulk Carrier/Dry Cargo Drilling Rigs RoRo / PCTC / UltraLargeOreCarrier, Semis, jack- PCC Cape Size, Panamax, ups and Handymax, Handysize drillships Chemical Tankers Reefer vessel Container Vessel Refrigerated cargo Post Panamax, Panamax, Sub Panamax, Handy Feedermax, Feeder 9

  10. We strive to have a well diversified portfolio with a good credit quality The division’s (SOL) portfolio segmentation* The PD distribution of the SOL division* *EaD, Exposure at default, as of 3q 2011 10

  11. The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio The shipping exposure has been reduced since The portfolio is around 7% of the bank’s total portfolio vs. 10% in 2008 2008, especially within Dry Bulk. % 2 500 25 % EaD NOK bill. 2 000 20 % billion kroner 1 500 15 % 1 000 10 % 500 5 % 0 0 % 0812 0912 1012 1103 1106 1109 1110 Shipping DNB Group Shipping in % of Group Including Dry Bulk and Tankers 11

  12. We are long term and relationship driven • Our core clients are typically leading integrated shipping companies • We prioritize clients where we have a good and close dialogue and who use a broad range of DNB products • We have a global approach • We aim to keep a good credit quality, our credit guidelines being based upon the “4 Cs”: Cash flow Covenants Client Collateral 12

  13. We have a conservative view when assessing risk Tankers (USD/day) Dry bulk (USD/day) Spot rates for VLCC tanker vessels last 10 years vs Spot rates for dry-bulk capesize vessels last 10 DNB 's assumptions years vs DNB's assumptions Sources: Fearnleys, Clarksons 13

  14. The PD developments in dry bulk, tankers and containers Sept 2010 – Oct 2011 • Dry Bulk EaD • Tankers EaD • Containers. EaD 14

  15. Shipping vs. DNB group: Non-performing commitments and Write-downs Non-performing and net doubtful commitments, total Write-downs 2007 – 2011, shipping vs. total DNB DNB pr. 3q 2011: NOK 7.618 mill., excl DNB Nord 10 000 10 % 9 000 9 % 8 000 8 % 7 000 7 % million kroner 6 000 6 % 5 000 5 % 4 000 4 % 3 000 3 % 2 000 2 % 1 000 1 % - 0 % 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (Jan-Sep) International shipping Total Shipping in % of DNB-group 15

  16. The Shipping Division has managed to minimize write-downs Actual write- downs 2009, 2010 vs. DNB’s own Actual write-downs past 10 years expectations, communicated externally 16

  17. DNB maintains its position as a leading shipping, offshore and logistics bank, delivering strong results each year The Shipping division’s financial Top maritime bookrunners according to Deallogic performance, 2007 -2010 NOK mill. 17

  18. The shipping companies and the banks usually find ways to solve challenging situations. In very few cases, the bank becomes a shipowner Shipowner Contribution Bank Contribution • Providing additional guarantees or • Modifying, postponing or waiving security covenants • Raising additional capital • Moratorium, stretching the repayment schedule • Reducing or stopping dividends • "Bridge loans" - solving temporary • Cancelling or postponing newbuildings liquidity challenges • Scrapping vessels • Restructuring – in several ways • Selling assets • Cutting costs 18

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