Regional Planning Update Dece cember mber 5, 2019 1
Central Puget Sound Region • 4.2 million people • 2.3 million jobs • 4 counties • 82 cities and towns • Urban and rural • 6400 square miles • 1000 square miles urbanized 2
Puget Sound Regional Council What we do Planning: growth, economy, • transportation Federal transportation funds • ($240 million/year) Executive Bruce Dammeier Councilmember Claudia Balducci Regional data and forecasts Pierce County - President King County - Vice President • Forum for regional issues • Our members Cities, Counties, Ports, Transit • State Agencies and Tribal Governments •
Today’s Meeting Growth Trends
RegionalJobGrowthSurge Highest annual total in 5 years • 74k wage & salary jobs were added to the region last year (3.5% increa ease se) 74,200 62,300 • Over 464k 464k jobs have been 59,200 50,100 49,300 added to the region since 2010 2014 to 2015 2015 to 2016 2016 to 2017 2017 to 2018 2018 to 2019 Source: ESD, WA Employment Estimates (seasonally adjusted) July 2019
WA Job Growth Outside Region Slows 33,800 10,300 30,100 • Regional employment 31,000 28,900 increase accounted for over 88% 88% of the statewide total increase last year 74,200 • Regional employment 62,300 59,200 50,100 49,300 accounts for 69% of the statewide total from 2014- 2019 2014 to 2015 2015 to 2016 2016 to 2017 2017 to 2018 2018 to 2019 Source: ESD, WA Employment Estimates (seasonally adjusted) – July 2019
Population Growth Remains Strong Annual Population Change in the Central Puget Sound 86,300 81,800 • Regional population of 4.20 million in 2019 68,700 63,600 63,300 67,900 • 68,700 added to region in 47,900 2018-19 (1.7% increa ease se) 38,300 • Almost 368k new people have been added to the 25,500 16,100 region in the past 5 years (9.4% increa ease se) 00-01 02-03 04-05 06-07 08-09 10-11 12-13 14-15 16-17 18-19 Source: OFM, April 1, 2019 Population of Cities, Towns and Counties
Migration Still Driving Population Growth Annual Population Change by Component • Natural changes in population Natural Change 62,700 account for 21k – 24k new Net Migration 59,300 residents per year 47,800 43,800 46,500 • Migration continues to 39,900 outpace natural population 31,200 25,800 25,100 changes 23,500 27,400 23,400 22,900 22,100 21,800 21,500 16,900 20,900 • Since 2010, 60% 60% of the 14,900 15,000 14,100 region’s population growth 2,700 2,800 has been from migration 1,900 00-01 02-03 04-05 06-07 08-09 10-11 12-13 14-15 16-17 18-19 Source: OFM, Components of April 1 Population Change
Recent Growth in Housing Production 2018: Highest Level of Housing Production in 20 years • The region's housing stock has expanded by nearly 150,0 ,000 0 units since 2012 • Housing production has averaged 21,30 300 units per year since 2012 Source: OFM, April 1, 2019 Population of Cities, Towns and Counties & April 1, 2019 Postcensal Estimates of Housing
Housing Production and Population Growth 21,300 units 86,300 81,800 (X) 2.5 People/Household Enough housing for 68,700 63,300 63,600 53,250 people 67,900 47,900 • Production last year could house 68,750 50 38,300 27,500 people 25,100 25,500 24,800 22,700 23,400 16,100 18,200 9,900 00-01 02-03 04-05 06-07 08-09 10-11 12-13 14-15 16-17 18-19 Source: OFM, April 1, 2019 Population of Cities, Towns and Counties & April 1, 2019 Postcensal Estimates of Housing
Availability of Affordable Housing Limited Source: Dupre + Scott
Traveltimesincreasing Delay increased 95% between 2010-2015 I-5 I-405 2014 SR 520 + 30% 2015 I-90 + 15% 2016 SR 167 + 4% 2017 Vehicle hours of delay by freeway corridor. 12 Source: Freeway Count Detectors, TRAC Flow, – Washington State Department of Transportation
Transit use increasing Annual Transit Boardings per Capita 100.0 San Francisco 90.0 Boston 80.0 70.0 Washington DC central Puget Chicago 60.0 Sound Philadelphia 50.0 • In 2018, 6 th highest transit boardings Portland 40.0 Los Angeles Denver per capita in nation Salt Lake City 30.0 Minneapolis 20.0 • All cities above region have legacy 10.0 heavy rail systems 0.0 0M 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M 12M 14M Source: National Transit Database Monthly Adjusted Release, December 2018 13
Today’s Meeting Planning Framework 14 14
2050 population forecast 15
Who will be living here? In 2050, the region’s residents will be: Older More diverse In smaller households 18% of the region’s Between 2000 and 2016, In 2050 there will be 2.36 population will be over 81% of the region’s people per household on the age of 65 by 2050, population growth was average, down from 2.50 up from 14% today. people of color. today. 16
VISION 2040 • A strong rong economy omy and a health althy y enviro ironment nment • Pr Prese serve e waters, ters, farms ms, , recreation eation and resource ource land nds • Urban an Growth wth Area a and d centers ters strategy rategy • Local al action ons s to achiev ieve e region onal al VISION ION
Integrated plan for sustainable development 18
VISION 2050 Work Program 19
Increase housing choices and affordability Provide oppor ortu tunit itie ies for all Sustain a strong econ onomy omy Significantly reduce greenhouse gas emiss ssions ions Keep the region mov oving Restore the health of Puget et Sound Protect a network of open n spac ace Growth in cente ters and near tr tran ansit Act colla llabor borat ative ively ly and support loca cal effor forts ts 20
Regional Growth Strategy • Regional strategy for allocating growth • Groups cities and unincorporated areas by regional geographies • Goals: – Focus new growth within the urban area – Variety of communities, densities, and sizes – Better balance of jobs and housing across the region – Within the urban area, focus growth in cities and centers – Leverage new and existing infrastructure, including transit
Regional Growth Strategy • Most growth in Metropolitan, Core, and High Capacity Transit Communities • 65% 5% of region’s population growth and 75% 5% of employment growth in regional growth centers and near high-capacity transit • Lower growth allocations in urban unincorporated and rural compared with long-term trends • Better jobs-housing balance by shifting employment allocation from King County
Implementation • Data, tools, and planning guidance • Policy and plan review • Regional transportation planning and funding • Regional economic development planning • Other regional actions
Today’s Meeting Relationship to High Capacity Transit 24
Regional Transportation Plan • Strategy for mobility and choice • Meets all state and federal requirements • $197 Billion • Integrated Regional Transit Network • Get ahead on key issues: environment, innovation & technology, finance, performance measurement 25
Regionalpolicy: implementation MPP-RC RC-6 Give regional funding – both for transportation infrastructure and economic development – to support designated regional growth centers and manufacturing/industrial centers, consistent with the regional vision. Regional funds are prioritized to The region’s transportation investments (in red) are focused within the urban growth areas (light regional centers. green) where most of the region’s growth is happening, along with most of the region’s traffic. draft VISION 2050, p. 19 (2019)
Regional Centers 29 Regional Growth Centers • 2.6% of urban growth area (26 mi²) • 5% of population (260,000) • 30% of jobs (500,000) 10 Manufacturing Industrial Centers • 4% of region’s land area (41 mi²) • 0.3% of population (11,000) • 9.5% of jobs (160,000) 27
Aggressive transit program • $60 billion+ high capacity transit • Centers and station areas 28
29 Regional Growth Centers Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations Ferry: 8 routes Light Rail: 1 16 miles/80+ stations Bus Rapid Transit: 42 lines 29
29 Regional Growth Centers Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations Ferry: 9 terminals/10 routes Light Rail: 1 16 miles/80+ stations Bus Rapid Transit: 42 lines 30
29 Regional Growth Centers Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations Ferry: 9 terminals/10 routes Light Rail: 1 16 miles/80+ stations Bus Rapid Transit: 42 lines 31
29 Regional Growth Centers Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations Ferry: 9 terminals/10 routes Light Rail: 1 16 miles/80+ stations Bus Rapid Transit: 42 routes/~685 stops 32
Communities Connected by High Capacity Transit • 42 Cities & Towns • 13 Urban Uninc. Communities • In 2050, 33% of region’s residents & 57% employment within ½ mile of HCT 33
VISION 2050 Transit Focused Growth: • 65% population growth • 75% employment growth 34
Today’s Meeting Upcoming Work 35
Upcoming PSRC Work Passenger Only Ferry Study Winter 2021 2020 Project Selection 2022 RTP Update Regional Aviation Baseline Study Fall 2020 36
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