Refresh RUS 1 Network RUS: Electrification Refresh 30 year - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Electrification Refresh RUS 1

Network RUS: Electrification ‘Refresh’ • 30 year perspective as part of Long Term Planning Process 'to give funders’ choices for investment in CP6 and beyond' • 3 key objectives: – Identify the extent of lines to be electrified – Consider the case for conversion of third rail DC network to AC – Include a consideration of lines to be electrified to maximise the ability of freight operators to use electric locomotives 2

Work programme to date • 2013 - Working Groups 1, 2 and 3. Freight Electrification and DC – AC workshops • A number of bilateral meetings held with interested stakeholders • Business cases being produced for priority options • Costs being produced in parallel 3

The starting point • Baseline electrified network with all known committed schemes completed • Most likely view of services using the network at that time 4

Current and planned electrification (S) 5 5

Current and planned electrification (N) 6 6

The initial sift • Key measure of likely business case is traffic converted to length of route electrified (the ‘conversion ratio’) • For each remaining diesel service group calculate the length of electrification required for it to convert to electric • Look at where service groups overlap and combine options where the conversion ratio can be improved (with a limit on option size) • Consider requirements for diversionary routes, and add these to the most appropriate options • Order the options by their conversion ratio, and consider how the case for each would be affected by the earlier higher-priority schemes • Group options into tiers, where 1 = highest conversion ratio and 6 = lowest 7

Results of initial sift (S) 8

Results of initial sift (N) 9

Wider factors • Capture other key issues : 1.Efficient use of infrastructure – reduction in diesel vehicle kilometres on ‘existing’ electrified network per STK electrified 2.Efficient use of rolling stock – ‘island fleet’ measure at TOC level 3.Value of released infrastructure – number of high speed / high frequency long distance conditional output aspirations which could be delivered by electric traction 4.Diesel rolling stock released – number of released vehicles adjusted for age 5.Passenger diversionary route capability – average annual diverted traffic on key flows able to convert 6.Freight – overlap with freight option 7.Strategic fit with other schemes, wider considerations • Results for factors 1-5 are grouped into six categories and allocated star ratings • 5 stars indicates a result in the top 1/6 for that measure 10

Choosing options for appraisal • Likely to be a case for undertaking full business case appraisal for: – Options with passenger conversion ratio of either tier 1 or tier 2 – Options in tiers 3 or 4 which perform well against the wider criteria • Where the ratio analysis doesn’t suggest that there is a better case for combining options, but that there is nevertheless a relationship between them we have grouped into packages • Examples of the types of relationship are: – The case for a given option relies on an earlier phase having been completed – The options may be served by the same TOC, rolling stock or depot • Subsequent slides show LNW options being appraised 11

80 23 Preston Huddersfield 79 83 Wigan 81 Doncaster Manchester verpool 20 22 Sheffield Cross Country 21 Warrington 82 84 90 Retford Lin Chesterfield Chester 95 Newark Wrexham Crewe 91 Stoke on Trent 26 85 92 Derby Grantham 27 Nottingham 28 96 Stafford Shrewsbury Leicester 29 Wolverhampton 97 117 Nuneaton Birmingham Kett 31 Rugby Coventry 34 115 Leamington Worcester Northamp 35 111 116 Milton Hereford Banbury 112 137 Keynes Gloucester 109 Cheltenham Aylesbury 110 118 Oxford 113 Didcot 114 Newport 101 Swindon LOND 108 45 56 Cardiff Reading 43 55 Bristol 44 Basingstoke 131 Tier Reduction in Island fleet Number of A, B or Released vehicles Average annual Baseline / previous packages Westbury traffic on measure D conditional adjusted for age 107 diverted traffic Guildford Cross Country Core 132 'existing' electric output aspirations of current rolling able to convert nton Severn Tunnel Junction to Gloucester Salisbury network stock 49     1 -      12 2

Chilterns, Snow Hill and Malverns Leicester Peterborough 29 Wolverhampton 97 117 Nuneaton 121 Birmingham Kettering 31 Rugby Ely Coventry 34 115 Leamington Worcester Northampton 35 111 Cambridg 116 36 Bedford Milton Hereford Banbury 100 112 37 137 Keynes Co Gloucester Stevenage 109 120 39 Cheltenham Aylesbury 110 118 120 127 Oxford 113 Chelmsford ansea Didcot 114 Newport 101 40 Swindon LONDON 108 45 56 Cardiff Reading 43 43 55 Tier Reduction in Island fleet Number of A, B or Released vehicles Average annual Bristol traffic on 'existing' 44 measure D conditional adjusted for age diverted traffic Basingstoke Mai 131 133 electric network output aspirations of current rolling able to convert 139 Westbury stock 107 Guildford Redhill 132 Tonbrid staple    1 - - Taunton  -  1 - - Salisbury 106 49 136 13 13     1 - Southampton 50 Eastbou

Chester & North Wales Morecambe Lancaster 69 Skipton York 75 14 15 Leeds Blackpool 18 16 Blackburn 80 23 Preston 17 Huddersfield 79 83 Wigan 81 Doncaster Manchester Liverpool 19 20 22 Llandudno Sheffield Holyhead 24 87 21 Warrington 82 84 90 Retford Lin Bangor Chesterfield Chester 86 25 95 Newark Wrexham Crewe 88 91 Stoke on Trent Blaenau 89 26 85 92 Derby Grantham Ffestiniog 27 Nottingham 28 Pwllheli 98 96 Stafford Shrewsbury 30 Tier Reduction in Island fleet Number of A, B or Released vehicles Average annual Leicester 29 Wolverhampton traffic on measure D conditional adjusted for age diverted traffic 97 117 Nuneaton 'existing' electric output of current rolling able to convert 99 Aberystwyth Birmingham Kett 138 31 network aspirations stock Rugby Coventry 119     34 115 1 -     14 3 -

Midlands to Anglia 92 Derby Grantham 27 Nottingham 28 King's Lynn 122 Stafford Norwich Great Y 32 33 124 Leicester Peterborough 29 mpton Lowestoft 117 125 Nuneaton 121 Birmingham Kettering Rugby Ely Coventry 34 115 Leamington ster Northampton 111 Cambridge 116 36 Bedford Milton reford Banbury Ipswich 112 137 37 Keynes Felixstowe Colchester cester Stevenage 120 39 38 Cheltenham Aylesbury 110 118 120 Tier Reduction in Island fleet Number of A, B or Released vehicles Average annual 127 traffic on measure D conditional adjusted for age diverted traffic Oxford 113 126 Chelmsford 'existing' electric output aspirations of current rolling able to convert Didcot 114 network stock 40 Swindon LONDON -  - - 6 - 108 45 56 Reading     5 - 55      4 15 15 54 Basingstoke Maidstone 131 133 139 dford l s

Shrewsbury and Mid Wales Huddersfield 79 83 Wigan 81 Doncaster Manchester Liverpool 19 20 22 Llandudno Sheffield 87 21 Warrington 82 84 90 Retford Lincoln Bangor Chesterfield Chester 86 25 95 94 93 Newark Wrexham Crewe 88 91 Stoke on Trent Blaenau 89 26 85 92 Derby Grantham Ffestiniog 27 Nottingham 28 Pwllheli 96 Kin 122 Stafford Shrewsbury 30 32 Leicester Peterborough 29 Wolverhampton 97 117 Nuneaton 121 Aberystwyth Birmingham Kettering 31 Rugby Ely Coventry 34 115 Leamington Worcester Northampton 35 111 Ca 116 36 Tier Reduction in Island fleet Number of A, B or Released vehicles Average annual Bedford Milton Hereford Banbury traffic on measure D conditional adjusted for age diverted traffic 100 112 37 137 Keynes 'existing' electric output aspirations of current rolling able to convert Carmarthen Gloucester Stevenage 109 120 39 network stock Cheltenham Aylesbury 110 118 120    3 - - 16 16 127 Oxford 113 Chelmsford Swansea 42

Calder Valley Northallerton Scarboro 76 77 Barrow-in-Furness 70 Harrogate 78 Morecambe Lancaster 69 Skipton York 75 14 15 Leeds Blackpool 18 16 Hull Blackburn 80 23 Preston 17 Huddersfield 79 83 Wigan 81 Doncaster Manchester Liverpool 19 20 22 Llandudno Sheffield 21 Warrington 82 84 90 Retford Lincoln Bangor Chesterfield Chester 25 95 93 Newark Wrexham Crewe 88 91 Stoke on Trent Tier Blaenau Reduction in Island fleet Number of A, B or Released vehicles Average annual 26 85 92 traffic on measure D conditional adjusted for age diverted traffic Derby Grantham Ffestiniog 27 Nottingham 'existing' electric output of current rolling able to convert 28 network 96 aspirations stock Stafford Shrewsbury   17 3 30 - - - 32 cester Peterb mpton aton