Problems of Europeanization and European Perceptions of Turkey as a Future Member State CENTRAL FINANCE AND CONTRACTS UNIT Promotion of the Civil Society Dialogue Between EU and Turkey Universities Grant Scheme CFCU ‐ TR 0604.01/03 Project Coordinator: Bogazici University, Centre for European Studies Partners: Autonomous University of Madrid University of Granada Avrupa ile Diyalog Derne ğ i ‐ Dialogue with Europe Assocation, İ stanbul June 2008 ‐ November 2009
Project Coordinator: Prof. Dr. Hakan Y ı lmaz, Bogazici University Department of Political Science and International Relations, Center for European Studies (yilmazh@boun.edu.tr) Project Manager, Istanbul: Dr. Emre Erdo ğ an Avrupa ile Diyalog Derne ğ i-Dialogue with Europe Association (AID) (emre.erdogan@infakto.com.tr) Project Manager, Madrid: Prof. Dr. Francisco Javier Peñas Esteban Autonomous University of Madrid, Department of Political Science and International Relations, GERI (History and Theory of International Relations Official Research Group) (franciscojavier.pennas@uam.es) 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 2
European Perceptions of Turkey as a Future Member State Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and the United Kingdom Field Work: August-September, 2009 Sample Size: 5000+ respondents 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 3
MAIN VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH EUROPEAN IDENTITY… 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 4
19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 5
FUTURE ENLARGEMENTS OF THE EU: WHO TO TAKE IN AND WHEN? 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 6
Opinion about the Future Enlargement ‐ Five Country Average ‐ 39% 61% Supports Against 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 7
Opinions about the Future Enlargement France 45% 53% Germany 54% 41% Poland 85% 11% Spain 78% 18% UK 50% 46% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Supports Against 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 8
Most Important Criteria for New Admissions (Two Answers) The applicant country's performance in the area of 60,6% democracy and human rights The applicant country's possible contribution to Europe's 59,1% economic development and welfare The applicant coountry's possible contribution to Europe's 26,4% defence and security Cultural and religious differences between the applicant 21,5% country and Europe Number of immigrants that way come from the applicant 20,5% country to Europe 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 9
Most Suitable Time for Accepting New Countries From now till 2013 26,9% Between 2014 ‐ 2020 38,2% Later than 2021 11,0% Never 14,6% 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0% 45,0% 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 10
SUBJECTIVE LEVEL OF INFORMATION ABOUT TURKEY AND TURKISH PEOPLE 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 11
Subjective Information Level about Turkey ‐ Five Country Average ‐ 50% 1% 49% Informed Not Informed DK/NA 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 12
Subjective Information Level about Turkey and Attitudes Supports 53,6% 45,8% Against 46,5% 52,2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Informed Not Informed 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 13
INTERACTIONS WITH TURKISH PEOPLE AND CULTURE 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 14
Interactions with Turks, Turkey and Turkish Culture Have you ever met a Turk? 71,4% Have you ever tasted Turkish food/cuisine? 69,1% Have you ever listened to Turkish music? 58,8% Have you ever had any Turkish friends? 29,1% Have you ever been to Turkey? 27,1% Have you ever read a literary work written by a Turk? 16,5% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 15
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Familiarity with Turkey ‐ Five Country Average ‐ Istanbul 91,1% Troy 70,0% Galatasaray 50,6% Antalya 48,3% Ataturk 40,0% Ephesus 33,4% Tarkan 23,4% Recep Tayyip ERDOGAN 22,4% Hadise 13,9% Yachar Kemal 13,5% Fatih Terim 12,2% Orhan Pamuk 11,5% Nazim Hikmet Ran 8,2% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 90,0% 100,0% 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 17
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INFORMATION CHANNELS ABOUT TURKEY AND TURKISH PEOPLE 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 20
Information Channels ‐ Five Country Average ‐ News and commentaries on the television and radio 71,3% News and commentaries in the newspapers and magazines 55,9% News and commentaries on the internet 25,0% Films and books 12,0% Textbooks and schoolbooks 6,7% Other 1,9% None of them 5,2% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 21
Information Channels ‐ Five Country Average ‐ Your political leaders 30,7% Your favourite intellectuals and opinion leaders 22,1% Your teachers 18,0% Your parents 12,5% Your religious leaders 7,0% Other 11,9% None of them 34,1% Don't know / No answer 3,9% 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0% 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 22
Information Channels ‐ Five Country Average ‐ Turkish people you met before 37,0% Turkish immigrants in the UK and other European countries 31,8% Muslim immigrants in the Uk and other European countries 19,2% Your visit(s) to Turkey 18,9% Other 3,2% None of them 31,1% 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0% 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 23
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POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE FEELINGS ABOUT TURKEY 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 25
Opinions about Turkey ‐ Five Country Average ‐ 25% 7% 68% Positive Negative DK/NA 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 26
Opinions about Turkey France 65,5% 27,1% 7,5% Germany 60,0% 33,3% 6,7% Poland 78,3% 16,1% 5,6% Spain 77,0% 17,5% 5,5% UK 70,4% 23,1% 6,5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Positive Negative DK/NA 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 27
Opinions about Turkey and Attitudes Supports 90,0% 6,8% 3,2% Against 48,2% 44,3% 7,5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Positive Negative DK/NA 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 28
WHO IS FOR AND WHO IS AGAINST TURKEY’S MEMBERSHIP IN THE EU? 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 29
Position Regarding Turkey's Membership in the European Union ‐ Five Country Average ‐ 6% 47% 47% Positive Negative DK/NA 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 30
Position Regarding Turkey's Membership in the European Union France 34,3% 61,7% 4,0% Germany 39,5% 57,6% 3,0% Poland 56,7% 34,2% 9,1% Spain 61,8% 31,9% 6,3% UK 51,0% 37,4% 11,6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Positive Negative DK/NA 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 31
Position Regarding Turkey's Membership in the European Union Male Gender 47,9% 48,1% 4,0% Female 45,2% 46,3% 8,5% 18 ‐ 24 57,0% 38,9% 4,1% 25 ‐ 39 51,8% 42,7% 5,5% Age 40 ‐ 54 47,0% 46,3% 6,7% 55 ‐ 64 44,1% 50,2% 5,7% 65 and more 35,2% 56,2% 8,6% Illiterate 39,8% 41,8% 18,4% Primary 46,1% 42,5% 11,4% Education Secondary 40,5% 52,7% 6,8% Lycee 44,8% 49,8% 5,4% Tertiary 48,0% 47,6% 4,5% Graduate 55,7% 38,1% 6,2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Supports Against DK/NA 19.11.2009 Results of an Opinion Poll in France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom Slide 32
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