Office of the Future of Work A new path forward
The future of work refers to the impact of globalization, technological advances, changing demographics, and market forces on the work we do and how we do it.
Specific Areas of Exploration Prepare target populations for the Vision: A future where all future of work Coloradan workers have access to education and skill training that is Future of connected to meaningful Colorado Digital and sustainable transformation Modern worker resources for protections & employment. individuals, benefits employers, and communities User-Centered Left Behind Coloradans Regional Diversity
COVID-19 FOW Shift - Goals Modernize worker protections and the social safety net to support all types of workers and ensure their access Modern worker to a living wage as work continues to evolve. protections & Pre COVID: Establish a working group to explore modern worker protections and job quality. benefits Post COVID : Explore models to sustain new benefits and identify mechanisms to incentivize return to work. Build awareness and equip Coloradans with tools and strategies to effectively understand what the future of work means for them and how to increase their resilience. Digital Pre COVID Focus on regional engagement and tool/resource developmen t. Transformation Post COVID: Virtual engagement, tool/resource development related to new normal (digital literacy, remote work, transitions), capitalizing on accelerated adoption of practices Understand the impact of the future of work on target populations, and realign government programs to better Prepare target prepare them for success in the future of work. populations Pre COVID: Focus on: New Americans, people with disabilities, mid-career professionals, justice-involved, and mature workers. Post COVID: Same populations, but focused on strategies to connect them to training and employment. Cross-Cutting Lens User-Centered Regional Diversity Left Behind Coloradans Designing with the end-user in mind. Focusing on minority populations and Coloradans that Acknowledging the distinct needs of feel left behind in Colorado’s economy. Colorado’s communities.
COVID-19 Impact on Future of Work Trends
ABCs of Recovery Most optimistic Most likely Most pessimistic (path of the great recession) https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2020/05/04/the-abcs-of-the-post-covid-economic-recovery/
Vulnerable jobs by region, industry, occupation (NW non-metropolitan area shown below) https://covid-tracker.mckinsey.com/vulnerable-jobs/industry-occupation
Vulnerable jobs impacted by COVID-19 were also most at risk for displacement due to technology Task automation potential by industry (% of sector) Accomo- Manufactur- Transportation Agriculture, Retail Trade Mining, Other Construction Wholesale Utilities Finance & Arts, Administration Real Estate Government Health Care Information Management Professional, Educational Dation & ing &Warehousing Forestry, Quarrying, Services Trade Insurance Entertainment, & Support & & Rental & & Social of Scientific & Services Food Fishing, & & Oil & Gas & Recreation Waste Leasing Assistance Companies & Technical Services Hunting Management Enterprises Services https://www.brookings.edu/research/automation-and-artificial-intelligence-how-machines-affect-people-and-places/ Source: Brookings analysis of BLS, Census, EMSI, Moodys, and McKinsey data, January 2019
Unemployment Insurance Data Top 5 industries with highest claims: ● Accommodation and Food Services: 4,008 ● Retail Trade: 2,811 ● Healthcare and Social Service: 2,288 ● Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services: 1,666 ● Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation:1,542 https://www.colmigateway.com/gsipub/index.asp?docid=807
Key Takeaways Future of Work Forces Globalization Demographic Shifts ▪ Pre: Slowly declining after ▪ Pre: Diversifying younger years of growth. Opportunity generations that are for ‘on-shoring’ and strategic predominantly in low-wage supply chain integration. fields. Aging population that is ▪ Post: Accelerated working longer. (Data re: de-globalization and supply aging) chain considerations. ▪ Post: Exacerbated challenges for certain populations especially those in low-wage professions.
Key Takeaways Future of Work Forces Market Forces Technological Advances ▪ Pre: Focused mostly on ▪ Pre: Routine/non cognitive communities transitioning from tasks at risk for displacement. coal. Digital literacy gaps. Same ▪ Post: Shifted market demands professions that are low-wage immediately. Reliance and and held by target awareness of gig workeras. demographics. Exacerbated pressure felt by ▪ Post: Possible acceleration. rural communities and Industries at high risk for industries in decline. Small displacement faring worse. businesses suffering most. (Another article)
Note on gig workers... Myths: ▪ It’s a new phenomenon enabled by technology ▪ It’s just a side hustle ▪ It’s all app-based ▪ Millenials make up most of the workers ▪ They’re taking over Considerations for the future: COVID-19 Impact: ▪ How might we better acknowledge the skills gig workers build? ▪ Access to unemployment assistance for ▪ How do we transition workers interested in the first time different types of employment? ▪ Value and skills of workers on display ▪ How do we increase access to worker protections ▪ Challenges faced by workers and small for all workers? businesses that use gig workers are on ▪ Thinking of app-based gig workers, how do we display too support locally driven
Future of Work Mindsets and Skills Skills that are uniquely human ■ Digital literacy ■ Work-based learning ■ Lifelong learning mindset ■ https://www.burning-glass.com/research-project/new-foun Email katherine.keegan@state.co.us for report dational-skills/
Near term projects (by June 30) Mod. Target Digital Projects Prot. Pop. Trans. X X Resources for Displaced Workers - OnwardCO, training/resources for coaches, ensuring awareness of resources with an emphasis on gig workers and transitioning low wage workforce to better pathways. Location Neutral Employment/Remote Work - Packaging resources to ensure X X individuals living in rural areas take advantage of location neutral jobs through training, technology, and coaching (5th deliverable for FOW WIG) Policy Development (short session) - Develop policy and program recommendations X X that reflect the lessons learned from COVID-19 and modernize worker protections Data Gathering and Information Sharing - Facilitate conversations about the new X X X future of work and inform paths forward for service providers, communities, and other stakeholders.
2020-21 Projects MP TP DT Projects Digital Literacy - Better define levels of digital literacy, measure current rates, identify key partners, X X build curriculum and resources to improve rates across the state Employer of Choice - Support CDLE in adoption of best practices for future of work including X X skills-based practices, remote work, on-the-job training, and innovative retention strategies for state government workers and their service delivery Pilot Projects/Original Research: Identify 3 pilot projects to support adoption of best practices, apply research, and develop frameworks for other communities to work with state government X X ▪ Strategic supply chain integration and increasing rural economic complexity ▪ Evolution of work-share to support employee retention ▪ Skills-based practices Data Gathering and Information Sharing - Facilitate conversations about the new future of X X X work and inform paths forward for service providers, communities, and other stakeholders. Policies and Resources for Independent Contractors - Develop policy recommendations that reduce misclassification, integrate independent contractors into current systems for worker support and X protection
Thanks! Any questions? Contact Katherine Keegan at katherine.keegan@state.co.us
Interventions to Consider Individuals ▪ Access to benefits (policy and awareness) ▪ Navigation & coaching ▪ Skill translation and development (especially digital literacy) ▪ Career-connected learning and placement ▪ Best practices for targeted populations https://www.brookings.edu/research/realism-about-reskilling/
Interventions to Consider Employers ▪ Guidance and resources to open according to public health best practices ▪ Policies and stimulus to support business viability ▪ Workforce planning support – succession planning, supply chain management, hiring/retention/upskilling, flexible work policies ▪ Targeted employer assistance to navigate federal/state/local resources and access benefits ▪ Incentivize innovative models to promote employee retention – work share, joint employment, work-based learning, shorter work-weeks, location neutral employment
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