HELCOM indicators options for structure, presentation and causal - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

HELCOM indicators – options for structure, presentation and causal framework First draft of ideas Aim – to initiate discussion

Initial ideas –would need to be adjusted once BSAP update finalized (i.e. to make indicators fit updated BSAP structure)

BSAP Biodiversity Marne Ecosystem - EBA ESA Eutrophication Pollution Maritime Terrestrial (and atmospheric) Ecosystem – connection to marine environment

A = Inputs of nutrients BSAP B-I = Other eutrophication J-Q = HZ concentration Biodiversity R-T = HZ biological + HELCOM indicators U-AJ = Biodiversity AK = Oil spills U-AJ Marne Ecosystem - EBA AL = NIS AL AM-AN = Benthic R-T ESA AM-AN B-I AK A J-Q Eutrophication Pollution Maritime Terrestrial (and atmospheric) Ecosystem – connection to marine environment

A = Inputs of nutrients BSAP B-I = Other eutrophication J-Q = HZ concentration Biodiversity R-T = HZ biological + MSFD Descriptors U-AJ = Biodiversity AK = Oil spills U-AJ D1 D4 Marne Ecosystem - EBA AL = NIS AL AM-AN = Benthic D9 D2 R-T D11 ESA D3 AM-AN D5 D10 B-I D6 A J-Q D8 AK Eutrophication Pollution D7 Maritime Terrestrial (and atmospheric) Ecosystem – connection to marine environment

SDG Indicator 14.5.1 Coverage of protected areas in relation to marine areas A = Inputs SDG 6.5 BSAP B-I = Other eutro J-Q = HZ concentration Biodiversity R-T = HZ biological + SDGs SDG 14.c, 17.14, U-AJ = Biodiversity SDG 14.2 17.16, 17.17, 17.19 SDG AK = Oil spills U-AJ D1 D4 Marne Ecosystem - EBA 13.2 AL = NIS SDG SDG 14.5 14.5 AL AM-AN = Benthic SDG D9 14.3 D2 R-T SDG Indicator D11 ESA D3 SDG 14.1.1 Index of 14.4 SDG and coastal SDG 14.1 SDG 14.1 D5 D10 B-I D6 AM-AN 12.5 14.6 eutrophication SDG 6.3 A J-Q D8 AK and floating SDG Eutrophication 12.4 SDG 2.4 SDG Pollution plastic debris SDG 3.9 D7 Maritime 9.4 SDG 11..6 SDG SDG SDG 8.4 12.2 8.9 Terrestrial (and atmospheric) Ecosystem – connection to marine environment

Options to apply a causal framework and adapt the structure From ToRs of 2 nd HELCOM Indicator Workshop • Develop a better understanding of state-pressure aspects (e.g. loads and state) and the linkages of these components within relevant indicators. • Ensure HELCOM indicators are well adapted to support reporting needs of HELCOM Contracting Parties that are also EU Member States. • Ensure future development work takes into consideration the DPSIR (Drivers, Pressures, State, Impact, Response) framework and develops relevant linkages.

Option 1: HELCOM DAPIMS MEASURE e.g. Population changes DRIVER STATE IMPACT 3 e.g. Blooms e.g. Increased ACTIVITY agriculture or changes e.g. Nutrient concentrations in types of agriculture PRESSURE e.g. Inputs of nutrients

Option 1b: HELCOM DAPIMS-C e.g. Population changes MEASURE DRIVER Consequences STATE (on society) IMPACT 3 e.g. Blooms ACTIVITY e.g. Nutrient concentrations e.g. Increased PRESSURE agriculture or changes in types of agriculture e.g. Inputs of nutrients

HELCOM DAPIMS-C MEASURE DRIVER Consequences STATE (on society) IMPACT 3 ACTIVITY Trends PRESSURE Indicators

OPTION 2: HELCOM DAPSIM MEASURE IMPACT e.g. Population changes e.g. On society DRIVER e.g. Nutrient concentrations and/or algal blooms STATE e.g. Increased ACTIVITY agriculture or changes in types of agriculture PRESSURE e.g. Inputs of nutrients

HELCOM DAPSIM MEASURE IMPACT DRIVER STATE ACTIVITY Trends PRESSURE Indicators

Reflecting a causal structure in a new structure Out with the old…

In with the new - Indicator front page Info CORE INDICATORS Harbour White-tailed Ringed Harbour Offshore Commercial Migratory Grey Seals Birds Coastal Fish Porpoise Seals Seals sea eagle Fish Fish Fish Water Benthic Zoo- Phyto- clarity Oxygen Phosphorus Litter NIS Seabed species Nitrogen plankton plankton Noise and Radioactive Biological Pharma- Metals POPs Oil spills substances energy ceiticals effects Plus bring up to higher ‘level’ on website

An inclusive accordion approach Key message Click here KEY MESSAGE Key message Overview map • BSAP summary Distribution Short key points • PRESSURES Information and targets (e.g. MAI) • Key message Information and text relevant per topic Grey seals are…. • Point 1 • COMPONENTS Point 2 • Point 3 • Details and assessment per component Distribution • Pressures (incl. inputs) Grey seals are…. Multiple relevant components • This component is comparable to • Distribution MSFD D1C4 and… CONCLUSIONS Point 2 • Point 3 Abundance • Significance of the evaluation • Confidence in the assessment Threshold values • Bycatch Results Policy application and relevance • Nutritional Data CLIMATE CHANGE Methodology etc Review of indicator based on EN CLIME • Abundance fact sheet Conclusions (Significance) etc Climate change

Indicator assessments – example data Key message – i.e. the BSAP BSAP summary map (e.g. a OOAO summary Seals by species – e.g. Grey seal summary of below components, or other agreed approach) and a brief text. Habitat Reproductive Parasites Demographic Abundance Distribution By-catch Nutritional ? ? ? aka D1C4 aka D1C3 aka D1C5 aka D1C2 aka D1C1 aka D1C3 aka D1C3 aka D1C3

Proposal on phytoplankton – example only Key message – i.e. the BSAP BSAP Phytoplankton – summary summary map (e.g. a OOAO all indicators on one subject should • summary of below use same data source (i.e. HELCOM components) and a brief text. COMBINE) All should give similar answer on • status? (or needs to be explained why not) Diatom-Dino Seasonal Cyanobacterial Spring bloom Chlorophyll-a Seasonal succession indicator often • succession index bloom index intensity includes diatom, dinofl, cyanob, etc Should be easier to automate if • data all comes from HELCOM COMBINE Could encourage cross over aka D1C6 aka D5C4 aka D5C2 aka D5C3 aka D1C6 • between themes (eutro-biodiv)

Proposal on nitrogen – example only PRESSURE STATE (or IMPACT)* BSAP Key message – 2 maps, summary This would provide a better link inputs (e.g. MAI from inputs/load and targets) and concentrations In the sea concentrations. *DAPSIM or DAPIMSC aka D5C1 aka D5C1

Taking the indicators further DRIVERS & ELEMENTS Info TRENDS TRENDS Shipping Population Agricultural Industrial Transport density and Acidification Temperature River flow trends trends trends trends trends CORE INDICATORS Harbour White-tailed Ringed Harbour Offshore Commercial Migratory Grey Seals Birds Coastal Fish Porpoise Seals Seals sea eagle Fish Fish Fish THRESHOLD VALUES APPLIED Water Benthic Zoo- Phyto- clarity Oxygen Phosphorus Litter NIS Seabed species Nitrogen plankton plankton Biological Noise and Radioactive Pharma- Metals POPs Oil spills substances effects energy ceuticals ASPIRATION & CONCEPTS TRENDS or SURVEILLANCE (TRENDS) Red listed ‘AGREEMENTS’ Sewage fr. Shipping Ongoing MPA Emerging species shipping emissions work coverage pollutants