H. H.E. Yury y P. Sen Sentyu yurin, PhD Secr Secretary Gen ener eral Gas Exp Gas xpor ortin ing Cou ountrie ies For orum (GE (GECF) 27 27 No Novemb mber 2019 2019 Doha, Qatar
The 1 st GECF International Seminar Natural Gas: The Fuel of Choice for Sustainable Development The Seminar was attended by Ministers of Energy of GECF Member Countries, CEOs of International and National Oil Companies, Heads of International Organizations, Academics, gas industry analysts and the media. 2
Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) MEMBERS OBSERVERS Angola Algeria Azerbaijan Bolivia Egypt Iraq Kazakhstan Equatorial Guinea Iran Norway Libya Oman Nigeria Peru Qatar LNG LNG Exports Mark Ma rketed Gas s Production Pipeline Gas Exports Pi Proven Natural Gas Reserves Pr Russia Trinidad and Tobago 53% 44% 71% 55% United Arab Emirates Venezuela GECF: GE F: 145 tc tcm GECF: GE F: 1,746 bcm GECF: GE F: 229 bcm GECF: GE F: 456 bcm Wo World: 203 tc tcm Wo World: 3,944 bcm Wo World: 431 bcm Wo World: 824 bcm Source: GECF Secretariat based on data from the GECF GGM
• A unique platform of cooperation dedicated to natural gas, which includes major gas exporters. Cooperation is a core value of the Forum. • Enables the exchange of best practices and expertise on market development. GECF Secretariat develops its proper forecasts in an annual publication (i.e. the Global Gas Outlook) basing on shared understating of market developments, and What can sophisticated modeling capabilities. • Support technology innovation and progress for better GECF bring performance of gas systems : GECF recently established a Gas Research Institute that aims to reinforce research activities on to its different technologies and improve their efficiency • Enhance the voice of natural gas and promotes its role in the Members? context of energy transitions to less carbon intensive energy systems. GECF is an observer of the UNFCCC framework contribution to the debate on climate change mitigation and adaptation. • GECF has launched an environmental actions framework that aims to create a supportive and collaborative framework allowing Member Countries to promote and strengthen the sustainable image of natural gas .
GECF Global Gas Outlook: updates and focus points of the 2019 Edition • New focus: Africa ü Added energy balances of 20 country level forecasts ü In Eastern Africa: Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, South Sudan, Sudan, Tanzania ü In Western Africa: Benin, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Niger, Senegal, Togo ü In Southern Africa: Botswana, Mozambique, Namibia, Zambia, Zimbabwe ü In Central Africa: Cameroon, R. Congo, Gabon Total of 133 countries full energy balances ( was 113 in 2018). • New sector focus: Natural gas in transport ü IMO2020 review ü NGV Outlook • New technology and environmental focus: Blue Hydrogen, Carbon-neutral LNG cargos ü Blue Hydrogen Scenario ü Carbon off-set Compensation Scenario • New time horizon: 2040 2050 • Improvements in design, printing quality 5
Natural gas is an essential element of the global energy mix: from 23% today to 27% in 2050 2018 2050 27% 23% 12% 10% (5966 bcm) (3924 bcm) 2% 2% 9% 5% 3% +4,106 Mtoe 14,538 Mtoe 18,645 Mtoe (+28%) 5% 26% 32% 18% 26% Natural Gas Oil Coal Nuclear Hydro Renewables Bioenergy Note: Bioenergy includes traditional and modern biomass 6
The power Th r generation, industri rial and transport rt sectors are the largest co cont ntributors to increment ntal gas demand Global natural gas demand trends by sector (bcm) Contribution to the growth +38% over period 2018-2050 +41% +11% 6000 8% +58% 2100 +205% 1% 4% +46% 5% +73% 1800 5000 16% 1500 16% 4000 1200 50% 3000 900 2000 600 1000 300 0 0 2018 2050 Power Generation Industry Transport Feedstocks Domestic sector Heat Generation Refinery Other uses Notes: 1) Gas demand in the heat generation sector is expected to remain flat; 2) Other uses include gas demand for hydrogen production and energy industry own use; 7 3) Domestic sector includes residential, commercial and agricultural segments
More than 600 bcm, 10.4% of global gas production by 2050; the Africa’s viable and massive potential Africa marketed gas production outlook bcm Regional share in marketed gas production 700 600 2050 2018 500 10% 29% 400 6% 14% 27% 16% 300 23% 17% 200 6% 21% 5% 19% 100 5% 2% 0 2018 2025 2030 2040 2050 Africa Asia Pacific Eurasia Algeria Angola Egypt Equatorial Guinea Europe Latin America Middle East Libya Mozambique Nigeria Other Africa North America 8
GECF Long-Term Strategy: Vision, Mission, Objectives Globally recognized credible Forum that develops and reflects common views and unified positions, influencing direction of the Vision: global gas market by promoting natural gas as the fuel of choice in the global energy mix based on its availability, reliability, versatility, affordability and its inherent nature as an environmentally-friendly source of energy to enhance the role of GECF in the global energy scene in order to support the sovereign rights of Member Countries over their natural gas Mission: resources, to maximize their value for the benefit of their people, and to promote their coordination on global energy developments with a view to contributing to global sustainable development and energy security Main Activities Priority Objectives Strategic Goals § To promote natural gas as the fuel of § Maximizing Gas Value § Participation in high level international events (COP, G20, UNECE etc.) choice § To provide support for Member Countries § Developing the GECF View on Gas § Global Gas Model and Outlook in assessing and forecasting natural gas Market Developments market developments, with the objective to § Environmental activities (including the launch become a reference in natural gas outlook, § Developing effective ways and means of the GECF Climate Initiative) and keep Member Countries informed and for cooperation amongst GECF Member prepared to address the challenges and to Countries § Energy forecasting platform (GECF-IEA-IEF- benefit from the opportunities that may arise OPEC) in the future § Promotion of Natural Gas § To develop a shared understanding of § Monitoring energy and natural gas markets market conditions in order to establish § International Positioning of the GECF as common views and positions on global gas a globally recognized intergovernmental § Conducting energy and gas research market development and to promote them organization internationally § Annual Statistical Bulletin and contributing to § To provide a framework for co-operation JODI-Gas amongst GECF Member Countries § GECF events 9
H. H.E. Yury y P. Sen Sentyu yurin, PhD Secr Secretary Gen ener eral Gas Exp Gas xpor ortin ing Cou ountrie ies For orum (GE (GECF) 27 27 No Novemb mber 2019 2019 Doha, Qatar
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