TODAY’s TRUCKS Green Truck Partnership Steering Group Meeting, 17 th August 2016 ss Mark Hammond, Chief Technical Officer - TIC 1
Todays Presentation Who is TIC? T-Mark Data The Australian Truck Market Alternatively Fuelled and Powered Heavy Vehicles in Australia Our Aging Truck Fleet RUC - Incentive or Disincentive? TIC’s National Truck Plan Current “Green Truck” Possibilities Future “Green Truck” Possibilities Conclusions and TIC’s Actions Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 2
Who is TIC? Truck Industry Council (TIC) is the peak industry body for truck manufacturers and importers in Australia and was formed in 2001 (Previously Commercial Vehicle Committee of the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries – FCAI) Positioning Statement: “Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential” 9 Members, → 17 truck brands 3 Associate members (engine & component suppliers) Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 3
Our Members Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 4
TIC T-Mark Data ➢ TIC collects new truck sales data from its Members every month ➢ TIC Members have access to the data that they use for: • Market trends and competitor analysis • Sales and product planning • Production planning and forecasting ➢ TIC uses the data for: • Analyse long term market trends • Development of policy ( eg: TIC’s National Truck Plan ) • Market take-up of ADR changes ( eg: emission & safety features ) • Media and Government statistics ( eg: Auto media, Reserve Bank ) Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 5
The Australian Truck Market ➢ Simplified definition of a truck in Australia is: “ a vehicle above 3.5t GVM carrying less than 8 persons” ➢ Total number of trucks (on-road): 590,660 vehicles ** ➢ In 2015 new truck sales were split by Source of Origin: Japan, 50.3%, European 30.6%, Australia 15.0%, USA 3.7%, Other 0.5%* ➢ New heavy vehicle sales approximately 31,000/year ➢ TIC members represented 99.5% of all on-road trucks sold above 4.5t GVM in 2015 * TIC T-Mark data ** ABS Motor Vehicles Census Jan 2016 Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 6
The Australian Truck Market New Truck Sales Trends by Segment* (HD, MD, LD and LDV) 100% 29.2% 90% 28.1% 80% 70% 20.3% 28.1% 60% 50% 40% 32.1% 30% 35.7% 20% 19.5% 10% 6.9% 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Mar YTD YTD June * TIC T-Mark data Van LD Truck MD Truck HD Truck Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 7
Alternatively Fuelled and Powered Trucks Alternatively Fuelled and Powered Trucks as a percentage of (5 year average: 2011 to 2015)*: ➢ Total Heavy Vehicle market: 0.25% (77 trucks/year) ➢ 78% Diesel/Electric Hybrid and 22% CNG ➢ 0% LD Vans, 81% LD Trucks, 19% MD Trucks, 0% HD Trucks ➢ 57% Hino, 22% Isuzu, 21% Fuso ➢ YTD (June) 2016 Alternatively Fuelled and Powered Trucks sales are down 40% on the 5 year average * TIC T-Mark data Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 8
The Australian Truck Park Australian Truck Park by Age and Emission Standard Australian Truck Fleet Age by Engine Emission Standard (above 4.5t GVM) 70,325 trucks (15.6%) ADR 80/03 Euro 5 100000 58,861 trucks (13.1%) ADR 80/02 Euro 4 90000 80000 Number of Trucks 105,342 trucks (23.4%) ADR 80/00 Euro 3 70000 60000 77,856 trucks (17.4%) ADR 70/00 Euro 1 50000 137,001 trucks (30.5%) 40000 No Emission Standard 30000 20000 10000 0 Year ABS Motor Vehicles Census Jan 2015 Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 9
The Australian Truck Park New Truck Sales (>3.5t GVM) vs Truck Fleet Age vs Freight Task 60000 14.80 Average Age >4.5t GVM 14.62 14.55 is 14.8 years 14.60 14.71 14.57 45408 47008 48608 50000 14.40 43493 41578 14.36 39663 38131 36622 40000 37748 14.20 35833 14.18 34732 32003 33918 33499 14.00 30745 3072930804 31673 28654 29393 30000 14.00 27858 27317 13.91 13.77 13.85 13.84 24609 13.80 13.76 19758 13.68 19724 20000 13.66 13.60 13.40 10000 13.20 0 13.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Ave Truck Age (years) ABS Motor Vehicles Census Jan 2015 TIC T-Mark data Trucks Sales Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 10
The Australian Truck Park Global Context: Average Age of Truck Fleet ABS Motor Vehicles Census Jan 2015 Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 11 RL Polk data
RUC - Incentive or Disincentive? Heavy Vehicle Road User Charging (RUC) scheme ➢ Fixed vehicle registration charge dependent on the GVM, number of axles and truck or trailer “type” ➢ Current RUC is independent of distance travelled per year, mass carried, roads travelled (location) and the environmental performance of the vehicle (toll roads are an additional cost) ➢ Fuel tax credit of 13.7 cents/litre can be claimed for every vehicle registered for business use above 4.5t GVM. Reviewed twice a year and indexed to CPI, typically increases Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 12
RUC - Incentive or Disincentive? Heavy Vehicle Road User Charging (RUC) scheme ➢ The fuel credit is irrespective of the engine’s emission or environmental performance, the more fuel you use the more money you get ➢ If you run a more efficient diesel/electric hybrid you will get a LESS money back from the government than if you were running the equivalent diesel only truck ➢ If you run a CNG, or full electric truck you get NO rebate ➢ The system is fundamentally flawed, it is a disincentive to reduce diesel fuel use and CO 2 emissions Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 13
Real Incentives for Alternatively Powered and Fuelled Trucks ➢ Road User Charging (RUC) reform. New scheme to be based on Mass, Distance, Location, Environment (CO 2 tax) ( MUST include the redistribution of the Fuel Tax Credit/Rebate ) ➢ Taxation Reform (accelerated depreciation, etc) ➢ Financial Rebates (grant/rebate, zero interest loans, etc for the purchase of alternatively powered and fuelled trucks) ➢ Additional Mass Concessions to compensate for the additional mass of alternatively powered and fuelled heavy vehicles Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 14
TIC’s National Truck Plan - One Potential Funding Option Australian Truck Fleet Age by Engine Emission Standard (above 4.5t GVM) 70,325 trucks (15.6%) ADR 80/03 Euro 5 120000 58,861 trucks (13.1%) ADR 80/02 Euro 4 100000 105,342 trucks (23.4%) ADR 80/00 Euro 3 Number of Trucks 77,856 trucks (17.4%) 80000 ADR 70/00 Euro 1 NO Fuel Tax Credit 137,001 trucks (30.5%) No Emission Standard 60000 40000 20000 0 Pre 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1990 50% Fuel Tax 100% Fuel Tax EST Year Credit Credit Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 15
Current “Green Truck” Possibilities ➢ Dennis Eagle and Iveco ACCO CNG Refuse Trucks ➢ Dennis Eagle Diesel/Hydraulic Hybrid Refuse Trucks ➢ Iveco Daily High Efficiency CNG Light Duty Vans and Trucks ➢ C- ITS “green corridor”, Heavy Vehicles communicating with traffic lights and modifying signal phasing ➢ ELGAS Diesel/Propane Hybrid Prime Mover (43t GCM) Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 16
Current “Green Truck” Possibilities Traffic Light/Heavy Vehicle phase management (the “green corridor”) C- ITS equipped trucks “talking to” traffic lights, with loaded trucks gaining both priority and favourable traffic light phasing: ➢ Reduced traffic congestion, keep the trucks (and cars) moving ➢ Fuel, CO 2 and time savings (increased productivity) ➢ All road users benefit ➢ Positive public perception Conclusion: Trials required (and already underway in NSW). However there is no doubt that Traffic Light/Heavy Vehicle phase management will reduce traffic congestion, deliver fuel (and CO 2 ) savings and productivity improvements for truck operators and ease traffic congestion for all road users Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 17
Current “Green Truck” Possibilities ELGAS Diesel/Propane Hybrid Prime Mover (43t GCM) 510hp Volvo Prime Mover equipped with dual fuel (diesel + propane) system running single trailer line haul operations ➢ A practical single trailer line-haul prime mover combination running at 43t GCM carting LPG ➢ NHVR permit approved for extended Australian trials ➢ Portable Emission Testing System (PEMS) device measuring “real world” exhaust emissions using diesel only (baseline) and diesel + propane fuels Conclusion: Trials underway. Early indications point to fuel (and hence CO 2 ) savings, as well as a reduction in Particulate Matter emissions (relative to diesel only). Could be the first practical line haul application for a hybrid fuel Prime Mover in Australia Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 18
Future “Green Truck” Possibilities ➢ Fuso Light Duty Electric Truck (Canter E-CELL) ➢ Truck Platooning? ➢ C-ITS (trucks communicating with each other to further reduce traffic congestion) Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 19
Fuso Light Duty Electric Truck ➢ 8 vehicles, 12 month, trial in Lisbon Portugal in 2015 ➢ Trials to begin in the USA in late 2016 Today’s Trucks: Safer, Greener, Essential 20
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