Five Year Forecast 1 Miamisburg City School District FY 2014-15 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Five Year Forecast 1 Miamisburg City School District FY 2014-15 May 28, 2015

Major Revenue Assumptions 2  Substitute emergency levy renewed in Feb 2010 is modeled to be renewed and is included in the regular Property Tax categories. It was on the ballot to be renewed November 2014, so the renewal is seamless.  State funding increased by $1,345,315 in FY 2014 due to increased state funding (capped at 6.25%) and a full year of casino revenue. ($50 per student)  State funding is increased by $1,640,830 in FY 2015 due to increased state funding. (capped at 10.5%).  State funding in future years are projected to increase by 7.50% in FY 2015 and FY 2016 due to the assumption that the cap will be lifted further.

Major Revenue Assumptions 3  The Tangible Personal Property Reimbursement declined by $831,759 in FY 2012, declined by another $817,748 in FY 2013 and then is projected to decline by $842,523 in FY 2016 and another $416,597 in FY 2017. The amount of the reduction will be shifted to the taxpayer.  State Fiscal Stabilization Funds of $924,424 were eliminated completely in FY 2012. Ed Jobs Funds in FY 2012 of $586,140 helped soften the blow and were eliminated completely in FY 2013.

State Funding Formula 4  Without caps on the current increase of state funding to schools, Miamisburg would have received an ADDITIONAL $5,422,018 in FY 2014 and would receive an ADDITIONAL $4,405,607 in FY 2015. That’s a total of $9,827,625 over 2 years.

TIF Revenue 5 • On September 6, 2011 the district received $2 million plus interest from the Austin Road Interchange Project. Recent contract changes allow us to place the entire amount in the General Fund. For the next several years the revenue will go towards debt service payments so the district will not receive revenue payments. • The district has two TIF agreements. One is the Austin Road Interchange Project and the other one is the Dayton Mall.

Projected Revenue - Austin Road TIF 6  Beginning in FY 2016 it is projected that the realization of revenue from the Austin Road TIF will be $500,0000, which will consist of base payments and arrearage payments.

Projected Revenue - Austin Road TIF 7 Base Payment Arrearage Payment Kicker Payment TOTALS CY2016 810,677.00 283,300.00 - 1,093,977.00 CY2017 832,050.00 2,152,667.00 - 2,984,717.00 CY2018 956,491.00 454,435.00 - 1,410,926.00 CY2019 977,864.00 819,622.00 1,797,486.00 CY2020 999,237.00 837,115.00 1,836,352.00

Projected Revenue - Austin Road TIF 8 Base Payment Arrearage Payment Kicker Payment TOTALS FY 2016 405,338.50 141,650.00 546,988.50 FY 2017 821,363.50 1,217,983.50 - 2,039,347.00 FY 2018 894,270.50 1,303,551.00 - 2,197,821.50 FY 2019 967,177.50 227,217.50 409,811.00 1,604,206.00 FY 2020 988,550.50 - 828,368.50 1,816,919.00

Property Tax Collections 9 30 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 25,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 20 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 15,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 10 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 5,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 - 20 0 9 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 Fiscal Year

Property Tax Refunds 10 • August 2012 – Approx $209,000 These refunds are because of • March 2013 – Approx $420,000 property tax valuation • August 2013 – Approx $346,928 challenges, tax abatements, • March 2014 – Approx $135,575 and tax exemptions • August 2014 – Approx $ 50,000 • March 2015 – Approx $402,000

Tangible Taxes 11 2,50 0 ,0 0 0 2,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 1,50 0 ,0 0 0 1,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 50 0 ,0 0 0 - 20 0 9 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 Fiscal Year

Tangible Tax & Tangible Reimbursement 12 6 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 5,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 Tangible Tax 4 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 Tangible Tax Reimbursement 3,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 2,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 1,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 - 20 0 9 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 Fiscal Year

Major Expenditure Assumptions 13  Base salary freeze and step freeze for all staff for FY 2012, FY 2013. Step freeze for FY 2014 and FY 2015. FY 2014 includes a three percent base salary increase and FY 2015 includes a two percent base salary increase. FY 2016 through FY 2019 includes a 2 % base salary increase for all staff, in addition to step increases.  Board contribution levels for health, dental and life insurance remained the same for FY 2011 through FY 2013. CY 2014 levels will increase by 5% and CY 2015 will increase by 2.5%. CY 2016 and 2017 are projected to increase by 2%.  Increased medical costs in FY 2016 and beyond due to health care reform.  Additional staff for Kinder beginning in FY 2013 and additional staff in future years as needs arise.  Purchased services are projected to increase as the cost of tuition & utilities rise and as more special education services are required.

Salaries 14 36 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 35,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 34 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 33,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 32,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 31,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 30 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 29 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 28 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 27,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 26 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 25,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 Fiscal Year

Benefits 15 14 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 13,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 12,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 11,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 10 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 9 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 8 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 7,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 5,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 3,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 2,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 1,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 - Fiscal Year

Purchased Services 16 10 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 9 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 8 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 7,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 5,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 3,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 2,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 1,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 - Fiscal Year

How do revenues compare to expenditures? 17 6 2,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 6 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 58 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 56 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 54 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 52,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 50 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 Total Revenues 4 8 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 Total Expenditures 4 6 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 4 4 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 4 2,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 Fiscal Year

Levy Cycles 18  Just like any privately held business, schools have breakeven points too. Typically a school district operates within levy cycles. For example, the common situation is for a school’s revenue to exceed expenditures for a period of years immediately following the passage of a levy. After several years, expenditures (driven by inflationary pressures) will eventually overtake revenues if the school simply attempts to maintain what they have.

What is the annual net overage or (shortfall)? 19 Excess of Revenue Over(Under) Expenditures 5,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 3,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 2,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 1,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 - (1,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ) (2,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ) (3,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ) (4 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ) (5,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ) (6 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ) (7,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 )

What is the effect on the cash balance ? 20 End of Year Cash Balance 11,000,000 30 days of operating cash 10,000,000 9,000,000 8,000,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 -1,000,000 -2,000,000 -3,000,000 -4,000,000 -5,000,000 -6,000,000 -7,000,000 Fiscal Year

Where does the money come from ? 21 State Tax Allocation 11% Other Financing 0% Career Tech/ Restricted 1% Real Estate Tax 55% State Foundation 27% Other Local 3% Personal Property Tax 3%

Newer Levies 22 • $6,775,000 5 year Emergency Levy - first passed 5/ 4/ 2010 as a 3 year - renewed in 11/ 2012 for 5 years (runs until 2018) • $7,225,000 5 year Substitute Emergency Levy - passed 2/ 2/ 2010 - renewed in 11/ 2014 for 5 years (runs until 2020)

Conclusion 23 With the assumptions in this forecast we are able to balance the budget through FY 2018.