Draft Transport Strategy
Contents 1. TfSE Background 2. Our Region : characteristics and challenges 3. Our Approach : how the Transport Strategy was developed 4.Our Vision : Vision, Goals, Priorities and Principles 5. Our Strategy : presented as Six Journey Types 6.Next Steps: future work programme & public consultation exercise
Part 1 TfSE Background
A motor for the UK economy
Our mission Grow the South East’s economy by delivering a Economy safe, sustainable, and integrated transport system that makes the South East area more productive and competitive, improves the Society Environment quality of life for all residents, and protects and enhances its natural and built environment .
Achieving statutory status Permanence and longevity • Influence over SoS investment plans for road and rail • Regional transport strategy to ensure better coordination • of transport arrangements across boundaries Seeking concurrent powers with local transport • authorities – not removing any powers Concurrent powers only to be exercised with consent • from the local authorities concerned
Part 2 Our Region
Strategic Corridors
Our Environment
Tough choices
Priority industrial sectors in the South East area Low Carbon IT Transport & Advanced Engineering & Logistics Creative Manufacturing Tourism Lo Priority industrial Finance & Marine Professional Maritime & sectors Services Defence
Forecast employment growth in the South East area by 2041 (Source: ONS) Employment growth forecast
Forecast housing growth in the South East area by 2041 (Source: ONS) Housing growth forecast
Deprivation
Road network congestion
Part 3 Our Approach
Today Current indicators based on the Current split of movement types Department for Transport’s National TfSE to Other 3% TfSE to Trip End Model London 8% 7% Within Other to 80 % TfSE 7.8 m 3.3 m £183 bn 20.9 m TfSE 2% London to TfSE Population Employment GVA Trips Current mode share 70% 4% 5% 21% Includes walking
Vehicle Miles Forecasts (England and Wales) Range from 17% to 51% increase
Business As Usual (2050) Change by movement type £217 bn Change by key TfSE to Other +29% indicator TfSE to London +22% +42% Within Other to TfSE +11% TfSE +24% London to TfSE 3.08 m 968 k 402 k Change in trips by mode 12% 12% 119% 15% 19% 27% Population Employment GVA Trips 30% –6%
Forecast traffic growth to 2050
Our approach – strategy direction Number of motor vehicles Planning for People Time
Our approach - plan & provide The Year Scenario forecasting 2050 Possible futures Plausible futures Scenario 1 Scenario 3 Scenario Development Scenario 2 Scenario 4 Time
Scenario 1: The London Hub Scenario 3: Route to Growth Higher than expected growth in London The South East makes more of its unique assets, becoming more specialised and locally with the South East becoming a focussed? dormitory for London More local employment • Higher population growth • Growth of priority sectors • Increased housing stock • Slightly higher population growth • Lower productivity growth • Increased cross-regional travel • Increased radial travel • Scenario 2: Digital Future Scenario 4: Sustainable Future Increased focus on environmental Digital transformation at a faster sustainability rate Lower levels of productivity-led growth Convenience driven tech-solutions • • Shift away from heavy industry Highly productive economy • • Focus on protecting the environment Labour market disruption • • Reduced inequality Less need for business travel • • Demand Management policies Faster adoption of CAVs • •
Scenario Results Scenario Population Employment GVA Trips BaU 8.6m 3.7m £399bn 24.0m 9.7m 3.9m £430bn 26.6m 8.5m 3.7m £411bn 24.2m 9.1m 4.3m £481bn 26.4m 8.6m 3.7m £404bn 23.1m
Scenario 1: The London Hub Scenario 3: Route to Growth Higher than expected growth in London The South East makes more of its unique assets, becoming more specialised and locally with the South East becoming a focussed? dormitory for London More local employment • Higher population growth • Growth of priority sectors • Increased housing stock • Slightly higher population growth • Lower productivity growth • A Sustainable Route to Growth Increased cross-regional travel • Increased radial travel • • Reduced inequality • Investment in sustainable Scenario 2: Digital Future Scenario 4: Sustainable Future transport to support cross- • More local employment Increased focus on environmental Digital transformation at a faster regional travel • Growth of priority sectors sustainability rate • Demand management policies • Highly productive economy Lower levels of productivity-led growth Convenience driven tech-solutions • Faster adoption of digital • • • Focus on protecting and Shift away from heavy industry Highly productive economy technology and CAVs • • enhancing the environment Focus on protecting the environment Labour market disruption • Less need for business travel • • Reduced inequality Less need for business travel • • Demand Management policies Faster adoption of CAVs • •
Sustainable Route to Growth Change compared to Business as Change by movement type Usual (2050) +£59 bn TfSE to Other +474 k – 14% TfSE to +912 k London +1% +91 k +4% Within Other to TfSE +4% TfSE +47% London to TfSE 15% 4% 1% 13% Change in trips by mode Population Employment GVA Trips –9% 108% BAU 120% –7% 8.7 m 3.7 m £399 bn 24.0 m 2050
Part 4 Our Vision
Our Vision Vision Describes our preferred future Describes the goals we need to Strategic Goals achieve to realise our preferred future Strategic The mechanisms and outcomes Priorities required to achieve our goals Describes the principles we will apply Principles to implement our strategy
Vision A Sustainable Route to Growth “By 2050, the South East of England will be a leading global region for net-zero carbon, sustainable economic growth where integrated transport, digital and energy networks have delivered a step change in connectivity and environmental quality. “A high-quality, reliable, safe and accessible transport network will offer seamless door-to-door journeys enabling our businesses to compete and trade more effectively in the global marketplace and giving our residents and visitors the highest quality of life.”
Goals Economic Improve productivity to grow our economy and better compete in the global marketplace. Social Environmental Improve health, and Protect and enhance the wellbeing, safety, quality South East’s unique of life, and access to natural, built and historic opportunities for environment and tackle everyone. climate change together
Priorities Environmental Economic Social Connectivity Health, CO 2 & journey wellbeing & Zero carbon times quality of life Reduced need Reliability Air quality for travel Affordability Protected and Resilience & enhanced environment accessibility Integrated Biodiversity Integration planning net gain Minimal Digital & travel demand Safety resource management consumption
Principles Radial Journeys Orbital and Coastal Journeys Inter-urban Journeys Local Journeys Freight International Gateways & Future Journeys Economic Growth, but not at any cost Achieving Environmental Sustainability Planning for Successful Places Putting the User at the Heart of the Transport System Planning Regionally for the Short, Medium and Long Term
Part 5 Our Strategy
Centred on Six Journey Types Radial Orbital Inter- Local International Future Gateways journeys and urban journeys journeys and freight coastal journeys journeys journeys
Radial Potential future Crossrail 2 Potential Isle of LONDON Potential Grain passenger Crossrail 1 services Crossrail extension Potential to improve Dartford Reading journey times to North East Kent M4 Medway Ebbsfleet Heathrow Towns East A299 Faversham Journey times on Ramsgate Croydon M2 Reading – Waterloo Woking M3 M20 rail services Maidstone A2 Basingstoke M23 Guildford Long journey times to A303 Maidstone Ashford Dover Gatwick A3 South West A20 East Alton Potential Main Line Grinstead extension of capacity Horsham HS1 services A21 M3 A23 Uckfield Brighton Legend Mainline Improvement Radial Motorway Programme Southampton Radial Dual Hastings Carriageway Road Poor Connectivity Bognor Littlehampton Brighton Radial Single on A21/Hastings Portsmouth Regis Carriageway Road Newhaven Line Corridor Eastbourne Ryde Radial Railway Island Line Radial Opportunity Radial Opportunity Renewal Radial Issue Shanklin Crossrail
Recommend
More recommend
