Distance Ed Enrollment Trends: New Data, New Trends, New Partnership April 19 1
Title Welcome to #WCETWebcast April 19, 2017 • The webcast will begin shortly. • There is no audio being broadcast at this time. • An archive of this webcast will be available on the WCET website next week.
digital learning C O M P A S S Goal: Be the definitive source of information on the patterns and trends of U.S. postsecondary distance learning. 3
Welcome ! • Use the question box for questions and information exchange. • Archive, PowerPoint, and Resources available next week. • PowerPoint can be downloaded in the handouts pane. Megan Raymond • Follow the Twitter feed: Assistant Director, Programs #WCETwebcast. & Sponsorship WCET mraymond@wiche.edu @meraymond 4
Overview Digital Audience Introductions Learning Key Findings Conclusion Q&A Compass 5
Questions from the Audience • If you have a question during the presentation, please add your questions to the question box. • We will monitor the question box and have time for Q&A in the last part of the webcast. 6
Moderator Terri Taylor Straut • Senior Research Analyst • WCET 7
Presenters Phil Hill Jeff Seaman • Co ‐ publisher • Co ‐ Director, Babson Survey Research Group • e ‐ Literate • Co ‐ Director, Quahog Research Group 8
Jeff Seaman • Co ‐ Director, Babson Survey Research Group • Co ‐ Director, Quahog Research Group 9
Setting the Stage • Four years of data from 4,700+ IPEDS ‐ reporting institutions. • Most comprehensive information available. • Supported by Pearson, OLC, Tyton Partners, NC ‐ SARA. • Replaces previous Babson ‐ collected data (2004 ‐ 2012). • Covers IPEDS institutions: • Degree ‐ granting. • Active. • Open to the public. 10
The world is shrinking… Institutions are competing for a smaller pie. O VERALL E NROLLMENT ‐ D EGREE ‐ GRANTING I NSTITUTIONS ‐ 2012 ‐ 2015 22000000 20000000 20,928,443 20,680,352 20,508,530 20,266,367 18000000 16000000 14000000 12000000 10000000 8000000 6000000 4000000 2000000 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 11
Question: Given that overall enrollments are down for the past three years, what is happening to distance education enrollments? • A) Down more than overall enrollments. • B) Down the same as overall enrollments. • C) Steady • D) Growing at same rate as previous years. • E) Growing faster than previous years. 12
Distance is growing… Growth rate for 2014 ‐ 2015 greater than for previous years. D ISTANCE E NROLLMENT ‐ D EGREE ‐ G RANTING I NSTITUTIONS ‐ 2012 ‐ 2015 7,000,000 Some distance 6,000,000 Exclusively distance 5,000,000 3,119,349 2,940,532 2,909,867 2,791,891 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 2,902,756 2,855,198 2,701,684 2,633,515 1,000,000 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 13
Distance is growing… Over 6 Million (30% of all students) now taking courses at a distance P ROPORTION OF S TUDENTS T AKING D ISTANCE E DUCATION C OURSES ‐ 2015 14% 16% Exclusively in distance education courses Some but not all distance education courses Student not enrolled in any 70% distance education courses 14
Discussion Phil Hill Jeff Seaman Terri Taylor Straut • Co ‐ publisher • Co ‐ Director, Babson • Senior Research • e ‐ Literate Survey Research Analyst Group • WCET • Co ‐ Director, Quahog Research Group 15
Crossing the chasm with implications 16
Public institutions are in the lead… Over two ‐ thirds of distance students are at public institutions T YPE OF I NSTITUTION ‐ S TUDENTS E NROLLED IN D ISTANCE E DUCATION C OURSES ‐ 2015 14% Public 18% Private not ‐ for ‐ profit Private for ‐ profit 68% 17
Question: Public institution have the largest distance enrollments, but who is growing the fastest? • 1) Public institutions • 2) Private non ‐ profit institutions • 3) For ‐ profit institutions 18
Private institutions are growing fastest… Largest percentage increase each of the last three years Y EAR ‐ TO ‐ Y EAR CHANGE IN D ISTANCE E NROLLMENTS ‐ D EGREE ‐ G RANTING I NSTITUTIONS ‐ 2012 ‐ 2015 2014 ‐ 15 220,000 2012 ‐ 13 2013 ‐ 14 200,000 207,348 180,000 160,000 161,242 140,000 120,000 100,000 113,154 109,469 98,480 97,976 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 ‐ 27,281 ‐ 20,000 ‐ 40,000 ‐ 73,577 ‐ 60,000 ‐ 90,442 ‐ 80,000 ‐ 100,000 Public Private not ‐ for ‐ profit Private for ‐ profit 19
Question: Overall enrollments are down, distance enrollments are up – what does this mean for the number on on ‐ campus students? • A) Small increase • B) Steady • C) Down by several hundred thousand • D) Down by more than several hundred thousand 20
Final tidbit… On ‐ campus enrollments have dropped by almost a million students O N ‐ C AMPUS E NROLLMENTS ‐ D EGREE ‐ G RANTING I NSTITUTIONS ‐ 2012 ‐ 2015 20,000,000 18,000,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 10,000,000 18,294,928 17,978,668 17,653,332 17,363,611 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 21
We should continue to see both non ‐ traditional (e.g. SNHU) and traditional institutions (e.g. U Florida) evolve and expand online offerings • But with changes in overall competition for students. • With demand for new pedagogical and student support models. • And increasing demand for improved outcomes. 22
Discussion Phil Hill Jeff Seaman Terri Taylor Straut • Co ‐ publisher • Co ‐ Director, Babson • Senior Research • e ‐ Literate Survey Research Analyst Group • WCET • Co ‐ Director, Quahog Research Group 23
Questions from the Audience 24
Contact Information Phil Hill: phil@mindwires.co @PhilOnEdTech Jeff Seaman: jseaman@seagullhaven.com Terri Taylor Straut: tstraut@wiche.edu 25
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Additional Information and Resources Access to the resources discussed during this webcast, including the archive, will be available next week. http://wcet.wiche.edu/connect/webcasts 27
Accessing the Final Report http://digitallearningcompass.org/ Registrants to the webcast will also receive priority access. 28
Learn More and Stay Connected WCET Leadership Summit: Essential Institutional Capacities to Lead Innovation June 14 ‐ 15 Salt Lake City, UT WCET Annual Meeting October 25 ‐ 27 Denver, CO 29
Thank you Supporting Members for your commitment to WCET and e ‐ Learning • Colorado State University • Cooley LLP • Lone Star College System • Michigan State University • University of Missouri ‐ Columbia/Mizzou Online • University of North Texas • University of West Georgia 30
Thank you WCET Annual Sponsors • Barnes & Noble LoudCloud • Carolina Distance Learning • Blackboard • Learning Objects, a Cengage • MaxKnowledge Co • Pearson Learning Solutions • Ilos videos • RealizeIt • Soomo Learning • Wiley Education Services • Drexel University • VitalSource • Schoology • Ed Map • MediaSite Learn about Sponsorship Opportunities: http://wcet.wiche.edu/get ‐ involved/sponsorship 31
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