2019 BVSD Enrollment and Student Movement Trends K-12 Enrollment - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Board of Educ ucati ation on | | December er 10 10, 2019 19 District Level Enrollment 2019 BVSD Enrollment and Student Movement Trends

K-12 Enrollment Trends 2009 – 2019 30,141 30,282 30,201 30,205 29,982 29,919 29,574 30,000 29,158 28,795 28,965 28,325 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 General Fund Charter 2

Annual Enrollment Change by Grade Level 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 -100 -200 -300 Elementary Middle High School K-12 3

Annual Change in K-12 Resident Students 350 300 250 Boulder Growth of Resident Population 200 Broomfield 150 Lafayette/ 100 Erie 50 Louisville/ Superior 0 Nederland 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (50) BVSD Total (100) (150) (200) 4

Elementary Resident Students Change by Community 300 250 Boulder 200 Broomfield Growth of Resident Population 150 Lafayette- 100 Erie 50 Louisville 0 Superior 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 -50 Mountain -100 Areas BVSD Total -150 -200 -250 5

BVSD Grade Distribution 10-Year High-Low and 2019-20 2,800 2,600 2,400 2,200 2,000 Students High 1,800 1,600 Low 1,400 1,200 1,000 K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Grade Level 6

Out-of-District Enrollment 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 2,506 2,478 2,444 2,443 2,395 2,365 2,333 2,149 2,137 2,147 1,000 2,003 500 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 7

New and Leaving Resident Students 2004-2019 (adjusted for incoming kindergarteners and outgoing 12th graders) 2,500 2,000 No. of Students 1,500 1,000 500 0 2004-05 2006-07 2008-09 2010-11 2012-13 2014-15 2016-17 2018-19 Change from Year to Year New to District Left District 8

New and Leaving Resident M.S. Students 2004-2019 (adjusted for incoming kindergarteners and outgoing 12th graders) 600 500 400 No. of Students 300 200 100 0 2004-05 2006-07 2008-09 2010-11 2012-13 2014-15 2016-17 2018-19 Change from Year to Year New to District Left District 9

Birth Trends 1998-2018 1,100 1,050 1,000 950 900 850 800 750 "Boulder Births" 700 650 E. BVSD Births 600 BVSD Birth Trends (source: Colorado Department of Health and Environment) Total Fertility Rate 2000/2010: 1.4/1.3 Birth by Age of Mother (%) 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 5% 12% 22% 33% 22% 6% 0% 2000 2010 3% 9% 21% 36% 24% 6% 1% 3% 10% 20% 37% 25% 5% <1% 2018 10

Summary • Overall enrollment growth is negative (-219/-0.7%); especially at Elementary (-210/-1.7%). • Middle grade saw greater than expected declines. • Resident student growth also negative (-141/-0.5%) • Resident losses at Elementary concentrated in Boulder, Louisville, and Superior with Lafayette/Erie experiencing strong Elementary growth (+136/6%). • Kindergarten, although still relatively small ( 1,894), made gains in 2019. • The number of overall Out-of-District students was also down in 2019 (-78). • “ Net Migration,” although positive, declined in 2019, with most of the loss concentrated at the middle level. 11