AMADOR-CALAVERAS CONSENSUS GROUP SOCIOECONOMIC MONITORING Hilary - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

AMADOR-CALAVERAS CONSENSUS GROUP SOCIOECONOMIC MONITORING Hilary Sanders, Kyle Rodgers, Jonathan Kusel September 2019

PURPOSE To establish a baseline of socioeconomic conditions in the area local to the Cornerstone CFLR, and to assess the socioeconomic impacts the Cornerstone Project has had in that area.

STUDY AREA

METHODS Quantitative Data Qualitative Data • Demographic Data • Community Capacity Workshop • Contractor Survey • Interviews • Contractor Survey

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT Percent Population Change 1999-2018 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 Percent Change 0.5 0 Amador Calaveras -0.5 California -1 -1.5 -2 -2.5 1999-2000 2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 Year

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT Population Distribution Amador County 85 and over 80 to 84 75 to 79 70 to 74 65 to 69 60 to 64 55 to 59 50 to 54 45 to 49 Age 40 to 44 35 to 39 30 to 34 25 to 29 20 to 24 15 to 19 10 to 14 5 to 9 0 to 5 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 Percent Percent Female Percent Male

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT Population Distribution Calaveras County 85 and over 80 to 84 75 to 79 70 to 74 65 to 69 60 to 64 55 to 59 50 to 54 45 to 49 Age 40 to 44 35 to 39 30 to 34 25 to 29 20 to 24 15 to 19 10 to 14 5 to 9 0 to 5 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 Percent Percent Female Percent Male

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT Households for Seasonal, Recreational, or Occasional Use Amador County Communities, 2013-2017 100% 90% 80% Percentage of Households 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% y o n e n s e e e o v n r h o o n l a l s c a k r h i c n P G V c l k a o a c r m n e V J e u o n v / B a s i i y C P / R k t r i c / e C n a e r J w n o / e o o d n t i a P y o m r I D A / / n k w e e o r t e C l d r e d t i t F u / S h t u o m y l P Community

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT Households for Seasonal, Recreational, or Occasional Use Calaveras County Communities, 2013-2017 100% 90% 80% Percentage of Households 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% n e y t e o a e e l k l a i o l t o c t l v c l H l l i n i t i C F c e o a v v g S e n C e r a r s a n t t e e n t a o o n r m i l l m r c l p e m A G o r g a i m p / u C m o r / u T p p F t D o l a / a a u e m o D / C L s l B k C y F a / / / a / o / r s a s C t d e e s M i y a m r a l i v h r l s e l o i o A e l p o v e v p R v y / l g a r a a d u o l n l l e a P l l M i r a a o s e A / C R C l n s p / i r a W r h o p e A e c h o t / r a n t C d c e n a n n r R a i A o G R P p n / e t a s e s g S h e n W S i r / p h S c n y a e R l l a . t V M Community

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT Unemployment Rate 18.00% 16.00% 14.00% Percent Unemployment 12.00% 10.00% Amador County 8.00% Calaveras County 6.00% California 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 1990… 1991… 1993… 1994… 1996… 1997… 1999… 2000… 2002… 2003… 2005… 2006… 2008… 2009… 2011… 2012… 2014… 2015… 2017… Year

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT Population 16 Years and Over Not in Labor Force Amador County Communities 90.00% 80.00% Percent Not in Labor Force 70.00% Camanche Ione/Jackson Valley 60.00% Jackson Pine Grove Pioneer/Buckhorn 50.00% Plymouth/Fiddletown/Drytown/River Pines Sutter Creek/Amador City/Volcano 40.00% CA 30.00% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Year

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT Population 16 Years and Over Not in Labor Force Calaveras County Communities 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% Arnold/Avery/Dorrington Copperopolis/Copper Cove Percent Not in Labor Force Greater Angels Camp/Altaville Mokelumne Hill 60.00% Mt. Ranch/Sheep Ranch/Calaveritas/Fricot City Murphys/Douglas Flat Rail Road Flat/Glencoe San Andreas/Paloma/Campo Seco Tamarack 50.00% Valley Springs/Rancho Calaveras/La Contenta West Point/Wilselyville/Bummerville 40.00% CA 30.00% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Year

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT Elementary School Free and Reduced Price Meal Enrollment Amador County 100% 90% 80% 70% Percent Enrollment Ione Elementary 60% Jackson Elementary 50% Pine Grove Elementary 40% Pioneer Elementary Plymouth Elementary 30% Sutter Creek Elementary 20% 10% 0% 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 Year

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT Elementary School Free and Reduced Price Meal Enrollment Calaveras County 100% 90% 80% Albert A. Michelson Elementary 70% Copperopolis Elementary Percent Enrollment Hazel Fischer Elementary 60% Jenny Lind Elementary 50% Mark Twain Elementary 40% Mokelumne Hill Elementary Rail Road Flat Elementary 30% San Andreas Elementary 20% Valley Springs Elementary 10% West Point Elementary 0% 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 Year

FOREST-SPECIFIC FINDINGS

CONTRACTOR SURVEY Focus Areas: Obtained list of active • • Recent Business Experiences contractors in CFLR area • Small-Diameter Wood • Forest Service Contracting Up to three phone calls • • Wildfire made to each contractor • Surveys completed over the phone or online All surveys in Spring 2019 • 2 5 8 15 responses (50%) •

CONTRACTOR SURVEY 5 8 2

CONTRACTOR SURVEY Small- diameter wood utilization

CONTRACTOR SURVEY Best Value Contracting 5 8 2

CONTRACTOR SURVEY Effects of Wildfire

BUTTE FIRE AND CANNABIS

BUTTE FIRE AND CANNABIS • Butte Fire • Reduced social capital • Dead trees remaining present continued fire hazard • An “eye-opener” • Cannabis • Change in social dynamics • Caused a bubble of economic benefit that burst after the ban

CORNERSTONE OUTCOMES

CAPACITY OF PARTNERS “It’s definitely brought some people together...those guys weren’t working together at all, they met through the ACCG basically... I think it’s been very beneficial to the organizations that do work to be able to better coordinate their work.” “Without ACCG, we would not be doing literally millions of dollars of work on our watersheds.”

LOCAL WORKFORCE The ACCG had initially expected “zero to three companies to show up” for bid tours at a project site, and a recent project ended up with 22 companies on the site visit. “I think with all the money coming in for forest work we’re going to have more people going back to work in the woods you know, which is a good thing. But you know, how quickly that’s going to happen is really hard to know.”

LOCAL CONTRACTING Agency partners remain divided in how they look at best value, with some acknowledging the benefits of processes that “get the community back into the game, spread money throughout the area, and make life better,” while others opt for a lowest bid contract award. “There's still what seem to be higher opportunities, better opportunities, if they could work out the details of what really is best value, and how to move that forward.”

HIGHLIGHTS • Socioeconomic context by community • Easily replicated for future monitoring • Contractor survey • Butte Fire and Cannabis • Cornerstone Outcomes • Partner capacity, workforce capacity, and local contracting