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Addressing Climate Change in Agriculture Dan Burgar Kueliki Directorate General for Agriculture and Rural Development Portlaoise, Ireland, 8 February 2017 Where do we come from Paris Agreement Global commitment to transition to


  1. Addressing Climate Change in Agriculture Dan Burgar Kuželički Directorate General for Agriculture and Rural Development Portlaoise, Ireland, 8 February 2017

  2. Where do we come from …

  3. Paris Agreement • Global commitment to transition to a low- emission economy, holding the increase in the global temperature to well below 2  C • Highlights need to harness the potential of land use to contribute to global GHG mitigation efforts • Acknowledgement of the importance of food security • Entered into force 4 November 2016

  4. European Council Conclusions on agriculture: • Acknowledge the lower mitigation potential of agriculture and land use sector • Their multiple objectives • The need to ensure coherence between the EU's food security and climate change objectives • Encouraging sustainable intensification of food production, while optimising the sector's contribution to GHG mitigation and sequestration , also through afforestation

  5. 2030 Climate and Energy Framework -40 % Greenhouse Gas Emissions (domestic EU) Non-ETS -30% Land Use, Land Effort Sharing use change and Regulation Forestry -30 % "No-Debit" Non-CO2 emissions Full Afforestation from Agriculture flexibility Buildings Deforestation Transport ETS Managed grasslands Max 280 Waste -43 % MtCO2eq Managed croplands F-gases Including: Max 100 Managed forest Power/Energy MtCO2eq Other small sectors Sector and Industry, Aviation outside ETS

  6. Agriculture emissions

  7.  Reduction of non-CO 2 in agriculture is possible, but we need to consider that: • With no change in policy GHG decrease is slight - 2.3% • The costs: Total subsidies needed to reduce negative consequences are considerable (12.7-15.6 bio. Euro) • Without financial support, there will be negative consequences: • On production - e.g. changes in beef herd size can vary from -6.6% to -16% in the EU-28 • Emission leakage Limited mitigation potential of the sector Support is needed to avoid serious negative effects

  8. Larger production effects with no subsidies Beef supply: %-change vs. the baseline (2030 ) 20% emission 20% emission target, target, no subsidies 80% subsidies

  9. EcAMPA 2 shows how mitigation technologies contribute to the overall emission reduction target * The mitigation effects linked to genetic improvement measures cannot be analysed in isolation and are added to mitigation achieved by changes in Source: EcAMPA2 report (2016) production.

  10. How to achieve multiple objectives Common Agricultural Policy cross-compliance mechanism • 'green payment' • Rural Development Programs • Irish RDP: - Priority 4+5 Other Priorities, (608 M€) - Almost 244 million EUR is allocated to climate- related issues Priority 5 (439 M€) - Investments into energy efficiency Priority 4 (2 873 M€) - Supporting climate-friendly agricultural P4+P5 84,4 practices % - Carbon conservation and sequestration Horizon 2020 • European Innovation Partnership for Agricultural Productivity and • Sustainability (EIP-AGRI)

  11. Way forward … Future CAP Public consultation on Modernisation and simplification of the Common Agricultural Policy post 2020 https://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/consultations/cap- modernising/2017_en This public consultation is open until the 2nd May 2017.

  12. Thank you for your attention! http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/index_en

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