Virginia Freight Data Analysis presented to Virginia Freight - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Virginia Freight Data Analysis presented to Virginia Freight Advisory Committee presented by Alan Meyers Cambridge Systematics, Inc. December 5, 2006 REVISED December 20, 2006

Overview VDOT purchased the “Transearch” freight dataset Data provides estimates of domestic moves: • Truck tons and units, rail tons and units, water tons, air tons • Origin-destination pairs at Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) economic area level for non-adjacent regions; at county level for VA, MD, and WV. • Modeled “paths” through national networks • Current and forecasted future years to 2030 CS analyzed “draft final” version of this dataset • Combination of tools • Supplemental information on international waterborne “Generic” analysis •

Summary About 913 million tons of freight (all modes, including international waterborne tonnage) used Virginia’s multimodal freight transportation system in 2004, representing $2.16 trillion. For domestic cargo, Virginia is a “through” state (52% of value; 41% of tonnage in 2004). In 2004, Virginia imported and exported similar amounts of freight by value ; Virginia imports comprised a larger share by weight. In 2004, truck was the top tonnage mode (74% of tonnage). Truck was also the top value mode (95%) of value. Hampton Roads is the 6 th ranked U.S. maritime freight gateway in terms of value. In 2004, a total of $33.5 billion of international freight (1.5% of all U.S. trade) was processed there. The largest airport in Virginia, Dulles International Airport, handled 303,012 metric tons of freight in 2005. This is 1.3% of all U.S. air cargo and ranks Dulles as the 23 rd largest air freight handler in the U.S.

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Base Year by Weight Total Tonnage by Mode and Direction, 2004 Mode Inbound Outbound Internal Through Mode Total Truck 122,559,154 98,413,231 164,223,718 293,653,629 678,849,732 Rail 46,895,284 30,351,239 20,888,653 82,828,762 180,963,938 *Water 18,356,169 29,907,246 4,713,344 n/a 52,976,759 Air 258,946 203,135 7,477 n/a 469,558 TOTAL 188,069,553 158,874,851 189,833,192 376,482,391 913,259,987 * Note: Water includes the TRANSEARCH 2004 domestic portion, as well as 2003 international waterborne data from the Army Corps of Engineers (ACOE).

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Modal and Directional Splits by Weight Total Tonnage by Mode and Direction, 2004 Tonnage Split (direction) Mode Split (tonnage) 6% 21% Rail 20% 10% 41% 0% Outbound 17% 15% 74% 21% Inbound Outbound Internal Through Truck Air Rail Water

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Truck and Rail by Direction Total Tonnage by Mode and Direction, 2004 Truck Tons Mode Inbound Outbound Internal Through Total Truck 122,559,154 98,413,231 164,223,718 293,653,629 678,849,732 % Share 18% 14% 24% 43% 100% Rail Tons Mode Inbound Outbound Internal Through Total Rail 46,895,284 30,351,239 20,888,653 82,828,762 180,963,938 % Share 26% 17% 12% 46% 100%

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Rail Carload and Intermodal by Direction Total Carload and Intermodal Tonnage and Shares by Direction, 2004 Rail Tonnage Mode Inbound Outbound Internal Through Total Carload 43,818,599 28,127,817 20,579,757 78,834,758 171,360,931 Intermodal 3,076,685 2,223,422 308,896 3,994,004 9,603,007 Percentage Share by Direction Carload 26% 16% 12% 46% 100% Intermodal 32% 23% 3% 42% 100%

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Air and Water by Direction Total Air and Water Tonnage and Shares by Direction, 2004 Water and Air Tonnage Mode Inbound Outbound Internal Through Total Air 258,946 203,135 7,477 - 469,558 Water 18,356,169 29,907,246 4,713,344 - 52,976,759 Percentage Share by Direction Air 55% 43% 2% 0% 100% Water 35% 57% 9% 0% 100%

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Virginia Freight Flows by Direction -- All Modes Shares by Tonnage and Value, 2004 2004 Tonnage 2004 Value 16% 21% 41% 16% 52% 17% 16% 21% Inbound Outbound Internal Through Inbound Outbound Internal Through

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Future Year by Weight Total Tonnage by Mode and Direction, 2030 Mode Inbound Outbound Internal Through Total Truck 247,070,202 197,696,339 334,687,058 536,533,556 1,315,987,155 Rail 97,267,890 56,167,328 40,209,744 141,631,023 335,275,985 *Water 11,731,630 16,036,431 7,843,941 n/a 35,612,002 Air 680,534 351,450 21,428 n/a 1,053,412 Total 356,750,256 270,251,548 382,762,171 678,164,579 1,687,928,554 Note: International waterborne data from the Army Corps of Engineers (ACOE) does not include forecasts; therefore, only the domestic portion from TRANSEARCH is included in this summary.

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Base and Future Year by Weight 2004 to 2030 Tonnage Growth Rates by Mode Growth in Tonnage by Mode Mode 2004 2030 Absolute Growth % Growth Truck 678,849,732 1,315,987,155 637,137,423 94% Rail 180,963,938 335,275,985 154,312,047 85% *Water 52,976,759 35,612,002 n/a n/a Air 469,558 1,053,412 583,854 124% Total 913,259,987 1,687,928,554 792,033,324 87% Note: International waterborne data from the Army Corps of Engineers (ACOE) does not include forecasts; therefore, only the domestic portion from TRANSEARCH is included in the 2030 summary. For this reason, growth is not computed for the water mode.

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Top Rail Commodity Growth 2004 to 2030 Coal - 11 Nonmetallic Minerals - 14 Waste or Scrap Materials - 40 Misc. Mixed Shipments - 46 Clay, Concrete, Glass or Stone - 32 Chemicals or Allied Products - 28 Food or Kindred Products - 20 Pulp, Paper or Allied Products - 26 Petroleum or Coal Products - 29 Farm Products - 01 All Others 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Millions of Tons 2030 2004

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Top Truck Commodity Growth 2004 to 2030 Nonmetallic Minerals - 14 Secondary Traffic - 50 Clay, Concrete, Glass or Stone - 32 Lumber or Wood Products - 24 Food or Kindred Products - 20 Petroleum or Coal Products - 29 Chemicals or Allied Products - 28 Pulp, Paper or Allied Products - 26 Transportation Equipment - 37 Primary Metal Products - 33 All Others 0 50 100 150 200 250 Millions of Tons 2030 2004

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Through Movements by Rail Tonnage and Growth in the Top Origin and Destination Regions, 2004 and 2030 Origin Destination Rail Tons Rail Tons Absolute % Growth 2004 2030 Growth Lexington, KY Raleigh, NC 6,615,967 7,110,104 494,138 7% Charleston, WV Greensboro, NC 3,649,616 6,021,521 2,371,905 65% Lexington, KY Charleston, SC 3,350,424 5,495,372 2,144,948 64% Lexington, KY Charlotte, NC 2,915,811 5,218,372 2,302,561 79% Charleston, WV Raleigh, NC 2,886,053 3,306,138 420,085 15% Lexington, KY Orlando, FL 2,567,119 2,455,074 (112,045) -4% Lexington, KY Greensboro, NC 2,371,262 8,304,987 5,933,725 250% Charleston, WV Hickory, NC 2,054,104 4,172,254 2,118,150 103% Lexington, KY Knoxville, TN 2,013,993 5,543,828 3,529,835 175% Lexington, KY Macon, GA 1,878,819 3,739,027 1,860,208 99%

Commodity Flow Analysis Summary: Through Movements by Truck Tonnage and Growth in the Top Origin and Destination Regions, 2004 and 2030 Origin Destination Truck Tons Truck Tons Absolute % Growth 2004 2030 Growth New Orleans, LA New York, NY 7,306,039 10,909,628 3,603,589 49% Baton Rouge, LA New York, NY 6,678,563 6,912,555 233,992 4% Houston, TX New York, NY 5,243,170 8,002,842 2,759,672 53% Orlando, FL New York, NY 3,674,952 5,017,213 1,342,261 37% Atlanta, GA New York, NY 3,635,044 6,656,429 3,021,385 83% Raleigh, NC New York, NY 2,853,887 5,969,709 3,115,822 109% Greensboro, NC Louisville, KY 2,689,631 5,073,974 2,384,343 89% Houston TX Philadelphia, PA 2,562,390 3,649,730 1,087,340 42% Savannah, GA New York, NY 2,518,120 4,859,385 2,341,265 93% Jacksonville, FL New York, NY 2,512,803 4,133,633 1,620,830 65%

Inbound Truck Movements: Top Origin Regions by Weight, 2004 Top Inbound Trading Partners: 1 – New York, NY (5) 2 – Raleigh, NC (3) Philadelphia (1) Cleveland 3 – Cleveland, OH (10) New 4 – Charlotte, NC Chicago York 5 – Philadelphia, PA (6) 6 – Charleston, WV Charleston (9) 7 – Greensboro, NC Greenville (4) 8 – Baton Rouge, LA (2) Charlotte 9 – Greenville, NC (8) Raleigh (7) Baton 10- Chicago, IL Greensboro Rouge

Outbound Truck Movements: Top Destination Regions by Weight, 2004 Top Outbound Trading Partners: 1 – New York, NY 2 – Philadelphia, PA 1 3 – Greensboro, NC 2 4 – District of Columbia 6 4 5 – Charlotte, NC 10 9 6 – Montgomery Cty, MD 7 – Hickory, NC 7 8 – Raleigh, NC 3 8 5 9 – Charleston, WV 10 – Prince George’s County, MD

Internal Virginia Truck Movements: Top Intrastate Moves By Weight, 2004 Top Intrastate Trading Partners: 2 10 1 – Charles City County to Fairfax County 7 2 – Frederick County to Loudoun County 3 – Roanoke County to Roanoke City 8 4 – Norfolk City to Norfolk City 5 – Harrisonburg City to Fairfax County 6 – Accomack County to Fairfax County 5 7 - Fairfax County to Fairfax County 8 – Culpeper County to Prince William County 9 – Russell County to Washington County 10 – Frederick County to Frederick County 6 1 1 3 9 4