Use of DWP data to monitor migrants access to benefits Russ Bentley - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Use of DWP data to monitor migrants access to benefits Russ Bentley & Richard Mosley, DWP

The new landscape of DWP benefits Working age Feb17

National Insurance Numbers Allocated to Adult Overseas Nationals : Nationality of DWP benefit claimants Non-UK nationals at NINo registration: DWP working 7% of DWP working age claimants were overseas nationals age benefit claimants (thousands) and proportion of total - Feb 2010 to Feb 2017 As at February 2017, 4.8 million people were claiming DWP working age benefits Of these, 353 thousand (7.4%) are estimated to have been non-UK nationals when they first registered for a NINo. This compares with 359 thousand (7.3%) in 2016 Non-UK nationals at NINo registration: DWP working age benefit claimants by nationality (thousands) Jobseekers ESA and incapacity benefits Lone Parents Pakistan Pakistan 11.88 Pakistan 4.52 3.24 Poland Poland 10.21 Somalia 4.33 2.87 Iran Iran 8.05 Poland 4.19 2.00 Eritrea Ireland 7.81 Eritrea 3.88 1.68 Sudan India 7.13 Nigeria 3.68 1.34 Syria Somalia 6.05 Jamaica 3.04 1.18

Range of measures introduced over the last few years to restrict access to benefits for migrants…. From December 2013, the Government introduced a set of measures to restrict access to benefits for migrants from the European Economic Area (EEA). These included: • From December 2013, the introduction of a stronger, more robust Habitual Residence Test (HRT). • From January 2014, no immediate access to Jobseeker’s Allowance (JSA) for those arriving in the UK, and a limit to the length of time JSA can be claimed. • From April 2014, newly arrived EEA Jobseekers cannot claim Housing Benefit (HB).

…and we’ve seen a decrease in the proportion of JSA claims from EEA nationals Who claimed within 90 days…. Proportion of total JSA claims by EEA nationals beginning within 90 days 9% of arrival in the UK by month of onflow 8% Measures introduced for In November 2013 (the month new claims from January 7% before the measure was 2014 introduced), around 8% of EEA 6% national JSA claims began within 90 days of their arrival 5% in the UK . After the measures 4% were introduced (January 2014) this fell to 3% and has steadily 3% decreased to around 1%. 2% 1% 0% Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 EEA migrants

…and big falls in Housing Benefit caseload for EEA jobseekers… EEA migrant HB caseload (JSA (IB) passported only) 40,000 Between February 2014 Measures introduced in 35,000 (quarter before measures April 2014 introduced) and November 30,000 2016 (latest available data), 25,000 the number of EEA jobseekers on HB 20,000 decreased by 83%. In the 15,000 same period, the number of UK and CTA jobseekers on 10,000 HB decreased by 53%. 5,000 0 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13 Aug-13 Nov-13 Feb-14 May-14 Aug-14 Nov-14 Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 Less than five years Five years or more All

…which have led to falls in out -of-work expenditure (although offset by increases In in- work expenditure… £ millions 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 DWP Working Age Expenditure £38,293 £37,751 £37,726 EEA led claims £1,643 £1,665 £1,613 % EEA led claims 4.3% 4.4% 4.3% Non-EEA led claims £2,974 £2,975 £3,029 % Non-EEA led claims 7.8% 7.9% 8.0% DWP In-work Expenditure £4,859 £5,313 £5,546 EEA led in-work HB claims £799 £909 £999 % EEA led claims 16.4% 17.1% 18.0% Non-EEA led in-work HB claims £841 £959 £1,035 % Non-EEA led claims 17.3% 18.1% 18.7% £32,181 DWP out-of-work Expenditure £33,434 £32,439 EEA led out-of-work claims £844 £756 £613 Of which: Housing Benefit £472 £423 £341 JSA £212 £151 £73 Other out-of-work benefits £160 £182 £200 % EEA led claims 2.5% 2.3% 1.9% Non-EEA led out-of-work claims £2,133 £2,016 £1,995 Of which: Housing Benefit £1,174 £1,094 £1,073 JSA £274 £212 £196

Income Tax, NICs, Tax Credits and Child Benefit Statistics on EEA Nationals | OFFICIAL | Further Statistics on EEA Migrants | 1

Introduction • Aim of the publication • Changes since the last publication o Methodology o Overall presentation | OFFICIAL | Further Statistics on EEA Migrants | 2

Methodological Changes Apportioning of countries that have since undergone dissolution. August 2016 publication: • Yugoslavia and East Germany August 2017 publication • Czechoslovakia and the USSR | OFFICIAL | Further Statistics on EEA Migrants | 4

Table Layout – Table A1 Last year’s table with 2013 -14 data Table A1: Breakdown of tax credit entitlement for EEA nationals (NAANR) by different family structures. Entitlement to Entitlement to Number of families Total tax credit Number of Average annual Child Tax Working Tax receiving more than entitlement families tax credit Credit Credit (£ £10,000 in tax (thousands) entitlement (£) million) credits (thousands) (£ million) (£ million) All families 4,504 28,519 21,456 7,063 6,300 658 Families with at least one EEA national adult 344 2,102 1,477 625 6,100 43 of which: Families with a UK national adult 38 237 184 53 6,100 5 Families with at least one recently arrived EEA national adult 84 498 333 166 5,900 8 of which: Families with a UK national adult 4 27 19 7 6,200 0.4 This year’s table with 2014 -15 data Table A1: Breakdown of tax credit Entitlement by Different Family Structures, 2014-15 Number of Families Working Tax Number of Child Tax Credit WTC & CTC Total tax Average Annual Receiving More Credit (WTC) Families (CTC) entitlement entitlement credits tax credit Than £10,000 in entitlement Entitlement 1 (£) (Thousands) only (£Million) (£Million) (£Million) tax credits only (£Million) (Thousands) All families 4,414 1,186 11,164 16,247 28,596 6,500 686 Families with at least one non-UK EEA national adult 366 93 607 1,613 2,313 6,300 51 of which: Families with a UK national adult 40 7 93 157 257 6,400 6 Families with at least one recently arrived non-UK EEA national adu 85 30 107 393 529 6,200 10 of which: Families with a UK national adult 5 1 8 21 30 6,500 1 | OFFICIAL | Further Statistics on EEA Migrants | 5

Table Layout – Table A2 Last year’s table with 2013 -14 data Table A.2: Breakdown of tax credit entitlement for EEA nationals (NAANR)by out-of-work and in-work families Out-of-work families In-work families Number of families Total tax credits Number of families Total tax credits entitlement entitlement (thousands) (£ million) (thousands) (£ million) All families 1,373 8,350 3,130 20,167 Families with at least one EEA national adult 59 357 285 1,745 of which: Families with a UK national adult 7 42 32 196 Families with at least one recently arrived EEA national adult 13 77 71 421 of which: Families with a UK national adult 1 5 3 22 Note: Caseload figures have been rounded to the nearest 1,000, Total entitlement has been rounded to the nearest £1 million and average entitlement to the nearest £100. Totals may not add up due to rounding. Arrival date only affects recent arrivals This year’s table with 2014 -15 data Table A2: Breakdown of tax credit Entitlement by Out-of-Work and In-Work Families, 2014-15 Out-of-work families In-work families Total tax Number of Number of Total tax credits credits Families Families Entitlement Entitlement (Thousands) (Thousands) (£Million) (£Million) All families 1,296 8,049 3,118 20,547 Families with at least one non-UK EEA national adult 60 360 306 1,952 of which: Families with a UK national adult 7 43 33 214 Families with at least one recently arrived non-UK EEA national adu 12 71 73 459 of which: Families with a UK national adult 1 5 4 25 | OFFICIAL | Further Statistics on EEA Migrants | 6