update update presented to presented by CRAFT Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Cambridge Systematics Alpesh Patel January 30, 2018 Presented by Alpesh Patel January 30, 2018 1
Self-Driving Vehicles Autonomous car » Cameras and sensors to detect other vehicles and obstacles ▪ Scaled up from recently emerged safety/driving technologies ▪ Leverages ultra-detailed maps ▪ Software learns from events » Autonomous versus Driverless Vehicles ▪ Also, in the future: VMT ≠ VMD » Mixed Fleet in 2020s; moving towards Dominant Fleet in the 2030-2040s ( potential requirements) https://www.vtpi.org/avip.pdf 2
Connected Vehicles Vehicles can communicate with each other, roadside devices, other users » All equipped vehicles » Intersections » Pedestrians/cyclists (smartphone) NHTSA has published multiple rules on CV (latest was Sept 2017) 3 CV pilot projects underway » $42 million from FHWA 3
NHTSA/SAE Classification System for Vehicle Levels of Automation 4
Connected and Self-Driving Vehicles System - Possible Benefits When the majority of the fleet is both connected and automated, there will be significant decreases in crashes, resulting in significant increases in safety and reliability. Vehicle spacing on roadways will be safely reduced on a large scale, reducing congestion and creating more throughput Benefits in all major areas: mobility safety and environment 5
Predicting the future is hard… Source: Victoria Transport Policy Institute, Autonomous Vehicle Implementation Predictions , 2017 6
NC’s technology response Connected and UAS testing 2016 autonomous SL 2014-100 (enacted GoTriangle , Uber, vehicles (CAV) by SL 2015-232, SL TransLoc 2016-90) – 1 st roadmap - ncav.org partnership regulatory guidance of key questions raised by CAV app integration for first mile, Unmanned Aircraft (or technology; activities for last mile connectivity Aerial Surveillance) how state should prepare Systems 2014 7
NC’s Technology Response Enabling Legislation Triangle Expressway – HB 469 • parameters for autonomous Managed vehicle testing Mobility • establishes Fully Autonomous TriEx one of 10 Vehicle Committee national sites for HB 716 testing CAV • allows truck platoon testing Centralina COG Workshops - Preparedness Plan for Metrolina (August, September, October) 2017 8
The Challenges Facing Transportation Agencies AV will impact almost everything across the public agencies and the private sector, including regional issues such as… Transportation Planning Traffic Engineering and Operations Transportation Capital Investment Public Transportation Data Management and Security Non-motorized Transportation 9
What Impacts Will AV have? During the workshops, a few of New data collection and many impacts we heard: scenario planning will be needed to understand Transportation capacity impacts and Planning impacts on mode choice Need to address modeling needs, Modeling and Need to plan for data and adapt Forecasting ‘mixed fleet’ assumptions environments with traditional cars and Fleet Management CAV Potential for more sprawl or Land Use more density, and potential ROW reallocation 10
What Impacts Will AV have? On Safety and Security? 35,092 fatalities in 2015 – 94% of crashes attributed, at least in part, to human error That is 4 people lost per hour 11
NCHRP PLANNING SNAPSHOT 11: CONNECTED AND AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES NCHRP 08-36, Task 120 – Connected and Autonomous Vehicles, Principle Investigator, Evan Enarson-Hering, Cambridge Systematics 12 12
How would you best describe your agency’s level of engagement in policy and planning for connected and autonomous vehicles? 13 13
From a scale of 1 to 10, what is the general awareness and level of interest in A/CV concepts and operations within your agency? 14 14
Centralina COG Automated and Connected Vehicle (ACV) Workshops - Actions to Prepare the Greater Charlotte Region Workshop concept sprung from Regional Freight Mobility Plan 50+ participants per workshop Leading researchers, industry experts, best practice 1st region based dialogue on technology preparation, obstacles, solutions in NC Roadmap with actionable steps Transferable concept for state and national peers 15
Centralina Council of Governments (CCOG) Autonomous & Connected Vehicles Workshops Overview Workshop 1: Clearing the Hype » An educational session on what is coming in the next 5-10 years and NCDOT’s early strategy and response Workshop 2: Discussing the Impacts » How will ACVs impact our work and how we reach our long-range goals and objectives? Workshop 3: Developing an Action Plan » Determine key steps the region can take to prepare for and make the most of this game- changing technology 16
CCOG ACV Workshop 1 Workshop 1: Clearing the Hype » An educational session on what is coming in the next 5-10 years and NCDOT’s early strategy and response 17
Workshop 1 Results – ACV overview and education Workshop 1 Included a series of educational presentations to solidify a baseline of understanding of ACV issues, definitions for all participants: ACVs 101 : Mark Jensen of Cambridge Systematics Impacts and Timing of Adoption of ACVs Panel Discussion : » Brian Burkhard, Jacobs Engineering » Doug Gettman, Ph. D; Kimley Horn & Associates » Keith Hangland, HERE ACVs in 25 years – Sam Van Hecke, Cambridge Systematics National and State Efforts to Prepare for ACVs : Kevin Lacy, NCDOT Breakout Session – We identified roles and responsibilities of local governments and transportation planning organizations 18
Workshop 1: Breakout Session Results Assessing Roles Raising key and questions about Assessing Impacts Responsibilities readiness and need for actions. 19
CCOG ACV Workshop 2 Workshop 2: Discussing the Impacts » How will ACVs impact our work and how we reach our long-range goals and objectives? » What gaps exist, what are our highest priority actions? 20
Workshop 2 Results Presentation Series: Planning for Change – A Local Perspective » Anna Gallup, CDOT, Bob Cook, CRPTO and Bjorn Hansen, Union County Planning for Change – Regulatory and Practitioner Based Perspectives » Paul Lewis of Eno Center for Transportation and Jitender Ramchandani of Virginia DRPT NC Turnpike Authority – Triangle Expressway & Managed Mobility by Dennis Jernigan, NCTA Planning for Change – The Next Frontier – Marty Milkovits, Cambridge Systematics Breakout Session to Discuss Actions by time horizons 21
Workshop 2: Breakout Session Results Brainstormed and Identified Gaps in Discussed Impacts identified Priority policy, planning, Actions to address programming Gaps 22
Workshop 3: Breakout Session Results Identify obstacles to Developed solutions to Defined near term priority actions. progress; overcome barriers 23
Centralina COG Automated and Connected Vehicle (ACV) Roadmap Actions to Prepare the Greater Charlotte Region 24
Roadmap Purpose The Roadmap Action Plan include specific near term actions that partners in the region can take to enhance preparedness for ACV. Given the fast pace of chance with ACV technologies, this action plan is expected to be a living document. 25
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Action Plan – Organization 39
Action Plan – Key themes At a high level these actions include the following themes: Continue to convene regional leadership/partners to discuss multimodal impacts issues and opportunities of new technologies, coordinate actions, and plans. Consider ACV in planning studies and documents. Take steps to update tools to be able to evaluate ACV impacts. Before making significant investments in major capital investments — such as new parking structures or road widenings — consider possible implications of ACV. Continue to seek opportunities to educate and inform regional political leaders, agency leadership, and staff. Be part of the state and national conversation on ACV, providing the voice of the regional perspective on ACV issues. Identify opportunities to be partners in pilot tests for new technologies. 40
Next Steps CCOG ACV Task Force forms (kickoff 3/2) - Limited time frame expected for Task Force - Participants self-identify Participate in regional, state, national conversations - NCAMPO – late April; 1-2 other state/national opportunities - Local conversations Regional partners advance actions and strategies in the Road Map Action Plan, and other new strategies as they evolve 41
Thank You! CCOG Project lead: Jason Wager Michelle Nance Cambridge Systematics: Alpesh Patel – apatel@camsys.com Mark Jensen – mjensen@camsys.com Stacy Cook – scook@camsys.com Sam Van Hecke – svanhecke@camsys.com Thanks to all support staff/table facilitators, MPO/RPO panelists 42
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