www.tigerbrands.co.za TIGER BRANDS LIMITED RESULTS PRESENTATION TO INVESTORS for the Year ended September 2013
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 2 Agenda Business Financial Analysis Performance Strategic Review Grains Business Business Performance Performance Outlook International Consumer Brands
www.tigerbrands.co.za Strategic Review Peter Matlare Chief Executive Officer
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 4 Overview • Trading conditions in South Africa remain challenging – On-going financial pressures on Consumers – Intensely competitive landscape with manufacturers and retailers vying for volume growth – Higher input costs and inability to fully recover costs through price increases • Disappointing Groceries and Milling performance – Volume and margin pressures in an intensely competitive environment – Rising cost inflation exacerbated by Rand weakness – Corrective action being taken to address areas of underperformance in the group • Dangote Flour Mills – Good assets and strong market position – However, trading performance has been disappointing
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 5 Overview • Positive strides made in strategic journey towards building a sustainable platform – Strategic initiatives outlined in prior year aimed at regaining volume share in the domestic market starting to bear fruit, albeit with some margin erosion – Core brands have retained their market leading positions • Excellent performance achieved by the rest of the group’s exports and international businesses
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 6 Global economy slow to recover, but Sub-Sahara Africa growth encouraging Economic growth Y-o-Y % change 2012 2013 2014 • IMF outlook for global GDP growth revised Global 3.2 2.9 3.6 downwards in 2013, slow recovery Advanced Markets 1.5 1.2 2.0 into 2014 Emerging markets 4.9 4.5 5.1 • Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa remains firm SS-Africa 4.9 5.0 6.0 Tiger Geographic expansion progress • Tiger Brands strategy to accelerate 2000- Y-o-y % change 2013 2014 2015 2012 expansion into Rest of Africa gains further traction Kenya 4.0 5.9 6.2 6.3 • Tiger Brands International (excl DFM in Mozambique 7.4 7.0 8.5 8.5 Nigeria) shows pleasing performance Nigeria 8.4 6.2 7.4 6.9 • DFM investment disappoints in Year 1, as significant business corrections are required Zambia 5.7 6.0 6.5 6.0 SSA 5.5 5.0 6.0 5.7
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 7 Context for Performance • Slowdown in domestic GDP growth Real GDP growth 8 expected in 2013 due to weak global 6 demand and adverse effect of 4 industrial unrest YoY % change 2 • Negative impact of unemployment, high 0 debt levels and above inflationary -2 increases on consumer expenditure -4 • Non-durable goods consumer spend 2001-Q1 2003-Q2 2005-Q3 2007-Q4 2010-Q1 2012-Q2 2014-Q3 slows to +2.1% in 2013 with limited Y-o-Y % change 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 recovery expected in 2014 18.8 15.8 11.0 6.2 6.1 Durable goods • Competitive environment intensifies Semi-durable 3.6 5.9 6.2 5.9 5.2 goods Non-durable goods 1.8 3.1 2.5 2.1 2.5 Services 4.0 3.5 1.8 0.9 3.0 Total FCE – 4.4 4.8 3.5 2.5 3.5 Volume growth
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 8 Market trends show slow recovery (categories in which Tiger participates ) Market recovery slow Total South Africa Category Volume and Value Growth Trends • Volumes show small positive recovery 10,00 over the last 12 months compared to 9,00 the same period last year 7,6 8,00 7,2 • H2 2013 reported slightly stronger 6,9 7,00 volume growth of 2% 6,00 Leading brands 5,00 4,00 • Market shares now stable as we focus 3,00 on price management and shopper 2,0 2,00 activation 1,4 0,7 1,00 0,6 0,4 • Tiger Brands continues to maintain the 0,00 No.1 or 2 position across most of the Mat LY vs H1 Curr vs H1 H2 Curr vs H2 6mm Curr vs categories in which it participates Mat TY YA YA Prev Category Value Growth Category Volume Growth Source: Nielsen September 2013
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 9 Progress on business strategy - Domestic Domestic performance disappointing Volume • However, cost saving programme delivers & Sales good returns Growth – Common ERP platform – Shared F & A service Operating Brand Leverage investment – Centralised procurement R500m & annualised Innovation – Competitive Supply Chain Cost savings within 4 • Savings invested into price point years management and shopper activation • Market shares stabilised Sustained profitable growth & cash flow Supported by single-enabling IT platform
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 10 Solid top-line organic growth boosted by contribution from acquisitions 28,0 R'billions 27,0 26,0 R27,0bn 10,7% +8,4% Organic Growth 25,0 1,9% 0,6% 24,0 5,8% 23,0 22,0 22,7 R22,7bn 22,7 22,7 22,7 21,0 20,0 2012 Turnover Pricing inflation Volume Forex Acquisitions 2013 Turnover
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 11 Tough trading performance in Milling, Groceries and DFM 3 500,0 3 400,0 -5,2% 3 300,0 +10,7% -5,1% 3 200,0 -11,2% -0,8% 3 100,0 R3,5bn 3 000,0 2 900,0 R3,1bn 2 800,0 2012 EBIT Milling Groceries Rice Rest of Group DFM 2013 EBIT (ex DFM) R3,1bn Movement reflected as percentage of 2012 operating income before abnormal items
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 12 International expansion gains traction but much work to do at DFM • DFM adds significant scale to Tiger’s operations in core categories in which Tiger has expertise and strengthens the group’s pan - African expansion strategy – Potential of the Nigerian market remains undiminished – However profitability in the short term has been hampered by operational challenges – Management team getting to grips with internal and external factors that stand in the way of unlocking the significant potential of this business – Fix and optimise strategy over the next 18 to 24 months – Sale of Agrosacks will reduce the underlying debt in DFM • Pleasing performance from the rest of the group’s exports and international businesses – Reinforcing the validity of the group’s international expansion strategy – Kenya, Cameroon and Ethiopia strong performances – Davita and Exports excellent performances
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 13 HEPS (Cents) Year-ended 30 September 1 800 1 781 1 750 1 689 1 700 5,4% (Excl DFM) 1 650 1 624 1 600 (3,8%) 1 550 (Incl DFM) 1 500 2012 2 013 2013 *2013 includes earnings from discontinued operations - Dangote Agrosacks
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 14 Total Distributions – Cents per share 880 865 860 850 840 820 +1,8% 800 780 760 740 720 700 2012 2013
www.tigerbrands.co.za Financial Analysis Funke Ighodaro Chief Financial Officer
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 16 Trading Results Revenue EBIT Operating margin % % Rm 2013 2012 Change 2013 2012 Change 2013 2012 Domestic businesses 20 250 19 043 6.3 2 881 3 023 (4.7) 14.2 15.9 Exports and International 4 424 3 634 21.7 580 451 28.6 13.2 12.4 (excluding DFM) Group Excluding DFM 24 674 22 677 8.8 3 461 3 474 (0.4) 14.0 15.3 DFM 2 329 - - (389) - - (16.8) - Continuing Operations 27 003 22 677 19.1 3 072 3 474 (11.6) 11.4 15.3 Discontinued Operations 1 088 - - 197 - - 18.1 - Total Group 28 091 22 677 23.9 3 269 3 474 (5.9) 11.6 15.3 • Significant dilution effect of DFM. Operating profits exclude contribution from Dangote Agrosacks, which is reflected as a discontinued operation • Domestic businesses impacted by weak Groceries and Milling performance • Strong earnings and margins in balance of exports and international businesses
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 17 Income statement for the year ended September % Rm 2013 2012 Change Turnover 27 003 22 677 19.1 Operating income 3 072 3 474 (11.6) 17 (15.0) Income from investments 20 Net financing charges (379) (138) - Income from Associates 515 416 23.8 Profit before taxation and abnormal items 3 225 3 772 (14.5) (831) (1 023) 18.8 Income tax expense Profit after taxation before abnormal items 2 394 2 749 (12.9)
Group Grains Consumer Brands Nigeria Exports and International 18 Income statement for the year ended September % Rm 2013 2012 Change Profit after taxation before abnormal items 2 394 2 749 (12.9) Abnormal items after tax (5) (1) - Non controlling interest 119 (30) - 2 508 2 718 (7.7) Profit from Continuing Operations 61 - - Discontinued Operations – Dangote Agrosacks 2 569 2 718 (5.5) Profit from Total Operations Including DFM HEPS (cents) 1 624 1 689 (3.8) 1 608 1 707 (5.8) EPS (cents) Excluding DFM HEPS (cents) 1 781 1 689 5.4 EPS (cents) 1 785 1 707 4.6
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