Thematic Network: Global Ecological and Economic Connections in Arctic and sub-Arctic Crab Fisheries Aim: Connect across disciplines and sectors in crab fisheries research and production to: Understand interconnected ecological-economic 1. changes in Arctic marine productivity and markets Connect Arctic communities linked by these shifting 2. ecological conditions and markets to improve information flows and responses to disruptive change Use Arctic and sub-Arctic crabs as bellwether cases of 3. types of bigger changes to come
Context and need: Global connections Pan-Arctic/subArctic ecosystems AND world markets connect Snow Crab and Red King Crab Produ duce cers Main ain Co Consumers Traditional Traditional Eastern Russia Japan USA Korea Japan USA Korea Up and Coming Atlantic Canada (SC) China Up and Coming Europe Norway Western Russia Greenland (SC)
Known and Unknown Unknown Unknowns: Unknowns -Uncertainty-> Prob. Dist. unknown; decision-making tools are not great yet – work to be done E.g. blobs, global demand shifts, trade wars, new transport paths well outside expectations; not sure what to look for/ at Known Unknowns: -Risk -> Quantifiable; decision-making tools are reasonably developed E.g. temp, reproduction, prices, costs within historical bounds (somewhere); lab study conceivable
Challenges and Solutions Challenge: Bringing together pan-Arctic + Asian representatives for information sharing, research synergies Solutions: Workshops, visits (own + piggy-back for subsets) Juneau + Anchorage May 2017 (visits + Wakefield Symposium) Toyama June 2017 (visits) Incheon + Busan July 2017 (visits) Copenhagen Dec 2017 (own) Seattle Jul 2018 (IIFET – International Institute of Fisheries Economics and Trade) Seattle Jan 2019 (own) Halifax May 2019 (NAAFE – North American Association of Fisheries Economists) Tromso November 2019 (ICES/IMR Shellfish Symposium – Invaders and Resources in the North) Challenge: Collecting / Integrating data from multiple countries / agencies Solutions: Student intern with, inter alia, Chinese language skills and fisheries economics knowledge Research collaborations in sub-groups Challenge: ‘touchiness’ of Barents Sea stakeholders regarding input to the tradeoffs involved in the development and exploitation of invasive species as a fisheries resource Solutions: Build personal relationships; work carefully and systematically with both qualitative and quantitative data to capture the big picture impacts of local, regional, and global differences in perspective
People and Institutions Institutions (formal* and informal): People (subset) D. Mullowney Representing main Producing and Brooks A. Kaiser* A. Nielsen Consuming Nations M Kourantidou B.H. Nøstvold D Ahsan H. Park University of Southern Denmark* Toyama University* S Bakanev E. Poulsen UAK – Fairbanks* A Burmeister L. Ravn-Jonsen Greenland Institute of Natural Resources* G Eckert C. Siddon KMI* + KOPRI* L.M. Fernandez J.H. Sundet NOFIMA Virginia Commonwealth University H.P . Hong K. Tokunaga IMR + PINRO John Simeone M. Yamamoto DFO Canada A.A. Monsalve Gulf of Maine Fisheries Institute Simeone Consulting
Some answers And some additional questions
Production shifts over time and space - substitute sources: costs, regulatory and ecological climates
Production shifts over time: substitute species and overall demand?
Values: less precise, but needed for understanding human behavior and decision-making CDN prod’n jumps Asia, CA data start Missing? USSR/Russian Fed. Domestic Consumption Non-commercial uses … Gap shows inc. imports
Where to invest research and industry time and money? Information sharing: Your challenges might NOT be new/unique. Over 100 years of fishing these species globally. Think both at the margin and beyond the margins. Calculate risks; diversify risks. Improve industry investment decisions. Stock assessment and recovery. Cooperative research: Power of observations increases with (some) variation and frequency. May fill gaps with local/national data (e.g. SeaAroundUs efforts). Transform uncertainties to risks. Use interdisciplinarity. Develop by-product uses, understand the power of wind Supply chain: Who wants what? What’s it worth? What complements and substitutes matter? How is this changing with: Tastes and preferences Incomes Relative prices Information: health, external costs and benefits…
Main project impacts and lessons learned Set of published works, e.g.: Kourantidou (2019) PhD Kaiser, Fernandez and Kourantidou Journal of Environmental Management (2018) Kourantidou and Kaiser ICES Journal of Marine Science (2019) Set of papers in progress Several in final draft and/or submission stage, a few still in idea and data collection stages Intensifying social scientific perspective to many debates and discussions on resource management around world Adding scientific expertise to understanding the ecological- economic factors of change and their interconnections infusion of cooperation between disciplines and sectors (academia, resource management, and resource production) has been welcom and useful across partners
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