International Miranda Schut ISOCARP CONFERENCE 2016 13 September 2016 Track 4: Urban Planning and Policy Making in Times of Uncertainty, Fragility & Insecurity THE FUTURE OF URBAN LIVING New forms of work, planning for the unknown in Amsterdam
The Spontaneous City International (SPcitI) works on the central question of how to strengthen the relationship between citizens and their city
The future of urban living RESEARCHING PLANNING < > NEW FORMS OF WORK Central question Ambitions Obstacles Trends / forecasts > ‘What-if?’ SCENARIOS analysis lines LITERATURE RESEARCH & LOCAL EXPERTISE INTERNATIONAL REFERENCES INTERVIEWS > MULTI-STAKEHOLDER ROUND TABLES Framing of relevant themes case study Amsterdam Metropolitan Area STRATEGY 2025 - HARBOR CITY < > < > output spatial frame- principles works development strategies
Central question Trends / forecasts > ‘What-if?’ SCENARIOS Ambitions and obstacles analysis lines LITERATURE RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL REFERENCES INTERVIEWS & LOCAL EXPERTISE > MULTI-STAKEHOLDER ROUND TABLES output spatial frame- principles works development strategies < > < > case study Amsterdam Metropolitan Area STRATEGY 2025 - HARBOR CITY
1. Central question Scenario planning
The 4th industrial revolution K. Schwab (2016), The Fourth Industrial Revolution. We do not live in an era of change, but a change of era J. Rotmans, (2014) Verandering van tijdperk - Nederland kantelt To benefjt from the automation revolution we need a universal basic income, the slashing of working hours and a redefjnition of ourselves without work P . Mason, The Guardian 17th February 2016
PLANNING FOR THE UNKNOWN FUTURE of URBAN LIVING t r a n . new technologies&trends n . articifical intelligence . new comers . new economies a . retirement s . small entrepreneurship e . social divide s . basic income . ... s . bank of time b i . ... s t r . new work / work disappearance e i . workplace structures o . precariat u . capacity building c n . human social skills o . regional food system . ... . ealth system r p . education . waste . energy . ... CITY and its TERRITORY . housing . vacancy . public space . urban mix . density . typologies . mobility/logistics . ...
Research questions How can existing (mono-functional) areas and business parks be transformed into fmexible and attractive mixed urban areas, which can absorb the transition to new work? At present, which urban / morphological / functional principles, and what institutional preconditions / frameworks and strategies can be used, to in the future create an interesting mixed urban environment?
Scenario planning A TOOL FREQUENTLY USED BY AMSTERDAM MUNICIPALITY Identifying Identifying Developing Discussing dominant uncertainties possible future effects and anti- variables and risks scenarios cipating strategies NO REGRET MEASURES: BENEFICIAL NO MATTER WHICH SCENARIO GETS THE UPPER HAND
What if..? scenarios TAKING SCENARIOS TO THE NEXT LEVEL trend breaches or discontinuities in developments highly exploratory scenarios to stretch the mind ‘What if, we are no longer able or willing to work in the traditional way?’
2. Case study International references
Koers 2025 STRATEGY OF THE AMSTERDAM MUNICIPALITY Amsterdam is popular and is growing by an average of 11,000 people each year Vision for 2025: 50,000 new homes within Amsterdam MRA: 996 km² - 2,3 million (2014) Amsterdam: 219 km² - 838,338 (2016)
Koers 2025: Space for the city
Current projects Projects outside the municipality of Amsterdam Acceleration sites 2014 (tranche 1 investment decision) Acceleration sites 2014 (tranche 2 strategic decision) Proposed new projects in 2016 (tranche 3) Plan 2016 focused on new projects 2017-2018 Strategic space for the city for the benefjt of development after 2020 Case study area case study: AMSTERDAM HAVEN-STAD
Role of Haven-Stad STRATEGIC AREA FOR THE CITY AND THE STRATEGY 700 units are being constructed Possible acceleration to an additional 3600 units The area will be providing nearly 10% of the target
case study: AMSTERDAM HAVEN-STAD
THE AREA IS FRAGMENTED BY MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE: HIGHWAY, RAIL, LARGE GREEN SPACES Functioning, growing port. Station area Business park along the highway Old polder remnants SPATIAL CHARACTERISTICS: VARIETY OF BUILDING TYPOLOGIES, DENSITY AND MIX Relatively mono-functional Little amenities, facilities Relatively unknown to Contemporary architecture work area. Key sectors: and public/green space current residents of shaping the work area facing manufacturing, trade and available. Isolated mosque. Amsterdam. Student the water. transport housing in containers current character
11 Stories x 2025 INTERNATIONAL REFERENCES Project is completed/advanced stage of planning 1) From monofunctional to mixed 2) Looking at new trends Model for Koers 2025 selected sites Metropolitan: High dynamic + density 1. The Student Hotel / The Refugee Company Amsterdam, NL 2. South Melbourne Glennferrie Road, Australia 7. West End Vancouver, Canada 3. Chapelle International Paris, France 8. Factory Berlin, Germany 4. NEW LAB New York, USA 9. Living Lab Buiksloterham Amsterdam, NL 5. The Deptford Project London, UK 10. De Oude Dokken Gent, Belgium 6. Goose Island Chicago, USA 11. Cat Street Tokyo, Japan
? Toolbox PROVIDING: I - SPATIAL PRINCIPLES A PARADIGM SHIFT: generate new insights for strategic planning II - FRAMEWORKS with fmexibility, diversity of production activities and a mix of functions as core principles III - DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES
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