Study Team: Richard W. Moore, Management c a d oo e, a age e Kenneth Chapman, Economics Bettina Huber, IR Elina Almechenko M Mark Shors k Sh The College of Business and Economics 1
Objective To measure the labor market outcomes for all CSUN Students 1995 ‐ 2000 Graduate and Undergraduates G d d U d d Dropouts and Graduates 2
The cherished view of some academics that higher education started out on the Acropolis of scholarship and was desecrated by descent out on the Acropolis of scholarship and was desecrated by descent into the Agora of materialistic pursuits led by ungodly commercial interests and scheming public officials and venal academic leaders is just not true for the university systems that have developed at least since 1200 A D If anything higher education started in the Agora since 1200 A.D. If anything, higher education started in the Agora, the market place, at the bottom of the hill and ascended to the Acropolis on top of the hill…Mostly it has lived in tension, at one and the same time at the bottom of the hill, at the top of the hill, and on many paths in between. h i b Kerr, Clark. (1988) Higher Education in Service to the Labor M Market: Contributions and Distortions . Philadelphia: Institute for k t C t ib ti d Di t ti Phil d l hi I tit t f research in Higher Education, University of Pennsylvania. 3
The Approach CSUN California Student EDD Base Records Records Wage file Wage file Analysis Data Base Data Base 4
CSUN Student Records All Entering Students 1995 ‐ 2000 First time freshman Transfers PostBac Total 44 437 Total 44,437 Allows us to trace graduates and exiters Allows us to trace graduates and exiters 5
California Base ‐ Wage File All California Workers with earnings covered by Unemployment Insurance. Quarterly earnings reported by employers, not self Q l i d b l lf reported. Individuals may have multiple employers in a quarter. 6
Creating a Match Matched student SSN to Base Wage file. To be match must have no more than two consecutive quarters of no earnings. f i Included Quarters $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Year 1 Found E Excluded l d d Quarters $ $ $ $ $ Year 1 Not Found 7
Key Assumption Records with three or more consecutive quarters are not found . You may: Y Move out of state Out of labor market (raising children, deceased,) Out of labor market (raising children deceased ) Other possible explanations: in military, federal employee, self employed. p y , p y 8
Other Measurement Stuff Earning are adjusted for inflation to 2010 $$$ 1995 ‐ 2000 entering students are put in to exiting t i t d t t i t iti annual cohorts 2000 ‐ 2005 Dropouts are student who stopped attending 1995 ‐ 2010 without completing a degree. Identified students who graduated else where with National Clearing House National Clearing House 9
Number of Exiters and Study Number of Exiters and Study Population 8000 7000 6000 6000 5000 4000 Study Population 3000 2000 1000 0 10
We created six paths through CSUN Success Stories: Graduated Bach (only)CSUN Enrolled as : First time Freshman or Freshman or Problem Children: Problem Children: Did not Gradate Enrolled as UG Transfer Other People’s Children: Bachelor Grad Other Institution B h l G d Oth I tit ti Stars: Graduate Degree Other Institution Enrolled as Graduate Completers PostBac Graduate Drops 11
Average Earnings: All Years, All Colleges $32,203 Success Stories Success Stories $48,930 $24,659 Problem Children $37,180 $35,811 Other People's Children $53,221 Year 1 $49,091 49, 9 Year 5 Year 5 St Stars $62,650 $56,635 Graduate Completers $68,294 $48,113 Graduate Drops $57,981 $0 $0 $10 000 $10,000 $20 000 $20,000 $30 000 $30,000 $40 000 $40,000 $50 000 $50,000 $60 000 $60,000 $70 000 $70,000 $80 000 $80,000 * All earnings adjusted for inflation to 2010 dollars 12
Percent Found: All Years, All Colleges 76.2 Success Stories 72.1 72.1 69.5 Problem Children 64.2 66.6 Other People's Children Year 1 61.8 Year 5 72.1 Stars 67.2 6 80.8 Graduate Completers 75.0 80.5 Graduate Drops 72.6 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 13
Average Earnings: All Years, All Colleges with National Benchmark $32,203 Success Stories $36,370 $56 635 $56,635 Graduate Completers $51,456 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 CSUN Base Wage Average Earnings (Year 1) Benchmark (Year 2) * *Survey of Recent College Graduates, from http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/sestat/ *S f R C ll G d f h // f / i i / / ** All earnings adjusted for inflation to 2010 dollars 14
The Larger Economy Matters The Larger Economy Matters CSUN: Bachelors in Computer Science: Year 5 85000 80000 75000 70000 65000 60000 55000 50000 45000 45000 40000 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 * All earnings adjusted for inflation to 2010 dollars 15
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