Phys.Alg.Intro09-1 Series UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-2 Los Alamos National Laboratory a unique, irreplaceable national resource in the Department of Energy Los Alamos National Laboratory • Is vital to the U.S. • Is the most diverse scientific institution in the world • Solves complex challenges that change society • Develops revolutionary advances from national OUO security to biomedical to climate and energy UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA CCSReview09Bishop-2
Phys.Alg.Intro09-3 External TECH Contractors 1,595 1,495 Math, Students Chemistry, Computer Mtls. Sci. ADMIN 996 Sci. 17% 2,554 Limited Term 396 13% Staff Augmentation Other Technical Contractors 373 Engineering 13% Staff Post Doc 338 23% 3,427 Current Work Force Life Sci. TOTAL 11,174 Physics, 8% Nuclear Eng. 26% Technical Staff LANL S&T base is Broad and Deep • Drawn from across the nation • 2,130 PhDs • One quarter of workforce started as students or postdocs UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-4 Integrating capabilities, enables spin off innovations to tackle new challenges UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-5 National Security Science Laboratory: S,T&E Focus Los Alamos is a material centric laboratory with unsurpassed nuclear and theory, modeling, and high-performance computing expertise and capabilities. Information Science Forensic Science for Materials for the & Technology Nuclear, Biological & Future Chemical Threats Detectors & Sensors Stewardship Stewardship Energy Science Data Sciences Weapons of Mass Destruction Materials for the Intel Stockpile Energy Basic Science Pandemic Modeling Soot Measurements Ocean Vorticity Modeling UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-6 Theory, Modeling, Simulation and High-Performance Computing for Complex Systems … LANL’s Integration Capability … the heritage of 60+ years Large Users & Multi- Multi-physics Codes HPC Heterogeneous Models & Production disciplinary & Computer Data Set Platforms Methods Science Codes Theory Analysis V&V V&V Iterate to Prediction International Partnerships Experiments/Data This integrated capability at scale is central to the huge national need for new generations of ideas, concepts, and methodologies to improve the fidelity, reliability, certainty, and usability of tools to guide and interpret experiments, and provide prediction and control for complex phenomena and systems. UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-7 Theory & models for simulations on HPC Example: Time evolution of ductile damage (petascale platforms for materials response) Ta ~ 10 3 µ s µ s ~ 20 nm 100 µ m Macro-Mech. Numerous Polycrystal constitutive models Visco-plastic Single Crystal self consistent Molecular G-L Disl. Dyn. code Dynamics Quantum SPaSM Mechanics LAMMPS VASP MondoSCF MaRIE data here UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-8 “The Century of Complexity” ( Systems of connected functional scales; Emergent properties) Enabled by huge advances in Data, Simulation, Nonlinear Science… ? Origins, Measures, Consequences ? Cosmology: Filaments, Fluid Turbulence Clusters, and Voids Magnetic Reconnection Shocked Metals Communication Networks Protein Dynamics UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-9 The Promise and Challenge of Science (and Survival) in the 21st Century Isolating complicated phenomena to “understand” them necessary, but not sufficient science of prediction & uncertainty quantification for complex systems/networks . . . biological energy & complex matter homeland NW systems environment security climate; model e.g., nuclear disease nano S&T; grids; stewardship; cities; spread; extreme EM; borders… vaccination…. non-proliferation … conditions… nuclear; Quantitative tools for decision makers/risk assessment – (coupled) socio, economic, humanities, physical sciences, … – from observation and validation to prediction and control UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-10 Energy-Climate Impacts Project (ECI) – Scientific Scope (Multi-Lab) GHGIS – Measurements & Climate & Natural Systems Social, Energy & Infrastructure Uncertainty Quantification Modeling Modeling for Climate Treaty support solutions LANL ECI scientists participate in LANL ECI scientists contribute to LANL ECI scientists can develop developing some of the most the new GHGIS through estimating and apply Decision Support advanced climate models in the Systems to model the impacts of uncertainties, designing new world: an ocean model, a sea ice climate change and GHG emissions instruments to measure GHGs, and model, physiology-based models on regional and local scales and using modeling to design the for vegetation mortality, and a land placement of new instruments. model its impacts on energy, social ice model. dynamics, and Infrastructure. UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-11 Smart Grid as a National Grand Challenge Grid Designs Toole,Fair,Berscheid, NREL solu*on included Bent ’09 go beyond NREL • Cost dispatch only ``20% renewables • Power flows highly approximate ecorporated by 2030” • Unstable solu:ons • Intermi<ency in Renewables not accounted Generators – red dots R&D Problems for Smart Grids Loads – blue dots A future grid, in which modern sensors, communication links, and computational power are used to improve efficiency, stability, and flexibility, has become known as the “smart grid.” original graph for ``master generator” Resul:ng Sparse Network R&D Methodology: Road Map for Smart Grids genera:on placement connected to possible sites. Our road map is driven by emerging technologies such as Johnson, Chertkov ’09 renewables, storage, and meters and accordingly specifies Network Optimization the technical challenges in Grid Design , Grid Control and Grid Stability . All of the above require scientific advances in Impact to LANL, NNSA & the Nation • Analysis & Control • Reduce consumer energy costs • Scalability/Reliability Mosaics • Promote energy independence • State Estimation • Data Aggregation & Assimilation • Support national renewable penetration goals • Middleware for the Grid • Address strategic problems at the intersection of • Modeling Consumer Response energy, climate, and infrastructure • Support LANL’s Energy Security Center and LANL’s Information Science and Technology Center UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-12 Los Alamos is committed to excellence in computer and computational sciences HIV epidemiology Formation of nanomaterials Nuclear weapons program • Support for enhanced Predictive/Control Capability Open science • Reliable and rich capability base for weapons • Enabling new science and mission frontiers Institutional computing • Supporting scientific innovation and technology development • Partnership with DOE-SC and ASC programs Investing in the future • Centers/Institutes • Exascale planning! (Joint DOE-SC/NNSA) Laser plasma interactions — “Codesigning” applications, codes, architectures Breakdown of cellulose UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-13 Information Science & Technology is the Infrastructure for Connecting the Dots in Science Finding the Dots Understanding the Dots Providing Predictive Sheer Volume of Data Advanced Mathematics Understanding Climate and Algorithms Now: 20-40 Terabytes/year Produce hydrogen-based energy Requires high-performance 5 years: 5-10 Petabytes/year Stabilize carbon dioxide computing and advanced Fusion Clean and dispose toxic theory/modeling Now: 100 Megabytes/15 min waste Huge dimensional space 5 years: 1000 Megabytes/2 min Combinatorial challenge Complicated by noisy data c.f. Raymond L. Orbach, DOE Undersecretary for Science 2006 AAAS Annual Meeting UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
Phys.Alg.Intro09-14 UNCLASSIFIED Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA LA-UR 09-05472
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