School Places Report for Children and Young People Scrutiny Panel 7 December 2016
School Place Planning The school places planning process was last reviewed by Scrutiny in October 2015. The report provides an update on the progress that has been made by the Local Authority to ensure that we meet our statutory duty to ensure that every child in Hounslow has a school place.
Context of growth Delivered in the context of a growth in pupil numbers • 22% forecast growth for Hounslow over next few years (7% nationally) – 7th Highest in London • 25% growth in LBH Primary (5 th highest London Borough) • 8% growth in LBH Secondary (21 st in London) - which is lower as primary figures do not peak in secondary until 2019 • Between 2011 and 2016 the numbers of pupils educated in SEN provision in London rose by 23% over twice the growth rate in the rest of England.
Allocation of Places Primary 2016 Offers of their prefs: 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 4 th 5 th 6 th 2931 359 140 65 25 16 99 alternative offers made Secondary 2016 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 4 th 5 th 6 th 1851 394 201 102 73 50 223 alternative offers made
Factors affecting current projections – • Although Hounslow continues to be a net importer at secondary transfer, the percentage of on-roll children in Hounslow from Out of Borough has declined year on year since 2010. This in part can be attributed to new provision in neighbouring borough affecting parental preference, for example the first secondary mixed Catholic school in Richmond reducing the number of applications to Hounslow Catholic schools • Popularity of schools especially new provision • Benefit changes – may reduce in some areas and increase in others. • Two major housing zones – Hounslow and Feltham
Factors affecting current projections • Schools that work for everyone – Government consultation – proposes reforms – independent/selective/Faith schools • Over a quarter of the intake at age 11 comes from outside Hounslow itself (800 out of total of 3000). Recent exchange of information with Ealing confirms our agreed assumptions that the number of pupils Ealing exports to Hounslow is expected to continue reducing. • Hounslow’s projected pupil population is growing faster than our neighbours projected population. • We continue to see an increase in the number of children entering the Borough, including new to the country.
What do our current projections tell us? Since 2008 the LA has seen a continuing and increasing pressure on schools places, mainly due to an increase in birth rate. • 2012 showed the highest number of births, feeding into the 2016/17 academic year. • Hounslow then experienced a dip in 2013 and 2014 birth rates resulting in lower projections for 2017/18 and 18/19 Reception years. • The 2015 birth data is showing an increase on the previous year.
Current projections – Primary Primary The latest figures show that the primary growth we have been experiencing will decline between 2016 and 2020 before picking up again. This coincides with the impact of two major housing zones (confirmed for Central Hounslow and Feltham and Hanworth) beginning to show in 2021. Whilst the projections show the growth slowing down at primary level in the Borough the pattern is slightly different in each of the planning areas.
Current Projections – Secondary Secondary With secondary provision we don’t use planning areas • Overall capacity in 2016 shows a shortfall of -107 (census to confirm) across LA for year 7. • Most other years in the secondary phase have surplus places. • The increased demand for primary places seen over the last 8 years is now emerging in secondary schools, moving from the previous challenge of surplus places to one of shortfall through to 2023.
Current Projections – Secondary Secondary • Beyond 2016 we are now seeing a shortfall year on year which will reach the first peak in 2019 , resulting in the need for 19FE against planned capacity of 2907 in 2016 followed by a further 7FE projected by 2023.
Current Projections – SEN Special Educational Needs • In line with the rest of London Houslow has experienced a rapid increase in demand for Special Educational Needs Provision far exceeding growth in other regions. • Demand has outstripped supply. • By 2020 a shortfall of 185 special school places and 275 by 2024 – with biggest increases in Social, Emotional and Metal Health category.
School Expansion and Free School Programme 2013 -15 and 2016- 2019 A Capital programme was established to support the financing of the expansion and creation of Schools. The initial programme for 2013 -2015 in the main supported the growth of Primary, 2 year olds and Special Educational Needs Schools. Capital spend projected £125m We are now working with a programme for 2016 – 2019 for SEN and Secondary Provision. Capital spend projected £169m. Capital financing sources include the use of Capital receipts, Borrowing, Capital Grant, S106, Reserves and Revenue
Our response to the growth needed to date – Primary Through the School Expansion Programme Primary schools have expanded to the maximum. 34 (63%) of Hounslow Schools have / will be expanded. 725 permanent reception places created since 2010 (this equates to a total of 5075 across all year groups). At borough level we have a surplus of primary places. However the demand can vary at planning area level. Currently no additional primary need is projected at borough level beyond that which is already planned.
Our response to the growth needed to date – Primary At primary phase we have 5 planning areas: • Chiswick • Brentford • Heston and Cranford • Central Hounslow • Feltham and Hanworth During November Officers held briefing sessions with Councillors on school places/developments either in or near their wards.
What more is planned to meet the primary need? 4.6 forms of entry (140 places) 2017: • Wellington • Floreat, Brentford 2018 • Nishkam (Free School) * * Nishkam School was established in 2013 and have been operating from temporary accommodation in Central Hounslow. In 2018 the new Nishkam school will open on their permanent site in the Heston and Cranford planning area.
Our response to the growth needed to date – Secondary Secondary Schools – The scale of growth can only be achieved through a combination of approved new schools and expansion of existing Hounslow secondary schools. Government Basic Need funding only covers 60% of Hounslow school places. Expansion of existing schools led to increased borrowing - COUNCIL DEBT Looking at Capacity overall, the position with Secondary Schools is that projected growth outstrips the permanent capacity currently in place.
Our response to the growth needed to date – Secondary Secondary Permanent Capacity 2015 1 FE – Chiswick and Green School for Girls
What more is planned to meet the secondary need? Additional Secondary Places Planned 21 FE 2017: 6.2 forms of entry (186 places) Green School for Boys (Free School) 4 FE Kingsley Academy (PSBP) 2.2FE 2018: 10.3 forms of entry ( 309 places) Green School for Boys (Free School) further 2 FE Bolder Free School (Free School) 5 FE Nishkam (Free School) 3.3 FE 2019: 4.2 forms of entry (126 places) Chiswick expansion 1FE Isleworth & Syon School 2.2 FE Bolder Free School (Free School) further 1FE Beyond : 3 forms of entry (90 places) Reach 2 (date to be confirmed)
Our response to the growth needed to date - SEN places In common with other boroughs demand has outstripped supply. 2015 Centres: Hounslow Heath Infant and Junior Schools (MLD) 20 places Strand on the Green Infant and Junior Schools (ASD) 21 places Feltham Hill Infant School (SCD/ASD) 8 places 2015 Special Schools: Cedars Special School (SEBD), 24 places Lindon Bennett Nursery (ASD/SEBD/PMLD/SLD) 12 places Lindon Bennett School (ASD/SEBD/PMLD/SLD) 29 places 2017 Special Schools: Marjory Kinnon School (ASD/MLD/SLD) 123 places 2018 Special Schools: Oaklands School Gresham Rd(ASD/PMLD) - sec 152 places Oaklands School (ASD/PMLD) - primary
What more is planned - SEN places 2017 Special Schools: Marjory Kinnon School (ASD/MLD/SLD) 123 places 2018 Special Schools: Oaklands School Gresham Rd(ASD/PMLD) - sec 152 places Oaklands School (ASD/PMLD) – primary Woodbridge Park Education Service – • Key stage 3 moving into the current Key Stage 4 site at Wood Lane • Key stage 4 moving into West Thames College • Continuing Access to Education (CATE) moving to Brentford
Our response to the growth needed to date - SEN places Cabinet considered a report on 15 November 2016 regarding SEN projected need. New guidance produced by the government provides a opportunity for Las to approach the Education Funding Agency (EFA) and were advised that an approach would be made through an expression of interest citing SEN need. Cabinet ratified our approach to submit expressions of interest to the EFA for two new secondary SEN free schools. If successful the EFA will work with the LA to identify suitable new SEN Free School providers 2 brownfield sites - Hanworth Road, Hounslow and Commerce Road, Brentford have been identified in the Hounslow Local Plan .
New schools in Hounslow
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