Rol ole e of of DE in in Lo Low Car arbon bon Bui uildings - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Rol ole e of of DE in in Lo Low Car arbon bon Bui uildings ldings of of th the e fut utur ure February 23 rd , 2017 www.communityenergy.bc.ca

Community Energy Association Pu Purpose pose • CEA is charitable non-profit society • CEA is the trusted independent advisor to local governments • We are helping local governments close the implementation gap Accelerate Climate Action with People and Projects Awareness & Recognition Projects • Workshops & Presentations • Planning • Research & Publications • Implementation • Collaboration • Technology Acceleration • Climate & Energy Action Awards www.communityenergy.bc.ca

Community Energy Association Members www.communityenergy.bc.ca

DE Community of Practise • Demonstration Project • Shared Experiences www.communityenergy.bc.ca

Pathways for deep emissions reductions in buildings Context for low-carbon district energy systems Tom-Pierre Frappé-Sénéclauze @tompierrefs CEA webinar, 23 February 2017

Leading Canada’s transition to a clean energy future The Pembina Institute advocates for strong, effective policies to support Canada’s clean energy transition. @tompierrefs

Context  Carbon reduction targets for building sector  The role of energy efficiency and fuel switching  Tensions between building code evolution and district energy

B.C. Emissions 80 Annual emissions in Mt CO2e 70 60 50 -33% BC 2020 40 target 30 20 -80% BC 2050 10 target 0 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 CIMS modeling by Navius

B.C. Emissions 80 Annual emissions in Mt CO2e 70 60 -30% from 50 -33% 2005, based BC 2020 on federal 40 target target 30 20 -80% BC 2050 10 target 0 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 CIMS modeling by Navius

B.C. Emissions 80 Reference case Annual emissions in Mt CO2e 70 60 -30% from 50 -33% 2005, based BC 2020 on federal 40 target target 30 20 -80% BC 2050 10 target 0 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 CIMS modeling by Navius

B.C. Emissions 80 Reference case Annual emissions in Mt CO2e 70 CLP + Fed. 60 Carbon price -30% from (+ forestry credits) 50 -33% 2005, based BC 2020 on federal 40 target target 30 20 -80% BC 2050 10 target 0 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 CIMS modeling by Navius

Reduction target for building sector?

Reduction target for building sector? Env. & Climate Change Canada overall: -80% (below 2005) Stationary sources -87% Trottier, current technology scenario overall: -65% (below 2015) residential - 87% commercial - 76% Trottier, new technology scenario overall: -65% (below 2015) residential -89% Buildings: commercial -88% -80% to 100% By 2050 Deep decarbonization pathways overall: -89% (below 2015) i.e. near total residential -99% decarbonization commercial -99%

Proposed building sector targets 80-100% 40-50% by 2050 by 2030

Net Zero Ready Commitments Ontario  Code to require Net Zero Carbon for small buildings by 2030 B.C.  Code to require Net Zero Energy Ready by 2032 Feds  Net Zero Ready code released in 2020 for broad adoption by 2030

What about existing buildings?

Buildings emissions 8 7 6 Buildings emissions (Mt) Base case 5 NZEr building code 4 3 Shallow retrofits 2 1 0 Low carbon pathway 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Low carbon pathway Fuel Efficiency Hybrid switching Moderate Fuel retrofit of 3% Deep switching of stock / yr retrofit of 2% of (25% 3% of stock / yr stock / yr reduction) to low (60% + carbon reduction) Fuel switch fuel 1 out of 2

Electrify!

Electrify!

Images: FVB Energy, SAB mag

Methane reactor, Fraser Richmond Soil and Fibre Biogas Plant, BC Photo: GICON

3% per year … Homes MURBs ICI 25,000 60,000 Current stock 1 million (100 million m 2 ) (575,000 units) 800 per year 1,800 per year 3% 2,500 per month (3 million m 2 ) (17,000 units)

3% per year … Homes MURBs ICI 25,000 60,000 Current stock 1 million (100 million m 2 ) (575,000 units) 800 per year 1,800 per year 3% 2,500 per month (3 million m 2 ) (17,000 units)

How does that compare? Average energy reduction: ~ 25% 4,000 7% 3,500 6% 3,000 5% Post-audits per month % of eligible stock retrofitted 2,500 4% 2,000 3% 1,500 LSBC v.iii / ecoENERGY v.ii 2% 1,000 LSBC v.ii LSBC v.iv ecoENERGY v.i / LSBC LSBC v.iii HERO v.i Bonus 1% v.i & ecoENERGY v.i 500 ERS 0 0% Data: Gov. of B.C.

Tensions between DE and efficiency What is the future of district energy systems if net-  zero buildings become an increasing share of the building stock? Should developers be allowed to reduce efficiency  if the heat supply is from a low-carbon source? Could DE business cases still work if only  delivering domestic hot water? Still worth pipes in the ground?

Thanks! Tom-Pierre Frappé-Sénéclauze tompierrefs@pembina.org tw: @tompierrefs pembina.org twitter .com/pembina facebook .com/pembina.institute

Toronto is Changing CEA/NRCan Webinar: The Role of District Energy in Low Carbon Buildings of the Future – Feb 23, 2017 RESILIENCE CLIMATE CHANGE GROWTH Fernando Carou , B.A.Sc., P.Eng. Lead, Community Energy Planning & Low-carbon District Energy Systems Environment and Energy Division Environment and Energy Division

Toronto is Changing Toronto’s population is growing & densifying at one of the fastest rates in North America, placing demands on services & infrastructure, energy systems & the environment. About 60% of households now live in multi-residential housing. 30 Environment and Energy Division

Toronto’s Growth: 2000 vs 2014 Skyline 31 Environment and Energy Division

Toronto’s Future Weather: Wetter, Warmer & Wilder. Environment and Energy Division

Toronto is Reducing its Environmental Footprint, but.. 30,000,000 Target 2012 25,000,000 5 Mt reduction - Coal Phase Out - Conservation Tonnes of GHG 20,000,000 Target 2020 - Methane - Land use 15,000,000 15 Mt reduction to go 10,000,000 10 Mt by 2050 Gap Target 2050 5,000,000 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Year 33 Environment and Energy Division

Toronto’s GHG Emissions by Sector 2013 data Efficient Buildings & District Energy with local renewable energy sources to reduce/displace natural gas. Electric High-order Transit & EVs to reduce/displace fossil fuels. Environment and Energy Division

Developing Toronto’s Transit Network Existing & Current Projects Source: March 2016 Chief Planner’s report to City Council Environment and Energy Division

Developing Toronto’s Transit Network 6 to 15 years Source: March 2016 Chief Planner’s report to City Council Environment and Energy Division

Developing Toronto’s Thermal Networks District Energy w/ Large Renewables Opportunity for 30+ new District Energy systems in Toronto 2015 UNEP Report Environment and Energy Division

Developing Toronto’s Low -Carbon Thermal Networks Opportunities to co-locate energy and municipal infrastructure Sewer heat recovery, Large geo-exchange fields with solar collectors Toronto’s Deep Lake Water Cooling Enwave System Heat recovery from electric transit combined heat & power Environment and Energy Division

Developing Toronto’s Low -carbon Thermal Networks THE NETWORK EFFECT Environment and Energy Division

Modelling is showing that future Large Scale GHG emission reductions in Toronto may primarily come from two sets of strategies: 1. District Energy w/ Large Renewables + Efficient Buildings 2. Transit + EVs “ For Cities to achieve a low-carbon future District Energy is to buildings, what Transit is to transportation ” Environment and Energy Division

ALIGNMENT: LOW CARBON FUTURE Federal Province City Environment and Energy Division

Climate change will be fought in cities . Toronto is ready to do its part, but we can’t do it alone – John Tory #ParisAgreement #COP21 42 Environment and Energy Division

City of Toronto related INITIATIVES Transform TO: renewed climate action for a healthy equitable, prosperous Toronto. 30% GHG reduction by 2020, 80% GHG reduction by 2050 vs 1990 TOcore: Planning the Downtown (soft & hard infrastructure) - Energy strategy - Accelerated implementation of thermal networks w/ large renewables - Back-up power guidelines for Multi-residential buildings Toronto Green development Standard – TGS V3 (2018 roll-out) - Recognition of off-site low-carbon / renewable energy - Energy Requirements above latest provincial code (OBC 2017) New Official Plan: energy strategy requirement for large developments (plan for Net Zero energy & emission). Includes Guidelines for Net-Zero Opportunities for Large Developments Environment and Energy Division

How do we support integration and collaboration for District Energy toward carbon neutrality, resilience, and local economic benefit ? How do we maintain and build momentum? How do we scale up our efforts? 44 Environment and Energy Division

Uncoordinated Action Big Challenges Environment and Energy Division