Redistricting Update presented to the SCPS School Board on 2 / 2 3 / - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Redistricting Update presented to the SCPS School Board on 2 / 2 3 / 2 0 1 9 By ARCBridge Consulting 21515 Ridgetop Circle # 290 Sterling VA www.arcbridge.com 1

Agenda  Status Update  Directions from the Board after 2/2 meeting  Created 6 Plans for Board review  Plan C approach based on radius.  Presentation of Plans  Plan C, D, and E

Status Update  At our last meeting with the Board on Feb 2 nd , we presented the redistricting process and the criteria used in creating Plans A and B that were presented at the Town Hall Meetings.  Edited versions of Plans A & B were presented. Large scale maps were provided for the website.  The edited Plans A & B took into account the human factor, from comments from the community via Town Hall Meetings, emails and Facebook.

After the School Board Meeting on 2 / 2  We received updated redistricting criteria  The School Board wanted 6 additional plans 3 plans were to be created to address reduced program capacity at Ferry Farm ES.  Program Capacities were changed to address the F & R Lunch numbers  Two plans were to be created using a radius around the schools.

Updated Redistricting Criteria  No school to have higher Free/Reduced lunch percentage than current highest school's Free/Reduced lunch percentage (53.58%)  Bus rides no longer than any current bus rides  Percent utilization for each school, for the first four years, to be within a range of 80-91%  Create Plan C based on a radius methodology with starting point as the school location, working outward  For Revised Plan A, Revised Plan B, and Plan C, the plans should be made 2 ways- one way with Ferry Farm ES capacity "full" and the other with Ferry Farm ES capacity "reduced" 6 total  Plans should incorporate any changes to the class sizes as a result of 30% or higher free lunch (work with SCPS so program capacity could be recalculated)

Plans Created  ARCBridge worked with the new criteria, updated capacities and created 6 plans which were submitted to SCPS SME on Feb 15 th . (we received updated capacity tables on Feb 4 th , 12 th , Feb 15 th and Feb 22 nd )  On Feb 19 th we received comments from SME meeting and also that the FFES Reduced Capacity Plans were put on hold.

Radius Approach ½ mile and 1 mile Circles denote straight distance

Results from Radius Approach

Results from Radius Approach % Utilization based on closest 2019-2020 School School Name Program Capacity Barrett 966 430 44.51% 986 795 80.63% Brent Burns 966 600 62.11% Conway 1004 455 45.32% 778 862 110.80% Falmouth Ferry Farm 782 512 65.47% 848 216 25.47% Garrisonville Grafton Village 868 839 96.66% Hampton Oaks 952 506 53.15% 670 547 81.64% Hartwood Moncure 1015 1406 138.52% 900 871 96.78% Park Ridge Rockhill 862 557 64.62% Rocky Run 941 1275 135.49% 814 1465 179.98% Stafford Widewater 841 795 94.53% 978 504 51.53% Winding Creek

Plan C 3127 Students are affected • (based on 2019-2020 Enrollment Projection) • Distance and all other factors were used Every planning unit was • assigned to at least the closest 5 schools but mostly to the first and second schools 11 Neighborhoods are split • • Hampton Oaks neighborhood was split into Park Ridge and • Hampton Oaks as is now • Aquia Harbour is entirely in Hampton Oaks • Rappahannock, Old Forge in Rocky Run • England Run North goes to either Falmouth or Conway

Plan C – Distance Analysis School Plan C Avg Dist Plan C Max Dist Existing Avg Dist Existing Max Dist Barrett 1.39 3.04 1.39 3.04 Brent 4.44 10.65 5.09 10.70 Burns 2.78 4.70 2.56 4.06 Conway 2.92 5.88 1.88 3.31 Falmouth 2.19 4.96 2.12 5.31 Ferry Farm 2.37 6.58 2.88 6.58 Garrisonville 2.01 3.30 1.82 2.82 Grafton Village 2.92 8.31 2.35 6.64 Hampton Oaks 2.34 6.17 1.40 3.29 Hartwood 3.57 6.78 3.94 6.78 Moncure 1.47 2.93 2.44 5.81 Park Ridge 0.89 2.49 1.23 3.69 Rockhill 4.59 8.66 3.41 6.48 Rocky Run 2.71 4.46 2.46 4.46 Stafford 2.64 8.38 3.12 8.38 Widewater 2.79 8.40 2.73 8.40 Winding Creek 2.14 4.38 1.98 4.38 Distance is computed from the geographic centroid of each Planning Unit

Plan C Tables 2019- 2020- 2021- 2022- 2023- Free& Program School Name Capacity 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Free % Reduced% Minority% LEP% 966 80.12% 79.40% 78.57% 77.02% 76.60% 41.96% 47.86% 66.58% 10.55% Barrett 986 80.83% 84.18% 85.19% 86.92% 89.55% 14.41% 16.18% 32.11% 3.92% Brent Burns 966 80.43% 84.37% 86.65% 88.51% 89.65% 31.37% 36.16% 70.55% 7.12% Conway 1004 89.34% 88.94% 90.64% 91.14% 91.93% 28.51% 31.56% 46.49% 9.50% 778 89.07% 88.69% 88.56% 85.73% 84.83% 39.92% 48.10% 61.35% 9.17% Falmouth Ferry Farm 782 88.75% 85.93% 85.04% 84.40% 84.91% 28.38% 33.48% 37.26% 3.49% Garrisonville 848 82.19% 81.96% 82.43% 82.90% 82.67% 24.92% 32.13% 48.03% 11.48% Grafton Village 868 85.71% 85.60% 86.18% 87.67% 88.59% 20.11% 23.62% 30.50% 2.83% 952 87.82% 88.34% 86.55% 85.29% 85.40% 18.60% 24.44% 45.15% 4.33% Hampton Oaks Hartwood 670 76.27% 78.66% 84.78% 89.10% 94.03% 17.94% 22.78% 34.48% 4.23% Moncure 1015 86.31% 83.94% 82.86% 81.08% 82.96% 43.64% 50.33% 78.46% 23.66% Park Ridge 900 78.89% 80.00% 83.33% 84.22% 86.33% 21.35% 26.32% 59.36% 7.46% 862 80.39% 80.16% 80.16% 81.55% 82.95% 22.14% 25.51% 44.72% 4.11% Rockhill Rocky Run 941 82.89% 86.72% 88.20% 90.75% 93.52% 32.65% 36.19% 59.05% 11.16% Stafford 814 84.77% 87.47% 88.70% 89.80% 90.66% 19.56% 26.22% 57.19% 5.63% Widewater 841 85.14% 83.35% 83.23% 83.59% 83.12% 43.39% 50.64% 68.28% 14.65% 978 76.69% 82.00% 83.44% 86.09% 88.14% 20.85% 23.91% 63.56% 7.58% Winding Creek Demographic fields are calculated using K-5 Students as of Sept. 30 th 2018 excluding out of county or otherwise ungeocoded students. All calculations are based on students’ home addresses.

Plan D • 3259 Students are affected (based on 2019-2020 Enrollment Projection) • 12 Neighborhoods are split Hampton Oaks neighborhood • • was split into Park Ridge and Hampton Oaks. Park Ridge Gets some more of Hampton Oaks • Aquia Harbour is entirely in Hampton Oaks • Augustine North goes to Garrisonville • Part of England Run goes to Brent

Plan D – Distance Analysis School Plan D Avg Dist Plan D Max Dist Existing Avg Dist Existing Max Dist Barrett 1.48 3.04 1.39 3.04 5.39 11.10 Brent 5.09 10.70 Burns 2.70 4.09 2.56 4.06 Conway 1.99 5.23 1.88 3.31 2.38 5.31 Falmouth 2.12 5.31 Ferry Farm 2.36 6.58 2.88 6.58 Garrisonville 2.16 4.03 1.82 2.82 2.89 8.06 Grafton Village 2.35 6.64 Hampton Oaks 2.67 6.17 1.40 3.29 Hartwood 3.51 6.78 3.94 6.78 1.49 2.93 Moncure 2.44 5.81 Park Ridge 0.88 1.48 1.23 3.69 Rockhill 4.82 8.66 3.41 6.48 2.30 3.80 Rocky Run 2.46 4.46 Stafford 2.81 8.38 3.12 8.38 Widewater 2.79 8.40 2.73 8.40 1.93 3.36 Winding Creek 1.98 4.38 Distance is computed from the geographic centroid of each Planning Unit

Plan D Tables 2019- 2020- 2021- 2022- 2023- Free& Program School Name Capacity 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Free % Reduced% Minority% LEP% Barrett 966 80.64% 79.81% 78.88% 77.43% 76.81% 44.14% 50.44% 69.36% 12.11% 986 80.83% 83.67% 84.99% 87.22% 92.19% 16.73% 18.39% 39.97% 4.60% Brent Burns 966 81.47% 84.99% 88.20% 89.65% 91.20% 30.48% 35.59% 69.10% 7.31% 966 87.58% 86.54% 88.51% 88.92% 91.20% 30.26% 33.78% 46.90% 11.18% Conway Falmouth 778 89.46% 88.82% 88.43% 86.63% 86.76% 40.50% 47.66% 60.06% 8.68% Ferry Farm 782 83.25% 80.82% 79.80% 79.03% 79.54% 28.59% 33.91% 37.19% 3.28% 848 84.43% 85.50% 86.44% 87.15% 87.50% 22.60% 29.17% 46.15% 9.78% Garrisonville Grafton Village 868 83.99% 83.99% 84.79% 86.52% 87.56% 20.60% 24.18% 30.77% 3.02% 952 87.29% 87.71% 85.19% 84.24% 84.66% 19.46% 25.47% 46.46% 4.36% Hampton Oaks Hartwood 670 71.19% 74.33% 80.15% 84.48% 89.85% 15.09% 19.83% 29.96% 3.88% Moncure 1015 87.59% 85.22% 84.04% 82.07% 83.84% 44.02% 50.71% 78.70% 22.72% 900 85.67% 86.44% 88.22% 88.00% 88.44% 22.43% 26.70% 56.88% 7.88% Park Ridge Rockhill 862 84.69% 84.22% 84.34% 85.50% 86.77% 20.30% 23.05% 39.78% 4.12% 941 83.85% 86.82% 88.10% 89.27% 89.05% 31.15% 35.83% 58.29% 9.89% Rocky Run Stafford 814 82.31% 86.12% 86.61% 88.45% 88.94% 21.86% 27.69% 55.84% 7.04% Widewater 841 85.14% 83.35% 83.23% 83.59% 83.12% 43.39% 50.64% 68.28% 14.65% 978 77.81% 83.44% 86.40% 89.67% 90.59% 15.62% 19.48% 62.46% 5.16% Winding Creek Demographic fields are calculated using K-5 Students as of Sept. 30 th 2018 excluding out of county or otherwise ungeocoded students. All calculations are based on students’ home addresses.

Plan E • 3358 Students are affected (based on 2019-2020 Enrollment Projection) • 11 Neighborhoods are split • Hampton Oaks neighborhood • was split into Park Ridge and Hampton Oaks. Park Ridge Gets some more of Hampton Oaks • Aquia Harbour is entirely in Hampton Oaks • Augustine North goes to Brent • England Run North stays in Falmouth