Presentation To HRTPO Passenger Rail Task Force HRTPO Norfolk-Richmond Passenger Rail Operations Plan and Costs December 17, 2013 Presentation By Transportation Economics & Management Systems, Inc.
P HASE 2B W ORK P LAN # Tasks M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 M11 M12 1 Project Management 2 Rail Alternatives 3 Ridership and Revenue - Forecasts Sensitivity Analysis 4 Rail Service Analysis 5 Operating and Capital Costs 6 Financial and Economic Analysis - Financial - Economic 7 Environmental Scan 8 Implementation Plan 9 Report MEETINGS PRESENTATIONS MONTHLY PROGRESS REPORTS 1 TEMS, Inc.
B ACKGROUND /C ONTEXT FOR THE O PERATIONAL A NALYSIS 2 TEMS, Inc.
H AMPTON R OADS C ORRIDOR AS PART OF S EHSR 3 TEMS, Inc.
H OWEVER , THERE IS A “ GAP IN THE M IDDLE ” OF S EHSR Very Low Population Area 4 TEMS, Inc.
. . . A S A R ESULT , I T HAS BEEN SUGGESTED THAT H AMPTON R OADS IS MORE FUNCTIONALLY DEPENDENT ON THE NEC THAN ON S EHSR The Hampton Roads Corridor has been divided into three segments for analysis purposes: 1. Washington DC to Richmond 2. Richmond to Newport News - “Peninsula” 3. Richmond to Norfolk - “Southside” 5 TEMS, Inc.
O RIGINALLY , DEVELOPMENT “S TEPS ” WERE DEFINED FOR BOTH THE P ENINSULA AND S OUTH S IDE R OUTES Steps Route Max Speed No. of Trains I nfrastructure Station Main Street Shared Track I-64/CSXT 79 mph 2 Newport News Schedule Enhancement (existing) Step 1 Route 460/ Shared Track Staples Mill Only 79 mph 1-3 Norfolk Southern NS Norfolk Main Street I-64/CSXT 79 mph 3 Shared Track Newport News Step 2 (existing) (DEIS Alt 1) Route 460/ Shared Track Main Street * DRPT Focus 79-90 mph 4-6 Norfolk Southern V Line Bowers Hill Main Street I-64/CSXT 90 mph 4-6 Shared Track Newport News Downtown/Airport Step 3 Route 460/ Dedicated Track Main Street HRTPO Focus Norfolk Southern 110 mph 8-12 V Line Bowers Hill Main Street I-64/CSXT 110 mph 6-9 Dedicated Track Newport News Downtown/Airport Step 4 Route 460/ Dedicated Electric Track Main Street Norfolk Southern 150 mph 12-16 V Line Bowers Hill *Note: Norfolk Southern (NS) does not permit passenger train maximum authorized speed in excess of 79-mph on any NS track. Where the V-line (former Virginian Railway) has existing freight services, maximum authorized speed for passenger trains will be 79-mph. Along the Algren – Kenyon portion of the V-line (over which NS freight rail service has been formally abandoned), passenger rail planners may consider speeds above 79-mph. 6 TEMS, Inc.
S CHEDULES WERE DEVELOPED FOR THE WHOLE CORRIDOR FROM H AMPTON R OADS TO W ASHINGTON D.C. Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 79-mph 79-mph 79-mph 90-mph 90-mph 110-mph 110-mph 150-mph Washington to 2:45 1 2:15 2 2:20 3 2:05 2:20 1:30 1:30 1:05 Richmond Richmond to 1:48 5 1:48 1:10 0:55 Norfolk Richmond to 1:25 1:25 1:13 0:52 Newport News 2:00 4 Total 4:10 4:03 3:45 3:53 3:33 2:40 2:22 1 2:45 current Amtrak time to Main Street, 1:35 to Newport News 2 2:15 current Amtrak time to Staples Mill Road Station only, does not go to Main Street 3 2:20 to Main Street, train operates at 90 mph north of Richmond Source: Exhibit B-6, Progress Report B , 4 2:00 proposed schedule objective for HSR electric service page B-13, 2010 study 5 1:48 at 79-mph Richmond to Norfolk 7 TEMS, Inc.
… B UT , RECENTLY THE F OCUS HAS BEEN ON REFINING PLAN FOR THE S OUTHSIDE S ERVICE TO N ORFOLK No. of Steps Route Max Speed Infrastructure Station Trains Norfolk-Richmond Dedicated Track Main Street Step 3 110 mph 8-12 along Route 460 V Line Bowers Hill Norfolk-Richmond Dedicated Electric Main Street Step 4 150 mph+ 12-16 along Route 460 Track V Line Bowers Hill Focus of the Study 8 TEMS, Inc.
T RAIN T ECHNOLOGY HAS A DVANCED SINCE 2010! Because of “Alternative Tier 1 Electric HST 160-220 mph Diesel HrST 90-130 mph Compliance,” High Speed 220- mph electric trains can now share freight tracks at speeds under 125-mph –the California “Blended Operations” model has also been adopted by Amtrak for the NEC. There is Business Model of California HSR Business Model of the MWRRS now only a single generic High Speeds up to 220-mph on Speeds up to 130-mph on Speed electric train and it can dedicated high speed tracks; dedicated high speed tracks; Tier I Compliant trains for Shared operate at 220-mph. Tier I Compliant trains for Shared tracks in urban areas tracks in urban areas Low Center of Gravity Electric Low Center of Gravity Diesel Locomotives The diesel train can operate up Locomotives Passive Tilting Passive Tilting to 130-mph. NS policy prohibits Existing +New Alignment Existing +New Alignment shared operations above 79- mph, and a dedicated track could support 130-mph, so it makes sense to evaluate the diesel operation at that speed. 9 TEMS, Inc.
H AMPTON R OADS TO W ASHINGTON D.C. R AIL S ERVICE A SSUMPTIONS * Washington D.C. to Richmond, 109 miles (Current Time 2:00, 79 mph): • Assumes a new conceptual greenfield due to capacity and geometric limitation of existing ROW • 130-mph diesel could easily achieve 1:30 on a greenfield – an aggressive tilt train could achieve this time on the existing CSX alignment • 220-mph electric could achieve 0:55 based on a high quality greenfield from Lorton to Richmond Richmond to Norfolk, 97-105 miles (Current Time 2:00, 79 mph): • 13 daily round trips at 130-mph; 1:00 to 1:10 schedule times • 22 daily round trips at 220-mph; 0:45 to 0:55 schedule times Richmond to Newport News, 75 miles (Current Time 1:25, 79 mph): • 3 daily round trips at 79-mph; 1:25 schedule time OVERALL – Cut Norfolk-Washington DC Time in half: 4 hours to 2 hours, 220 mph *Source: Proposed Detailed Operating Schedules follow in this presentation 10 TEMS, Inc.
S OUTHSIDE N ORFOLK S ERVICE : R OUTE O PTIONS U NDER D EVELOPMENT 11 TEMS, Inc.
S OUTHSIDE R OUTE O PTIONS “C OVER ALL THE B ASES ” Route Options Under Analysis • Existing Rail • Northern and Southern Greenfields, via Petersburg and Hopewell • Richmond Direct Greenfield Speeds Under Analysis • 130-mph and 220-mph 12 TEMS, Inc.
C OMMON S EGMENTS TO A LL O PTIONS Richmond Station All High Speed Options (either East Shore or I-295) approach from the East on an elevated Viaduct. Common Segment: Fulton Gas Works to Main Street Station Bowers Hill to Norfolk Harbor Park Common Segment: “V” Line and NS Main into downtown Norfolk 13 TEMS, Inc.
R OUTE O PTIONS U NDER A NALYSIS 14 TEMS, Inc.
R OUTE O PTION 1 – VIA P ETERSBURG Staples Mills Richmond-Main St. Williamsburg Hopewell-Fort Lee Petersburg-Ettrick Newport News-Airport Newport News-Amtrak Newport News-Downtown Norfolk Bowers Hill Suffolk 15 TEMS, Inc.
R OUTE O PTION 2 - VIA H OPEWELL Staples Mills Richmond-Main St. Williamsburg Hopewell-Fort Lee Petersburg-Ettrick Newport News-Airport Newport News-Amtrak Newport News-Downtown Norfolk Bowers Hill Suffolk 16 TEMS, Inc.
R OUTE O PTION 3 - R ICHMOND D IRECT Staples Mills Richmond-Main St. Williamsburg Hopewell-Fort Lee Petersburg-Ettrick Newport News-Airport Newport News-Amtrak Newport News-Downtown Norfolk Bowers Hill Suffolk 17 TEMS, Inc.
S OUTHSIDE N ORFOLK S ERVICE : O PERATIONS P LAN D EVELOPMENT 18 TEMS, Inc.
INTERACTIVE I NTERACTIVE INPUT ANALYSIS OUTPUT A NALYSIS LOCOMOTION™ Service Plan Scheduling & Operating Costs Trains Operations A PPROACH TRACKMAN™ Methodology for Infrastructure Terminal Capital Costs Facilities developing an optimized plan – Using the data that has already been COMPASS™ collected in Phase 2A Market Analysis Revenues Ridership & Fares Financial & Economic Feasibility 19 TEMS, Inc.
R ICHMOND -W ASHINGTON S CHEDULE T IMES Part of All Route Options 130-mph Diesel 220-mph Electric Super Super Station Express Express Local Station Express Express Local Richmond Main St 0:00 0:00 0:00 Richmond Main St 0:00 0:00 0:00 Ashland 0:12 Ashland 0:10 Fredericksburg 0:40 0:45 Fredericksburg 0:25 0:30 Quantico 1:08 Quantico 0:45 Alexandria 1:25 1:35 Alexandria 0:48 0:58 1:20 0:43 Washington Union 1:35 1:45 Washington Union 0:58 1:08 1:30 0:53 These times are consistent with the Step 4 times of 1:30 and 1:05 for Diesel and Electric options, respectively, from 2010 Progress Report B The 1:30 Diesel time can be done on the CSX alignment using aggressive tilt technology. The other times are based on conceptual route options only between Richmond and Washington DC 20 TEMS, Inc.
R OUTE O PTION 1: N ORFOLK -W ASHINGTON S CHEDULE T IMES VIA P ETERSBURG 130-mph Diesel 220-mph Electric Super Super Station Express Express Local Station Express Express Local Norfolk 0:00 0:00 0:00 Norfolk 0:00 0:00 0:00 Bowers Hill 0:12 0:12 0:12 Bowers Hill 0:10 0:10 0:10 Suffolk 0:17 Suffolk 0:15 Petersburg 0:53 0:58 Petersburg 0:40 0:45 Richmond Main St 1:09 1:14 Richmond Main St 0:55 1:00 1:04 0:50 Washington Union 2:46 3:01 Washington Union 1:55 2:10 2:36 1:45 * Allowing 2 minutes for Richmond Station Stop Same time for Southern Greenfield or dedicated NS Option 21 TEMS, Inc.
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