Outline Overview of TraNSIT Background and how it works - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TraNSIT - Modelling of heavy vehicle transport on low volume roads Stephen McFallan – CSIRO Land and Water IPWEA - Southern Roads Symposium Toowoomba, 29-31 May 2018

Outline  Overview of TraNSIT • Background and how it works  Commodities and supply chains  Case studies – road upgrade/diversions  Current projects and future developments

Transport Network Strategic Investment Tool - TraNSIT What is special about TraNSIT?  Comprehensive mapping of All Australia’s agriculture and forestry freight  Insights into freight task, bottlenecks and inefficiencies. What can TraNSIT do for you?  Inform infrastructure investment and regulatory changes - evidence based  Considers soft (eg. policy, regulation)  and hard infrastructure (bridge, roads, rail, hubs, processing plant…)  Shows impacts on all agricultural and forestry enterprises and across the supply chain

Transport Network Strategic Investment Tool - TraNSIT  A modular transport network analysis tool • Maps and optimises every vehicle movement • Across the supply chain - farm – storage - processing – market • Ground up road and rail transport costing • Includes associated costs: food losses; driver fatigue; etc  Beginnings and rationale • Initially developed for northern Australia beef in 2013 • Long distance transport and vulnerable supply chains • Infrastructure investment - holistically evaluate best options • Extended to all agriculture through the Agricultural Competitiveness White Paper

TraNSIT Overview  Web based TraNSIT Analytics…  Mining/fuel/construction…  Forestry  Visualisation tool  Agriculture  Map products

TraNSIT features  Commercial Network Network Editable for upgrade/changed road scenarios -Roads and features - Rail lines and load points Vehicle and trains - Costs model - Optimal vehicle selection Commodities - Enterprise locations - Demands or supplies Calculation - Vehicle route optimisation 8 Semitrailer_Full B-Double_Full Type 1_Full Type 2_Full Semitrailer_Empty B-Double_Empty Type 1_Empty Type 2_Empty Semitrailer_Unseal road B-Double_Unseal road Type 1_Unsealed road Type 2_Unseal road 7  PBS 1 6 Cost per km ($)  PBS 2a 5 4  PBS 3a 3  Continuous truck models with editable parameters  PBS 4a 2 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Speed (km/h

TraNSIT features TRC Network -Roads and features - Rail lines and load points Vehicle and trains - Costs model - Optimal vehicle selection Commodities - Enterprise locations - Demands or supplies Calculation - Vehicle route optimisation 8 Semitrailer_Full B-Double_Full Type 1_Full Type 2_Full Semitrailer_Empty B-Double_Empty Type 1_Empty Type 2_Empty Semitrailer_Unseal road B-Double_Unseal road Type 1_Unsealed road Type 2_Unseal road 7  PBS 1 6 Cost per km ($)  PBS 2a 5 4  PBS 3a 3  PBS 4a 2 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Speed (km/h

TraNSIT route optimisation Origin Destination

TraNSIT route optimisation by vehicle type TraNSIT Cost Model Road Access Class T2 T1 BD ST Model 1 T2 T1 ST ST Model 2 T2 BD BD ST Model 3 T1 T1 ST ST Model 4 BD BD BD ST Model 5 ST ST ST ST Model 6 HR HR HR HR Cap Head (Beef) 120 80 60 40 Cap Tonne^ 81 54 40 27 Length (m) 53.5 36.5 26 19 ^ Depends on bulk density and axel load limits T2 - Type 2 T1 - Type 1 BD - B Double The figure shows the ST - Semi Trailer optimal route may be vary HR - Heavy rigid depending on vehicle type selected at the origin

Supply chains Cattle, Sheep, Goats 5.3m Pigs 0.6m 0.75m 0.75m Property Export depot Port Property 4.2m 0.1m 2.4m 2.7m 3.0m Export Abattoir Saleyard 1.1m 0.2 m Saleyard Feedlot 2.3m 0.04m 0.4m 0.03m Domestic Abattoir Rail point Abattoir Port 1.1mt 0.24m 0.1mt Port 0.6mt 0.2mt Distribution Centre Supermarket Distribution Centre Supermarket Grains Paddock 43m 2.6m 9.3m Flour Mills Feedlot or Feed Mill Storage m- million tonnes 31m Storage at Port Livestock enterprises

Enterprises (agri-businesses, silos, gins, abattoirs, sawmills, supermarkets etc.) > 230,000 enterprises

Enterprises (agri-businesses, silos, gins, abattoirs, sawmills, supermarkets etc.) TRC – post production

Application to agriculture across Australia  Beef roads - $100m investment + co contributions of at least 25%  Agricultural Competitiveness White Paper  Adapted to over 30 commodities • Cattle, sheep, goats, pigs, chickens, dairy products, grains, cotton, rice, sugar, horticulture, stock feed (98% of Australian agriculture) • 225,000 enterprises • Over 5 million vehicle trips and 10,000 rail trips routed • 332,000 supply chain paths  Additional 165,000 plantations and enterprises for forestry

Average vehicles per year Beef, Grains, Dairy, Rice, Sugar, Cotton, Horticulture, Pigs, Poultry Sheep, Goats, Stock feed Buffalo

Average rail usage per year Beef, Grains, Sugar, Cotton

Average vehicles per year - Beef

Average vehicles per year - Grains

Average vehicles per year – Sheep and Goats

Average vehicles by road segment- Newell Highway

Grain movements to Port of Brisbane

Modelled annual transport costs Road ($m) Rail ($m) Road CO 2 (tonnes) Beef # $572.4 $31.6 244,082 $2,149.7 Grain $487.3 862,184 $29.0 Pigs 11,156 Rice $134.2 55,437 $881.7 Dairy 337,294 Sugar $52.2 $9.9 16,174 $221.8 Sheep/Goats 85,883 $76.9 Cotton $13.2 36,385 Horticulture $617.8 256,295 Post Processing* $249.7 98,080 Mixed (DC to Market)^ $284.5 109,157 Poultry $28.2 8,766 Total $5,298.3 $542.1 2,120,893 # including a small number (20,000 head) of Buffalo *includes boxed beef, chicken, lamb, pork to domestic markets and port ^mixture of horticulture and post processed commodities between DC’s and supermarkets These represent the total transport costs across the supply chain from paddock to domestic market (except grain) or port.

Modelled transport costs – grain supply chain Paddock $938m $21.76/t $35.8m $348m $34.6/t $37.29/t Flour Mills Feedlot or Feed Mill Storage $40.4m $27.8/t $625m $447m $201m $44.01/t $26.5/t $28.03/t Storage at Port Livestock enterprises Black – road transport Red – Rail transport Australia

Modelled transport costs – grain supply chain Paddock $162m $16.75/t $17.19m $133m $30.2/t $32.67/t Flour Mills Storage Feedlot or Feed Mill $40.4m $27.8/t $19m $110m $59/t $35.83/t NSW Storage at Port Paddock $77m $18.87/t $12.0m $117m $75/t $36.11/t Flour Mills Storage Feedlot or Feed Mill $23.3m $41.3m $42.4/t $40.89/t Black – road transport Storage at Port Red – Rail transport Queensland

Applications  New facilities • e.g. freight hubs  Impact of disruption to network  Future production scenarios  Road upgrades  Improved rail facilities  New road links  Regulatory changes  Driver fatigue, road pricing, tolls, biosecurity

Supply chain paths – out of Moree

Supply chain paths – through Moree

Upgrade of Grain Storage Facility – Extra vehicles along each road segment

Pinch points for Grain Movements – to Hubs

Average vehicles per year TRC (TSRC open) Beef, Grains, Dairy, Rice, Sugar, Cotton, Horticulture, Pigs, Poultry Sheep, Goats, Stock feed Buffalo

Applications over last 18 months  Northern Australia White Paper Initiative • $100 million Beef Roads Programme  Various road upgrade and last mile bottlenecks • Road sealing, volumetric loading, road flood proofing, HPV  Impact of processor disruption – Kingaroy pork abattoir  Providing baseline analysis to state agencies  Applications with Temora and Toowoomba councils  Toowoomba Second Range Crossing  Impact of NSW floods in late 2016  Shifting agriculture from road to rail  New feedlots  ARTC - freight hubs

Current/Future developments of TraNSIT  Technical: adding sea and air transport, more detailed transport cost models, visualisation interface  New projects e.g. • Capacity constraints and inefficiencies in the livestock export chain – MLA • ARTC – Freight hubs • Toowoomba Regional Council  TraNSIT Web • Enable agencies to produce and test scenarios  Link with rainfall and flood hazards  Add a predictive capability • e.g. Freight task for future grain and livestock forecasts  Extension to broader freight transport  South East Asia – ACIAR, DFAT • Indonesia, Vietnam, Laos

Visualisation Tool

TraNSIT Indonesia Network -Roads and features - Shipping lines - Rail lines and load points Vehicle and trains and ships - Costs model - Optimal vehicle selection Commodities - Enterprise locations - Demands or supplies Suzuki Carry Colt Diesel Calculation - Vehicle route optimization - Congestion Modelled cost (Rp/km) per Modelled cost (Rp/km) – travel speed – sealed roads unsealed roads Fuso 100 Semi Trailer 6 axel Type 60 km/h 20km/h 60 km/h 20km/h km/h Suzuki Carry 2,988 3,363 5,915 3,525 6,301 Colt Diesel 4,960 5,389 8,647 5,686 9,302 8 Tonne Fuso 6,806 7,308 11,298 7,768 13,162 Semi-Trailer 9,839 10,428 16,390 11,380 18,984