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Outline Outline Consumer Expenditure Survey p y Why redesign the CE? Why redesign the CE? Data Users Need Forum The CE Redesign Process h d Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Associate Commissione The philosophy of


  1. Outline Outline Consumer Expenditure Survey p y  Why redesign the CE? Why redesign the CE? Data Users’ Need Forum  The CE Redesign Process h d Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Associate Commissione  The philosophy of CE redesign Office of Prices and Living Conditions  What is the goal of the CE Data Users’ Forum? Forum? J June 21, 2010 21 2010 2 Why redesign the CE? Why redesign the CE? The CE redesign process The CE redesign process  Original design of the surveys - 1980s  Management Structure Original design of the surveys 1980s Management Structure  Executive Team  Improvements in data collection such as  Steering Committee CAPI, improved diary forms d d f  Working Groups  Response rates a concern  Surveys are burdensome  Planned series of  Nature of how members of consuming  Nature of how members of consuming workshops/forums/panels that will units spend money has changed provide input to the redesign process  Concerns over underreporting of  Concerns over underreporting of expenditures 3 4

  2. The CE redesign process The CE redesign process The CE redesign process The CE redesign process  Survey Redesign Panel Survey Redesign Panel  Methodology workshop Methodology workshop  Data capture forum f  Two independent contracts to outside d d d survey houses to provide redesign options  AAPOR panel on record use  CNSTAT consensus panel  Data users’ forum  Household survey producers workshop 5 6 The CE redesign The CE redesign philosophy philosophy philosophy philosophy  FY 2011 CE budget initiative  Interview of the future FY 2011 CE budget initiative Interview of the future  Marginal changes and thinking outside l h d h k d  Role of technology in data collection l f h l d ll the box  Role of administrative data  Needs of the CPI  Cost weights  Item selection  TPOPS 7 8

  3. The CE redesign What are the goals of the philosophy philosophy CE Data Users Forum? CE Data Users’ Forum?  Cognitive methods to reduce burden Cognitive methods to reduce burden  Variety of stakeholders Variety of stakeholders  CPI and improve the quality of the estimates estimates  CE program  Role of incentives  Other government agencies  Proxy reporting  Policy makers  Use of global questions and matrix  Academic researchers methods th d  Private business  Questionnaire order effects  Structured vs conversational interviewing d l  Recall period 9 10 What are the goals of the What are the goals of the CE Data Users’ Forum? CE Data Users Forum? CE Data Users’ Forum? CE Data Users Forum?  Variety of data analysis needs  Variety of data analysis needs Variety of data analysis needs Variety of data analysis needs  CPI cost weights and item selection  Micro foundations - analysis of consumer  CE analysis of expenditure trends and data behavior behavior l f d d d d  Macro statistics quality  N ti  National Accounts l A t  Sales tax analysis  Goals: Listen, document, decide  Supplemental poverty thresholds  Consumption profiles by income group  Middle class thresholds 11 12

  4. What are the goals of the What are the goals of the CE Data Users’ Forum? CE Data Users Forum? CE Data Users Forum? CE Data Users’ Forum?  Goals: Goals:  Influencing the tradeoff: Influencing the tradeoff:  Document and understand the data needs  Interview of the future of users of CE data of users of CE data  Role of technology l f h l  Clearly state the use of CE data by the CPI  Role of administrative data  To what extent can the redesign process  T h t t t th d i  Cognitive methods meet the data needs of various user groups? groups? – Tradeoffs – Pareto shifts Pareto shifts 13 14 Contact I nform ation Michael W . Horrigan Associate Commissioner Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living Conditions www.bls.gov g 202-691-6960 horrigan.michael@bls.gov

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