Protecting Southwest Florida’s unique natural environment and quality of life…now and forever. CONSERVANCY OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA Facebook.com/ConservancySWF 1495 Smith Preserve Way Twitter.com/ConservancySWFL Naples, FL 34102 239.262.0304 www.conservancy.org
“Looking forward to the Future of Southwest Florida from an Environmental Perspective” Or “How to ea t your fish cake and have it too!” May 2016
WHO Founded in 1964 WE ARE Conservancy of Southwest Florida is a grassroots organization dedicated to protecting the water, land and wildlife in our five-county region.
Environmental Expertise The Conservancy is dedicated to protecting Southwest Florida’s natural resources. 100% of donations stay in the five-county area.
5 Environmental Policy & Advocacy Science & Research Wildlife Rehabilitation Education & Nature Center What We Do WATER, LAND, WILDLIFE, FUTURE
BAD NEWS… GROWTH SEEMS UNSTOPPABLE 2014 http://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/newsroom/releases/2014/cb14- http://www.fortnaauctioneers.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/2-population.png 232_state_popest_graphic.jpg
2015 Data Reveals FL added more than 1000 new residents per day (That’s 365,703 people last year!) Florida population now over 20 million 3 rd most populous state http://www.topwaterfrontdeals.com/assets/images/savonaaerial.JPG
Worst Case Scenario Statewide…… 92 Million People We do not want to look like this! In 2010, the State estimated that if all development allowed in local land use plans was built, our population would be 92 million!
A More Realistic Estimate Growth will continue, and Florida has a tremendous amount of entitled future development It isn’t about stopping development, it’s about directing growth appropriately http://www.flchamber.com/wp-content/uploads/DYK_Population_572.jpg http://www.1000friendsofflorida.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/fl2006to2060.jpg
Naples 10 th fastest growing area in nation Cape Coral/Ft. Myers ranked 6 th http://www.pbs.org/newshour/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/census-967x1024.jpg
WHERE DOES IT END? Build Out Population – Over 1 million 2010 Collier permanent This is the This could be the population – 338,000 urban new urban area boundary Seasonal residents and visitors bumped population over 410,000 951 considered to be urban boundary today Where are these additional people going to live? Sources: http://www.colliergov.net/index.aspx?page=262 & collier Interactive Growth Model Report 2008
HALF OF BUILDOUT POPULATION EAST OF 951 Area Build Out ccas Population Coastal 507,600 Urban Golden Gate 80,000 Estates Immokalee 59,000 RFMUD 35,000 RLSA 329,800* Source: Collier Interactive Growth Model Executive Summary 2008, except at asterisk, where Other Areas 58,000 population was increased based on 2008 WilsonMiller Memo identifying capacity for 43,300 acres of SRAs, and 43,700 acres remaining at baseline. We estimated 3 units per acre for SRAs and 1 per 5 for remaining available lands, times 2.38 persons per household, which is the Collier avg. East of 951 Total 1,069,400
Landowners’ Conceptual Road Build Out Plan These are some of the new or expanded roads needed to accommodate this amount of development Our cost estimate for this road network was over $2 billion Who will pay for this?
Conservancy Vision Landowner Vision
ECOnomics Florida Realtors study determined when water quality and clarity was good, Lee County’s aggregate property values between 2010 -2013 increased by an estimated $541 million. Which waterfront view would you pay more for?
LAKE O RELEASES Polluted water has a Ripple Effect
Conservancy supports passage of Legacy Florida
The Missing Piece of the Puzzle
Exotic Species are here to stay
Is Smart Growth the Answer? First things first…….What is “Smart Growth”? “A code word for whatever the user of this term wants to achieve.” - Anthony Downs “It is clearly superior to the alternative: ‘dumb growth.’” - Anthony Downs http://www.route7study.org/images/umbrella1.gif http://www.culturechange.org/images/Wolfinsheepsclothing.gif http://www.calwatchdog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/landuse-smartgrowth-chart.gif
Smart Growth – Location of Development A large part of SWFL contains sensitive natural resources Our environment requires more protective measures that other areas: • avoiding wetlands • directing development away from listed species habitat Avoiding impacts should always be the first step
Smart Growth – Type of Development Poorly planned development is costly, and that cost will be the burden of the taxpayers • Sprawl can result in up to 25% more cost for water/sewer infrastructure and 33% more in road costs • Many buyers prefer compact, walkable communities • Approx. 76 million baby boomers looking for “age in place” opportunities “In Houston, a person walking is someone on his way to his car.” - Anthony Downs
Smart Growth – Timing/Sequencing Focus should be on: • Infill • Redevelopment • Improve existing platted communities Development east of urban boundary should be focused adjacent to, or in close proximity of, the urban area
Climate Change Impacts • Climate Change and Sea Level Rise is currently occurring and more change is to be expected. • “The question for Southwest Floridians is not whether they will be affected by sea level rise, but how much they will be affected and in what ways including the degree to which it will continue, how rapidly change will occur, what type of changes will occur, and what the long-term effects of these changes will be .” » Jim Beever, Regional Planning Council
NAPLES AT +6 FEET SEA LEVEL RISE. 2094-2120 Image courtesy of Dr. Harold Wanless, University of Miami
Final Thoughts
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Protecting Southwest Florida’s unique natural environment and quality of life…now and forever. www.conservancy.org facebook.com/ConservancySWF 1495 Smith Preserve Way ADDRESS Naples, FL 34134 (239) 262-0304 twitter.com/ConservancySWFL
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