Non-selfish preferences 1 2 The Standard Model 1. Nature - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Non-selfish preferences 1

2

The Standard Model 1. Nature Self-interest and self-regarding preferences 2. Anomalies  Tipping waiters  Giving to charity  Voting  Completing tax returns honestly  Voluntary unpaid work  etc.

Limited Self Interest • In basic neo-classical model decision makers perfectly maximize their own payoff. • How do we incorporate interpersonal values: prestige, fairness, justice? – people care about how they are perceived by others – people are willing to sacrifice some of their own money so others can have more 4

Limited Self Interest: Altruism • Altruism – regard for others’ well being U 2 Person 2’s consumption U 1 Utility max. point for altruistic person Utility max. point for selfish person Person 1’s consumption 5

Limited Self Interest: Fairness Standard Ultimatum Game . 1 Low Even . . 2 2 Accept Reject Accept Reject 9, 1 0, 0 5, 5 0, 0 What is the predicted outcome for this game? Player 1 chooses Low and Player 2 Accepts. 6

Limited Self Interest: Fairness Symmetric Fairness . 1 Low Even . . 2 2 Accept Reject Accept Reject 1, -7 0, 0 5, 5 0, 0 Now Player 1 offers an even amount, which is accepted. 7

Limited Self Interest: Fairness Envy . 1 Low Even . . 2 2 Accept Reject Accept Reject 9, -7 0, 0 5, 5 0, 0 Again Player 1 offers an even amount, which is accepted. 8

Limited Self Interest: Fairness • How do you decide what motivates player 1 to offer an even amount? – Player 1 offers an even amount out of fairness. – Player 1 offers an even amount because he fears Player 2 will reject uneven offers due to envy. • Dictator Game – Like the Ultimatum Game but no second stage. Player 1 simply gets to decide how to split the money. 9

Limited Self Interest: Fairness • Are there other motives for even splits that you can think of? – Reciprocity – reward good behavior and punish bad. (Rabin) – People care that they are perceived as being fair. • Market vs. Personal Dealings – Your interpersonal values will differ depending on who you deal with: friends or strangers. – They also may depend on whether a transaction is commercial or personal. 10

Nature of Social Preferences  Social preferences and fairness – 'as if they value the payoff of relevant reference agents positively or negatively.’ (Fehr & Fischbacher, 2005)  Beliefs and intentions of others  Fairness: distribution of costs and benefits  Dual entitlement: reference transactions; outcomes  Strong reciprocity

Fairness Games and the Standard Model  Ultimatum game - 60% to 80% of offers between 0.4 and 0.5, rarely below 0.2.  Dictator games – Cherry et al. (2002): Baseline situation 17% zero offers; 80% with 'earned' wealth  Trust games – 30-40% purely selfish; also more complex (trust ↔ reciprocity)  Prisoner’s dilemma games – 50% cooperate even in one-shot games  Public goods games – effect of punishment

Factors Affecting SPs  Setting - repetition and learning, stakes, anonymity, communication, entitlement, competition, available information, number of players, intentions, ...  Descriptive – framing effects  Demographic - gender, age, academic major, culture, and social distance  Social norms: Fehr & Gächter (2000) 1) behavioral regularities 2) socially shared belief regarding how one ought to behave 3) enforcement by informal social sanctions (but: what triggers a particular norm?)

Ultimatum Game, again • Player 1 has a fixed amount of money (say $10) and must offer some fraction to Player 2 (from $0 and $10). If Player 2 accepts, they split the money as proposed. If Player 2 rejects, no one gets any money. • Empirically, responders will reject offers below $2, but such low offers would be rare. Offers will fall in the $3 – $5 range and will typically be accepted. 14

Ultimatum Game, cont. • Strictly speaking, a game is defined in terms of utilities, not dollars. So let us suppose u ( x )= x . • If so, the only subgame-perfect equilibrium is the one in which Player 2 accepts all offers and Player 1 offers nothing. 15

Dictator Game • Similar to the ultimatum game except Player 2 does not have the opportunity to reject. • Empirically, dictators offer about 10- 30% of their money. • Assuming u ( x )= x , once again, the only subgame-perfect equilibrium is where the “dictator” offers nothing. 16

Social Preferences • Social preferences reflect other people’s attainment y as well as the agent’s own x . • If P derives positive utility from Q ’s attainment, P is said to have altruistic preferences. • If P derives negative utility from Q ’s attainment, P is said to have envious preferences. 17

Social Preferences, cont. • A person with Rawlsian preferences (or preferences for fairness ) tries to maximize the minimum utility associated with the allocation. • A person who wishes to minimize the difference between the best and the worst off is said to have inequality averse preferences. (Fehr and Schnidt, Bolton, et. Al.) • Individuals who want to maximize the total amount of utility have utilitarian preferences . 18

Example • Find all Nash equilibria in pure strategies when played by: a) egoists with u ( x,y )=√ x ; b) utilitarians with u ( x,y )=√ x +√ y ; c) enviers with u ( x,y )= √ x - √ y ; d) Rawlsians with u ( x,y ) =min(√ x ,√ y ). 19

Intentions and Reciprocity • Whether a responder will accept depends not just on the proposed allocation (e.g., an 80-20 split), but on the options available to the proposer. • This suggests that responders base their decisions in part on perceived intentions of the proposer. – Respondents exhibit positive reciprocity when they reward others with good intentions. – Respondents exhibit negative reciprocity when they punish players with bad intentions. 20

Empirical Evidence Neuroscientific studies – useful for estimating emotions when people unaware/unwilling to admit (reverse inference from relevant brain areas) Show:  Pleasure of cooperation and punishment  Anger/outrage at unfair offers  Empathy/lack of empathy based on previous fair/unfair play

Kahneman, Knetsch and Thaler Firms deserve fair profit should not take advantage of customers or workers Sluggish market adjustments indicate firms are constrained in behavior by more than legal issues or budgets. Surveys show fairness in pricing and wages is important. Fairness is thought of as an enforceable implicit contract Transactors avoid offending firms Games show willingness to punish

Kahneman, Knetsch and Thaler (cont) Fairness: Is more important in established relationships that new relationships. Price increases in response to cost increases is ok; price increases in response to demand increases are not. Fairness is relative to reference price. OK to up price to protect profit Similar findings with respect to wages.

Implications for Markets When excess demand is unaccompanied by increases in costs the market will fail to clear. When a single supplier provides a family of goods for which there is differential demand and different costs, there will be shortages in the most valued items. - This implies for most goods there will be shortages at peak demand times (like for vacation hotels). Price changes are more responsive to cost changes than to demand changes, and mre responsive to cost increases than to cost decreases. Price decreases take the form of temporary discounts. Wages are sticky downward. -Firms will frame part of compensation as bonueses or profit sharing to minimize reductions in compensation during slack periods.

Contrary evidence of social preferences • Forsyth, Horowitz, Savin and Sefton find most players give away nontrivial portions of the money available to them. • They use an ultimatum game and dictator game – Rational agents, offerer keeps (almost all) – Fair agents have a more equal split • However, the tests of the fairness hypothesis fail. 25

• Found in all experiments most players give away non trivial portions of the pie, which violates neoclassical theory of selfish preferences. • Fairness hypothesis states that the distribution of proposals in ultimatum game and dictator game should be the same. – Players are more generous in the ultimatum game. – So Reject fairness hypothesis at p=0.01 • One explanation is that different types of players; some receivers are gamesman, some are spiteful, so offerers who are gamesman find it optimal to offer a nontrivial share 26

Modelling Social Preferences  Objectives  explanation and prediction  psychological basis  Issues in modelling Reference standard; intentions; purpose of punishment; reference agent  Psychological game theory Based on beliefs and intentions. Takes into account emotions.

Social Preferences • Occur whenever U i =U i (x i .x j ) i≠j where x i and x j are allocations. • Altruism is when U i depends directly on x j . • Distributive Preferences (Fairness) is U i depends on the comparison of x i to x j .