MAINE STATEWIDE SURVEY A SURVEY OF RESIDENTS Presentation prepared - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

MAINE STATEWIDE SURVEY A SURVEY OF RESIDENTS Presentation prepared for Maine SiX June 2019

GENERAL LANDSCAPE

KEY FINDINGS • A majority of Mainers think the state is headed in the right direction while just four in 600 interviews among ten think it is headed in the wrong direction, a double-digit swing from last year. Not adults were conducted surprisingly, those in Cumberland, York, and the Lake region, as well as residents with from June 14-June 20, 2019 via both internet college degrees have become more satisfied with the state’s direction. Joining this and phone survey. The sentiment are self identified liberals, while conservatives now think the state is results were weighted headed in the wrong direction. to ensure proportional • While the trend holds when it comes to liberals and conservatives’ satisfaction with responses. The margin of error is ±4 percent the direction of their area, residents of Cumberland and the Lake region are more at the 95% confidence dissatisfied with their area than last year. College women and those in York are more level. satisfied with their area than last year. • Mainers are most worried about issues around healthcare, especially access to quality Northern Region: and affordable care, the cost of prescription drugs, and opioid abuse. While concern Aroostook, Piscataquis, and over opioid abuse decreased slightly (it was the top concern last year), both access to Somerset counties care and the cost of Rx drugs increased by double digits. Concern over access to healthcare increased most among men and those in the Lake region. The cost of Lake Region: prescription drugs increased most among men, in Kennebec, and the Lake region, Androscoggin, while it decreased by two points in the northern region. Franklin, and Oxford counties • Voters are also very worried about job opportunities in the state, the cost of higher education, property taxes, income tax fairness, access to quality education, and Coastal Region: climate change. Hancock, Knox, • Lincoln, Sagadahoc, While many have concerns, Mainers overall are less concerned about student loan Waldo, and debt, protections for workers, access to broadband, or sea level rise. Washington counties 3

DIRECTION OF MAINE Q1. Starting out, do you think that things in 9% Maine are going in the right direction or do you feel things have gotten off on the Right direction wrong track? Wrong direction 51% Don't know/ 40% refused 4

BREAKOUT: DIRECTION OF MAINE Q1. Starting out, do you think that things in Right direction Wrong direction Don’t know/refused Maine are going in the 2019 ∆ 2018 2019 ∆ 2018 2019 ∆ 2018 right direction or do Total 51% +9 40% -4 9% -5 you feel things have gotten off on the Non-college men 53% +4 41% +9 6% -13 wrong track? Non-college women 45% +7 42% -6 13% 0 College men 57% +11 37% -3 5% -8 College women 49% +13 38% -15 12% +2 York County 69% +27 27% -15 4% -12 Cumberland County 50% +12 42% -3 8% -9 Kennebec County 45% -4 43% +3 12% +1 Penobscot County 50% 0 43% +5 7% -6 Northern Region 46% +1 40% 0 14% +8 Lake Region 43% +10 51% +1 6% -11 Coastal Region 50% +7 36% -7 14% 0 Under 45 47% +4 39% -4 15% -1 45-64 49% +9 45% +1 6% -10 65+ 58% +14 35% -9 7% -5 Liberal 77% +59 17% -53 6% -6 Moderate 44% -3 43% +4 12% -2 Conservative 24% -42 72% +53 4% -11 5

DIRECTION OF AREA Q2. And thinking about the direction your area of the state 6% is headed, generally 15% speaking, are you very satisfied, satisfied, dissatisfied, or very 15% Very satisfied dissatisfied with the direction in which things are headed? Satisfied Dissatisfied Very dissatisfied 26% 39% Don't know/ refused 6

BREAKOUT: DIRECTION OF AREA Q2. And thinking about the direction Total satisfied Total dissatisfied Don’t know/refused your area of the state 2019 ∆ 2018 2019 ∆ 2018 2019 ∆ 2018 is headed, generally speaking, are you very Total 54% -1 41% +1 6% 0 satisfied, satisfied, Non-college men 57% -2 38% +6 5% -4 dissatisfied, or very Non-college women 46% 0 46% -1 8% 0 dissatisfied with the direction in which College men 58% -6 38% +5 4% +1 things are headed? College women 55% +4 39% -6 6% +3 York County 66% +6 30% -4 3% -3 Cumberland County 54% -1 42% +5 4% -3 Kennebec County 49% -9 43% +7 8% +2 Penobscot County 53% -1 43% +1 4% -1 Northern Region 48% +6 43% -8 9% +2 Lake Region 43% -12 53% +15 5% -3 Coastal Region 57% +4 34% -9 9% +5 Under 45 48% -6 44% +5 7% +1 45-64 52% +1 44% +2 4% -3 65+ 61% +4 33% -4 6% 1 Liberal 78% +42 19% -41 3% -1 Moderate 50% -10 44% +10 7% 0 Conservative 25% -47 70% +47 6% 0 7

ISSUES FACING MAINE Q3-15. Now I’m going Access to quality and affordable 7.95 to read you a list of health care issues facing Maine. The increasing cost of 7.86 Please rate each one prescription drugs on a scale of 0 to 10 7.63 Drug and opioid abuse how concerned you are about each issue. 7.17 Use a 10 if it is Job opportunities in Maine something you are extremely concerned 7.13 The cost of higher education about or a 0 if it is something you are not Property taxes in Maine 7.09 concerned about at all. You can use any 7.06 Income tax fairness number between 0 and 10. The quality of K-12 public 6.94 education in your community 6.64 Climate change 6.64 Rising student loan debt Protections for workers like paid 6.56 sick leave Access to broadband or high- 5.94 speed internet Sea level rise in Maine 5.63 8

BREAKOUT: ISSUES FACING MAINE Q3-15. Now I’m going Access to Job to read you a list of affordable Increase cost Drug and opportunities Cost of higher Property taxes issues facing Maine. health care of RX drugs opioid abuse in ME education in ME Please rate each one 2019 ∆ 2018 2019 ∆ 2018 2019 ∆ 2018 2019 ∆ 2018 2019 ∆ 2018 2019 ∆ 2018 on a scale of 0 to 10 how concerned you Total 69% +12 66% +12 62% -3 53% +11 53% +4 50% +9 are about each issue. Non-college men 74% +20 71% +16 60% -3 62% +26 60% +17 53% +12 Use a 10 if it is Non-college women 68% +8 64% +1 64% -7 51% +3 54% +5 49% +1 something you are College men 66% +16 64% +20 59% 0 48% +11 43% -6 51% +19 extremely concerned about or a 0 if it is College women 69% +6 66% +15 64% +2 51% +7 53% -1 47% +7 something you are not York County 69% +13 56% +7 65% +7 49% +12 49% -10 53% +10 concerned about at all. Cumberland County 65% +6 62% +10 63% 0 53% +13 57% +3 47% +8 You can use any number between 0 Kennebec County 65% +16 78% +27 65% -1 59% +26 60% +17 55% +20 and 10. Penobscot County 67% +2 65% +9 56% -8 50% -1 44% +3 49% +6 Northern Region 68% +8 65% -2 58% -5 53% +3 54% +10 45% -4 Lake Region 74% +25 72% +21 64% -7 62% +24 57% +10 50% +16 Coastal Region 75% +14 69% +14 61% -6 48% +3 49% 0 53% +8 % Very concerned Under 45 62% +14 53% +14 59% -6 46% +6 49% +1 44% +11 45-64 72% +7 71% +11 62% 0 56% +16 51% +2 57% +7 65+ 74% +14 74% +12 64% -1 57% +12 58% +8 49% +8 Liberal 80% +9 76% +12 66% -2 56% +9 63% -1 42% +4 Moderate 69% +11 64% +8 62% -6 56% +11 53% +7 52% +10 Conservative 51% +13 54% +19 57% +4 43% +14 39% +3 59% +16 9

BREAKOUT: ISSUES FACING MAINE Q3-15. Now I’m going Rising Access to to read you a list of issues facing Maine. Fair income Quality Climate student Protections high speed Sea level rise Please rate each one tax education change loan debt for workers internet in ME on a scale of 0 to 10 2019 2019 2019 ∆ 2018 2019 2019 2019 ∆ 2018 2019 how concerned you Total 51% 52% +16 53% 45% 44% 36% +12 34% are about each issue. Non-college men 55% 55% +25 57% 55% 54% 45% +24 41% Use a 10 if it is something you are Non-college women 51% 50% +7 48% 38% 35% 31% +9 27% extremely concerned College men 49% 48% +21 49% 40% 40% 37% +13 39% about or a 0 if it is College women 50% 54% +13 54% 48% 45% 32% +2 30% something you are not York County 54% 53% +13 57% 44% 41% 30% +4 37% concerned about at all. You can use any Cumberland County 49% 56% +21 58% 49% 42% 35% +19 41% number between 0 Kennebec County 51% 48% +26 54% 38% 33% 27% +7 29% and 10. Penobscot County 34% 48% +16 41% 38% 48% 31% +3 21% Northern Region 51% 54% +17 45% 46% 48% 50% +14 32% Lake Region 60% 56% +22 61% 43% 52% 42% +16 35% % Very concerned Coastal Region 55% 46% +4 46% 49% 42% 37% +11 34% Under 45 41% 59% +20 44% 44% 38% 29% +5 24% 45-64 63% 48% +14 54% 44% 42% 42% +18 34% 65+ 50% 49% +15 61% 47% 51% 37% +13 45% Liberal 57% 57% +15 78% 55% 54% 47% +14 52% Moderate 49% 50% +14 47% 43% 42% 31% +10 29% Conservative 44% 46% +20 22% 31% 30% 30% +11 16% 10

POLITICAL LANDSCAPE