Long Range Plan Issues Survey Survey Conducted: March 17-29, 2015 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Survey Conducted: March 17-29, 2015

Los Angeles County Transportation Long Range Plan Issues Survey

DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

Key Findings

• Support for both measures is initially strong and the

intensity of support – those saying definitely yes – increases for both measures after education.

• Self-reported likely November 2016 voters are less

supportive of the measures and many of their individual features than all County residents. However, support among self-reported likely November 2016 voters appears relatively strong.

• The Augmentation/Extension Measure is susceptible to

a simple explanation of what the measure actually does, after which support drops to below two-thirds.

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

Key Findings Continued

• To be successful, a measure must include funds for a

package of local roads, freeways and public transportation improvements.

• Specifically: freeway improvements; traffic congestion

relief; keeping fares low for seniors, the disabled and students; earthquake retrofitting bridges and tunnels; and pothole repairs and local street paving top the list

• f many important features.
• Selecting voter-preferred individual regional projects

can make a difference in passing the measure.

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

Key Findings Continued

• Concern about the growing population of drivers and the

desire for traffic congestion relief are top reasons why all residents and self-reported definite voters would be more inclined to vote yes on a measure.

• Metro continues to have more favorable ratings among

all residents and self-reported likely November 2016 voters than the Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority.

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

Methodology

• Conducted a Random Digit Dial Survey by telephone

(landlines and cell phones) between March 17th – March 29th, 2015

• Interviews with 1,414 Los Angeles County residents ages 18

years or older

• Survey was available in English and Spanish
• Some percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding
• Margin of error for the full sample is +/- 2.6% and half the

sample is +/-3.3%

• Margin of error for each Metro Planning Area is +/-6.9% and

half sample is +/-9.8%

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

Methodology Continued

• Margin of error for self-reported registered voters

likely to vote in the November 2016 General Election (n=863) is +/-3.4% and half sample is +/-4.8% Note: This sample of self-reported registered likely Nov 2016 voters is different from a typical voter population, which is based on actual registration information and voter history.

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

METRO Planning Areas

Planning Area Largest Cities in the Area Sample Size Actual %

• f County

Westside City of Los Angeles, Santa Monica, West Hollywood, Culver City and Beverly Hills 200 13% South Bay City of Los Angeles, Torrance, Carson, Inglewood, Redondo Beach and unincorporated sections of Los Angeles County 201 14% Central City of Los Angeles 204 10% San Gabriel Valley Pasadena, Pomona, West Covina, Alhambra, Arcadia, Diamond Bar, El Monte, Glendora and unincorporated sections of Los Angeles County 201 19% San Fernando Valley Burbank, Calabasas, Glendale, La Canada/Flintridge, City of Los Angeles, San Fernando, Unincorporated 202 18% North County Lancaster, City of Los Angeles, Palmdale, Santa Clarita, Unincorporated 205 7% Southeast Long Beach, Downey, Lakewood, Norwalk, Compton, Cerritos, Bellflower, Pico Rivera, South Gate, Whittier and unincorporated sections of Los Angeles County 201 19% Total 1414 100%

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Shall voters authorize continuing to advance and improve the Los Angeles County transportation system, provide traffic congestion relief, and economic and job growth by: extending light rail, subway, neighborhood shuttles and bus systems in Los Angeles County; improving connections to jobs, schools and local airports; improving freeway and local street traffic flow and safety; repairing potholes; synchronizing local signals; and keeping seniors, disabled and student fares low; approval augments by one-half cent and extends the existing County sales tax, with independent financial audits, and citizen oversight; all funds controlled locally?

Ballot Summary for the ½-cent Sales Tax Augmentation/Extension Measure

• Q7. If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?

9

In 2008, Los Angeles County voters approved a

• ne-half cent traffic relief sales tax for 30 years.

The measure I just described would make that sales tax permanent and increase the county transportation sales tax by one-half cent.

Brief Explanation of the Augmentation/Extension Measure

• Q8. If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?

10

DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

46% 36% 49% 20% 22% 25%

5%

7%

10%

6%

15% 19% 9%

5%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Initial Vote Vote After Explanation Final Vote After Information

• Def. Yes
• Prob. Yes

Und./ Lean Yes Und./Lean No

• Prob. No
• Def. No

Und.

Seventy percent of self-reported likely voters initially say they would vote yes on the augmentation/extension

• measure. While support drops to below the two-thirds

threshold after receiving a brief explanation of the measure, support exceeds initial vote after more education.

Q7/Q8/Q15 (Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to

• ppose it? Split Sample

Total Yes Total No 70% 25% 63% 31% 79% 18%

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Shall voters authorize continuing to advance and improve the Los Angeles County transportation system, provide traffic congestion relief, and economic and job growth by: extending light rail, subway, neighborhood shuttles and bus systems in Los Angeles County; improving connections to jobs, schools and local airports; improving freeway and local street traffic flow and safety; repairing potholes; synchronizing local signals; and keeping seniors, disabled and student fares low; approval increases the County sales tax by one-half cent, with independent financial audits and citizen oversight; all funds controlled locally?

Ballot Summary for the ½-cent Sales Tax Increase Measure

• Q9. If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

42% 48% 26% 23%

5% 7% 5%

13% 17%

7%

5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Initial Vote Final Vote After Information

• Def. Yes
• Prob. Yes

Und./ Lean Yes Und./Lean No

• Prob. No
• Def. No

Und.

Seventy-two percent of self-reported likely November 2016 voters initially support the ½-cent sales tax increase measure, and overall support remains stable after education, ¡with ¡“definitely ¡yes” ¡voters ¡increasing ¡by ¡6%.

Q9/Q16 (Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to

• ppose it? Split Sample

Total Yes Total No 72% 21% 73% 23%

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

32% 30% 25% 10% 1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

(B) Local street and road improvements (C) Freeway and highway improvements (A) Local and regional light rail and bus transportation improvements Both A and B, A and C, B and C/All None of them/Other/DK/NA

35% 27% 24% 12% 3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

All three major areas of transportation investment are considered the top priority by between roughly

• ne-quarter to one-third of respondents, respectively.

Q10 (All residents/Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). I am going to read you three uses of existing transportation funding in LA County. Please tell me which one is your top priority for transportation funding.

Self-Reported Likely November 2016 Voters All Residents

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

Potential Transportation Features by Metro Planning Area

(Ranked by All Residents % Very Important to be included in the measure - 6 or 7 rating)

Q12 (All Residents/Planning Area). I want to return to the transportation sales tax measure we were discussing earlier. I am going to mention some features of the proposed Los Angeles County Measure. Regardless of your opinion of the measure, after I mention each one, please tell me how important it is to you that the feature be included as part of the measure. We will use a scale of one to seven, where one means NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT to you that the feature or provision is included in the measure and seven means it would be VERY IMPORTANT. ^Not part of Split Sample

Features

All Residents Westside South Bay Central SGV SFV North County Southeast Earthquake retrofitting bridges, tunnels and overpasses

81% 81% 81% 77% 83% 83% 75% 83%

Improving freeway traffic flow on the 5, 10, 14, 60, 101, 110, 138, 210, 405, 605 and the 710 freeways

80% 78% 78% 78% 83% 83% 70% 79%

Keeping seniors, disabled and student fares low

79% 70% 79% 78% 84% 80% 84% 81%

Preventing polluted toxic roadway runoff from entering storm drains and flowing into creeks, rivers and coastal waters and onto County beaches

79% 83% 82% 84% 77% 72% 80% 83%

Repairing potholes and repaving local streets

79% 78% 76% 86% 77% 76% 81% 83%

Improving freeway traffic flow

78% 80% 77% 80% 73% 75% 85% 82%

Continuing to advance and improve the Los Angeles County transportation system to provide traffic congestion relief

75% 77% 69% 81% 79% 66% 86% 76%

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

Continued

Q12 (All Residents/Planning Area). I want to return to the transportation sales tax measure we were discussing earlier. I am going to mention some features of the proposed Los Angeles County Measure. Regardless of your opinion of the measure, after I mention each one, please tell me how important it is to you that the feature be included as part of the measure. We will use a scale of one to seven, where one means NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT to you that the feature or provision is included in the measure and seven means it would be VERY IMPORTANT. ^Not part of Split Sample

Features

All Residents Westside South Bay Central SGV SFV North County Southeast Widening freeways to improve traffic flow

75% 62% 71% 83% 82% 75% 82% 73%

Improving connections to jobs, schools and local airports

72% 77% 72% 77% 71% 61% 63% 80%

Improving safety on buses and light rail lines, and at bus stops and rail stations

70% 73% 80% 79% 73% 49% 71% 72%

Improving van service for seniors, the disabled and veterans

70% 57% 64% 75% 73% 68% 75% 79%

Improving freeway safety

70% 53% 82% 73% 68% 63% 71% 79%

Adding and upgrading crosswalks and sidewalks to improve student and pedestrian safety

70% 64% 64% 78% 69% 68% 73% 74%

Synchronizing signals in every area of the County

68% 63% 68% 65% 65% 68% 63% 79%

Reducing diesel emissions from trucks and trains

67% 60% 66% 80% 72% 53% 61% 78%

Continuing to advance and improve the Los Angeles County transportation system to help economic and job growth

66% 63% 61% 73% 68% 61% 67% 73%

(Ranked by All Residents % Very Important to be included in the measure 6 or 7 rating)

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

Continued

Q12 (All Residents/Planning Area). I want to return to the transportation sales tax measure we were discussing earlier. I am going to mention some features of the proposed Los Angeles County Measure. Regardless of your opinion of the measure, after I mention each one, please tell me how important it is to you that the feature be included as part of the measure. We will use a scale of one to seven, where one means NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT to you that the feature or provision is included in the measure and seven means it would be VERY IMPORTANT. ^Not part of Split Sample

Features

All Residents Westside South Bay Central SGV SFV North County Southeast Improving safety at rail crossings

65% 58% 59% 78% 65% 58% 76% 71%

Improving the flow and safety of truck traffic on freeways and roads near the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach

64% 59% 58% 66% 63% 65% 71% 71%

Connecting public transit to LAX, Burbank, Long Beach and Palmdale airports

64% 61% 57% 80% 55% 70% 73% 65%

Upgrading freeway on- and

• ff-ramps to improve traffic flow

64% 66% 49% 78% 60% 56% 72% 73%

Synchronizing local signals

64% 60% 69% 71% 58% 64% 56% 71%

Upgrading and redesigning local streets to balance motorist concerns with better and safer access for pedestrians, bicycles and bus travel

63% 64% 60% 72% 63% 56% 64% 68%

Extending light rail, subway and bus service in Los Angeles County

63% 59% 63% 71% 68% 51% 55% 69%

^Extending the light rail system

to more places in the County

62% 59% 61% 65% 68% 51% 66% 65%

Improving and expanding Metrolink service

61% 54% 58% 73% 65% 48% 66% 67%

(Ranked by All Residents % Very Important to be included in the measure 6 or 7 rating)

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

Continued

Q12 (All Residents/Planning Area). I want to return to the transportation sales tax measure we were discussing earlier. I am going to mention some features of the proposed Los Angeles County Measure. Regardless of your opinion of the measure, after I mention each one, please tell me how important it is to you that the feature be included as part of the measure. We will use a scale of one to seven, where one means NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT to you that the feature or provision is included in the measure and seven means it would be VERY IMPORTANT. ^Not part of Split Sample

Features

All Residents Westside South Bay Central SGV SFV North County Southeast

^Improving opportunities for getting from

public transportation stops and stations to your final destination, by improving pedestrian, bike and neighborhood shuttle services

61% 61% 60% 72% 65% 52% 63% 61%

^Creating a safe network of bicycle paths, physically separated from motor vehicle traffic

61% 62% 54% 73% 62% 52% 59% 67%

Adding carpool lanes on local freeways

58% 55% 52% 53% 53% 58% 61% 74%

Expanding bus service, including adding more Rapid Buses

58% 46% 57% 63% 59% 63% 58% 59%

Improving frequency of and connections to bus service

57% 50% 56% 77% 60% 45% 60% 59%

Establishing and improving Express Bus Service on freeways

56% 43% 67% 64% 65% 49% 55% 52%

Establishing and improving neighborhood shuttles

55% 51% 58% 59% 56% 53% 63% 51%

Building more Park and Ride lots at transit stations

48% 42% 49% 58% 43% 48% 50% 52%

(Ranked by All Residents % Very Important to be included in the measure 6 or 7 rating)

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

44% 42% 47% 44% 29% 29% 27% 35%

5%

5%

18% 21% 18%

13%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters

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• Smwt. More Lkly.
• Smwt. Less Lkly.

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More Lkly. Total Less Lkly.

74% 5% 71% 6% 73% 7% 79% 7%

West Los Angeles residents and self-reported likely November 2016 voters are more likely to vote for the measure if the Crenshaw LAX Light Rail Line is extended and traffic flow on the 10 freeway is improved.

Q13 a-e (All residents/Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). While the last list I read you directly benefits all areas of Los Angeles County, I would now like to read you a detailed list of projects or services that will specifically benefit your area. Please tell me whether knowing that this project or service will be funded by the measure makes you more or less likely to vote yes on the measure. (Asked Only Voters In Planning Area 1 – West Los Angeles County)

(Ranked by All Residents Total More Likely Vote for the Measure)

Extending the Metro Crenshaw LAX Rail Line, which is currently under construction, to the Metro Purple Line on Wilshire and through West Hollywood to the Metro Red Line in Hollywood Improving the traffic flow along the 10 freeway between the 405 freeway and downtown LA by widening the road at key bottlenecks and upgrading the

• n- and off-ramps

19

DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

38% 37% 35% 35% 24% 16% 26% 19% 27% 25% 28% 38%

8%

13%

6%

11%

7%

11% 15% 26% 27% 30% 27% 21% 21%

5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters

Much More Lkly.

• Smwt. More Lkly.
• Smwt. Less Lkly.

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Total More Lkly. Total Less Lkly.

64% 8% 56% 16% 62% 5% 60% 10% 52% 22% 54% 22%

West Los Angeles Continued

Q13 a-e (All residents/Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). While the last list I read you directly benefits all areas of Los Angeles County, I would now like to read you a detailed list of projects or services that will specifically benefit your area. Please tell me whether knowing that this project or service will be funded by the measure makes you more or less likely to vote yes on the measure. (Asked Only Voters In Planning Area 1 – West Los Angeles County)

(Ranked by All Residents Total More Likely Vote for the Measure)

Connecting LAX to the San Fernando Valley by a subway line under the Sepulveda Pass Extending the Metro Purple Line Subway, currently under construction, beyond UCLA and Westwood toward Santa Monica Connecting LAX to the San Fernando Valley by a subway line under the Sepulveda Pass. This would be funded partially by a new toll Express Lane travelling along the 405 from LAX to the Valley in both directions

20

DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

54% 53% 51% 47% 55% 56% 44% 42% 25% 24% 27% 28% 20% 17% 25% 20%

5%

6%

7%

6%

5%

6%

7%

14% 12% 16% 15% 13% 13% 14% 23%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters

Much More Lkly.

• Smwt. More Lkly.
• Smwt. Less Lkly.

Much Less Lkly. No Diff. DK/NA Total

More Lkly. Total Less Lkly.

78% 5% 77% 8% 78% 4% 75% 6% 75% 8% 73% 10% 69% 12% 62% 12%

South Bay residents and self-reported likely November 2016 voters are more probable to vote for the measure if it improves traffic flow on major streets in the area, and local street maintenance and traffic flow along the 405 freeway.

Q13 f-i (All residents/Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). While the last list I read you directly benefits all areas of Los Angeles County, I would now like to read you a detailed list of projects or services that will specifically benefit your area. Please tell me whether knowing that this project or service will be funded by the measure makes you more or less likely to vote yes on the measure. (Asked Only Voters In Planning Area 2 – The South Bay)

(Ranked by All Residents Total More Likely Vote for the Measure)

Improving street maintenance, such as pothole repair, on major streets throughout the South Bay Removing key bottlenecks and improving traffic flow on Pacific Coast Highway, Hawthorne and Crenshaw Boulevards, and Western Avenue Improving traffic along the 405 freeway between the 105 and the 110 freeways by widening the road at key bottlenecks and upgrading the on- and off-ramps Extending the Metro Green Light Rail Line south towards San Pedro through Redondo Beach and Torrance

21

DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

55% 39% 58% 44% 54% 44% 48% 34% 24% 28% 18% 23% 17% 17% 20% 22%

6% 6%

7%

8%

5% 5%

8%

11% 17% 15% 20% 17% 22% 16% 22%

6%

8%

6% 6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters

Much More Lkly.

• Smwt. More Lkly.
• Smwt. Less Lkly.

Much Less Lkly. No Diff. DK/NA Total

More Lkly. Total Less Lkly.

80% 7% 67% 10% 76% 6% 66% 6% 71% 9% 62% 10% 69% 12% 56% 16%

Central Los Angeles residents and self-reported likely November 2016 voters are more likely to vote for the measure if it extends the Crenshaw LAX Light Rail Line; improves freeway connections in Downtown; and extends the northbound bus and carpool lane on the 110 freeway.

Q13 j-m (All residents/Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). While the last list I read you directly benefits all areas of Los Angeles County, I would now like to read you a detailed list of projects or services that will specifically benefit your area. Please tell me whether knowing that this project or service will be funded by the measure makes you more or less likely to vote yes on the measure. (Asked Only Voters In Planning Area 3 – Central Los Angeles County)

(Ranked by All Residents Total More Likely Vote for the Measure)

Extending the Metro Crenshaw LAX Light Rail Line, which is currently under construction, to the Metro Purple Line on Wilshire and through West Hollywood to the Metro Red Line in Hollywood Improving freeway connections around Downtown Los Angeles

• n the 5, 10, 60 and 101 freeways

through East LA Extending the northbound bus and carpool lane on the 110 freeway past the current bottleneck at Adams Boulevard into Downtown LA, thereby improving traffic flow, reducing congestion and improving safety Establishing frequent bus service along Vermont Avenue that

• perates in its own dedicated

lane with fewer stops; connecting South Los Angeles with the Metro Red Line and Purple Line subway at Wilshire and Vermont

22

DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

52% 48% 49% 41% 48% 42% 49% 43% 19% 18% 21% 21% 19% 23% 17% 14%

5%

8% 8%

7%

11%

5%

9%

17% 19% 20% 16% 22% 16% 20% 17%

6%

7% 7%

5%

6%

7%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters

Much More Lkly.

• Smwt. More Lkly.
• Smwt. Less Lkly.

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Total More Lkly. Total Less Lkly.

71% 6% 66% 8% 70% 7% 62% 15% 67% 7% 65% 13% 66% 8% 57% 18%

Within each respective group, there are no statistical differences in the likelihood of voting with respect to each San Gabriel Valley project, with one exception - upgrading the 71 Freeway scores lowest among self-reported likely November 2016 voters.

Q13 n-q (All residents/Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). While the last list I read you directly benefits all areas of Los Angeles County, I would now like to read you a detailed list of projects or services that will specifically benefit your area. Please tell me whether knowing that this project or service will be funded by the measure makes you more or less likely to vote yes on the measure. (Asked Only Voters In Planning Area 4 – San Gabriel Valley)

(Ranked by All Residents Total More Likely Vote for the Measure)

Extending the Metro Gold Light Rail Line further east from East LA along the 60 freeway towards the 605 freeway in South El Monte Connecting North Hollywood, Burbank, Glendale and Pasadena by light rail Extending the Metro Gold Light Rail Line which is currently under construction to Azusa, further east through Glendora and San Dimas toward Claremont Upgrading the 71 freeway from a four- and six-lane expressway to an eight-lane freeway between Mission Boulevard and the 60 freeway in Pomona

23

DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

53% 53% 50% 42% 27% 23% 29% 16% 11% 12%

9%

17% 14% 18%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters

Much More Lkly.

• Smwt. More Lkly.
• Smwt. Less Lkly.

Much Less Lkly. No Diff. DK/NA Total

More Lkly. Total Less Lkly.

80% 7% 76% 6% 79% 7% 59% 23%

San Fernando Valley residents and self-reported likely November 2016 voters are more likely to vote for the measure if it improves traffic flow on the 101 freeway and connects the San Fernando Valley to LAX by a subway line under the Sepulveda Pass.

Q13 r-v (All residents/Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). While the last list I read you directly benefits all areas of Los Angeles County, I would now like to read you a detailed list of projects or services that will specifically benefit your area. Please tell me whether knowing that this project or service will be funded by the measure makes you more or less likely to vote yes on the measure. (Asked Only Voters In Planning Area 5 – San Fernando Valley)

(Ranked by All Residents Total More Likely Vote for the Measure)

Improving the traffic flow along the 101 freeway between the Ventura County line and the Hollywood Freeway in Universal City by widening the road at key bottlenecks and upgrading the on- and off-ramps Connecting the San Fernando Valley to LAX by a subway line under the Sepulveda Pass

24

DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

49% 56% 44% 33% 37% 31% 28% 19% 21% 21% 19% 12%

7%

8% 8% 8%

14% 18%

7%

10%

7%

11% 16% 25% 23% 36%

5% 5% 5% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters

Much More Lkly.

• Smwt. More Lkly.
• Smwt. Less Lkly.

Much Less Lkly. No Diff. DK/NA

Total More Lkly. Total Less Lkly.

77% 16% 75% 20% 65% 13% 53% 18% 56% 15% 43% 18%

San Fernando Valley Continued

Q13 r-v (All residents/Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). While the last list I read you directly benefits all areas of Los Angeles County, I would now like to read you a detailed list of projects or services that will specifically benefit your area. Please tell me whether knowing that this project or service will be funded by the measure makes you more or less likely to vote yes on the measure. (Asked Only Voters In Planning Area 5 – San Fernando Valley)

(Ranked by All Residents Total More Likely Vote for the Measure)

Connecting the San Fernando Valley to LAX by a subway line under the Sepulveda Pass. This would be funded partially by a new toll Express Lane travelling along the 405 from the Valley to LAX in both directions Converting the Metro Orange Line Busway to a light rail line connecting Woodland Hills, North Hollywood, the Burbank Airport, Pasadena and the Greater San Gabriel Valley Creating a dedicated light rail along Van Nuys Boulevard connecting Sylmar and Van Nuys Civic Center through the communities of Panorama City, Pacoima and the of San Fernando

25

DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

51% 42% 41% 36% 21% 26% 30% 30%

5%

5%

10%

7%

15% 18% 14% 17%

5%

6%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters

Much More Lkly.

• Smwt. More Lkly.
• Smwt. Less Lkly.

Much Less Lkly. No Diff. DK/NA

Total More Lkly. Total Less Lkly.

72% 8% 68% 7% 71% 11% 67% 8%

Within each respective group, there are no statistical differences in the likelihood of voting with respect to each North County project, with one exception – improving streets near the hospital and medical buildings scores lowest among self-reported likely November 2016 voters.

Q13 w-z (All residents/Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). While the last list I read you directly benefits all areas of Los Angeles County, I would now like to read you a detailed list of projects or services that will specifically benefit your area. Please tell me whether knowing that this project or service will be funded by the measure makes you more or less likely to vote yes on the measure. (Asked Only Voters In Planning Area 6 – North County) (N=205)

(Ranked by All Residents Total More Likely Vote for the Measure)

Improving the traffic flow along the I-5 freeway in Santa Clarita, Newhall and Castaic by widening the road at key bottlenecks and upgrading the on- and off-ramps north

• f the 5 and 14 interchange

Building a new highway, also known as the High Desert Corridor, between the 14 freeway in Palmdale and 15 freeway in Victorville, which would be located north

• f the 138 through Palmdale,

Littlerock, Sun Village and Lake Los Angeles

26

DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

44% 36% 47% 41% 27% 19% 20% 25%

7%

6%

5%

16% 28% 18% 20%

10%

7%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters

Much More Lkly.

• Smwt. More Lkly.
• Smwt. Less Lkly.

Much Less Lkly. No Diff. DK/NA

Total More Lkly. Total Less Lkly.

70% 10% 55% 8% 66% 8% 67% 6%

North County Continued

Q13 w-z (All residents/Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). While the last list I read you directly benefits all areas of Los Angeles County, I would now like to read you a detailed list of projects or services that will specifically benefit your area. Please tell me whether knowing that this project or service will be funded by the measure makes you more or less likely to vote yes on the measure. (Asked Only Voters In Planning Area 6 – North County) (N=205)

(Ranked by All Residents Total More Likely Vote for the Measure)

Improving existing streets and constructing new streets to the regional Antelope Valley Hospital and surrounding medical facilities in Lancaster to increase access for emergency vehicles, patients and visitors Improving the traffic flow along the 14 freeway by widening the road at key bottlenecks, including improving the Avenue S bridge in Palmdale and upgrading the on- and off-ramps north of the I-5 and 14 interchange in Canyon Country

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DRAFT WORK PRODUCT

53% 57% 49% 52% 49% 50% 36% 43% 23% 22% 26% 23% 23% 19% 29% 13%

5% 5% 5% 5%

7%

12%

9%

12% 13% 14% 17% 23% 31%

6%

5% 5%

7%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters All Residents Self-Reported Likely Nov 2016 Voters

Much More Lkly.

• Smwt. More Lkly.
• Smwt. Less Lkly.

Much Less Lkly. No Diff. DK/NA

Total More Lkly. Total Less Lkly.

76% 6% 79% 9% 75% 8% 75% 9% 72% 8% 68% 11% 64% 6% 57% 7%

Southeast Los Angeles County residents and self-reported likely November 2016 voters are more likely to support the measure if it adds a carpool and a regular lane on the 5 freeway, improves traffic flow along the 710 freeway and constructs a light rail line from downtown to the Orange County line.

Q13 aa-dd (All residents/Self-reported Definite vote Nov. 2016). While the last list I read you directly benefits all areas of Los Angeles County, I would now like to read you a detailed list of projects or services that will specifically benefit your area. Please tell me whether knowing that this project or service will be funded by the measure makes you more or less likely to vote yes on the measure. (Asked Only Voters In Planning Area 7 – Southeast Los Angeles County) (N=201)

(Ranked by All Residents Total More Likely Vote for the Measure)

Adding a carpool and a regular lane on the 5 freeway between the 605 and the 710 freeways through Commerce and Downey Improving the traffic flow along the 710 freeway by widening the road at key bottlenecks and upgrading the on- and off-ramps between downtown LA and the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach through such southeast cities as Bell, South Gate and Paramount Constructing a light rail line from downtown LA to the Orange County Line through Paramount, Bellflower and Cerritos Extending the Metro Gold Light Rail Line to East Los Angeles further east toward Whittier along Washington Boulevard through Commerce, Pico Rivera, and Montebello

12100 Wilshire Blvd, Suite 350 Los Angeles, CA 90025 Phone (310) 828-1183 Fax (310) 453-6562

Richard Bernard

Bernard@FM3Research.com

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For more information, contact:

John Fairbank

John@FM3Research.com